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     Fri. Feb. 26, 2021

Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Feb. 26, 2021)

(Chevron)

CVX latest price $100.0000 (-2.3%) ($97.6100 - $101.0600) on Fri. Feb. 26, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Uptrend Dip
Trend Narrative  Uptrend Dip
Average Daily Price Swing  $5.13 (5.47% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.93% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.7% (StdDev 1.93%)
Daily Moving Force  -0.2%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.92%
Trend Strength  4.3%
RSI   77
Momentum  2.8
Latest Price  $100.0000(-2.3%)
Forecasted Low Price  99.5(-0.5%)
Forecasted High Price  102.2(2.2%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(1.6%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  2.2% (97.84)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  3.2%
Hourly Trend   -1% [$101.61(-1.06), $101.06(0.47)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  10
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  CVX advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  CVX advances 5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Rotation from value to growth for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support CVX advance at -0% a week (81% probability)
  XLE(89%)    SDY(82%)    XOP(78%)    JETS(76%)    VYM(76%)  
Factors Impacting CVX price  CVX will decline at least -0.1% in a week (31% probabilities).
  VXX(-41%)    VIXM(-34%)    UUP(-23%)    GBTC(-23%)    XRT(-21%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the Dip
 
Valuation to SPY   1.9
 
Relative Volatility   2.7 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.6% (StdDev 1.93%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.3%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $100.06(0.06%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Support Level  $93.76
5 Day Moving Average  $100.74(-0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average  $97.81(2.24%)
20 Day Moving Average  $93.76(6.66%)
To recent high  -3.2%
To recent low  18.5%
Market Cap  $186.727b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Fri. Jan. 29, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $97.13 ($69.00 - $116.00)
  23 analysts (last updated on Wed. Nov. 18, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  -2.87%
% to Low Target Price  -31%
% to High Target Price  16%
 
 


Chevron Corp. engages in the provision of administrative, financial management, and technology support for energy and chemical operations. It operates through the Upstream and Downstream segments. The Upstream segment consists of exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation, and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas; transporting crude oil by major international oil export pipelines; processing, transporting, storage, and marketing of natural gas; and a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment comprises refining of crude oil into petroleum products; marketing of crude oil and refined products; transporting of crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufacturing and marketing of commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in San Ramon, CA.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. CVX price fluctuates within 5.47% (three month std-dev: 1.93%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. CVX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Feb_26_202193.76 (0.6%)97.81 (1%)100.74 (0.8%) 101.06 101.61(0%)100(-2.3%)97.61-101.061.9(1.2)0 -0.2%0.7%0%0.92%4.3%772.8 Uptrend Dip  Higher(1.7%)101.90.4Uptrend Dip 107.88(7.88%)97.81-110.414.24   -3.2%-18.5% 
2Feb_25_202193.2 (0.6%)97.04 (1%)99.9 (1.5%) 100.59 102.67(0%)102.35(-0.93%)101.59-104.952(1.8)1.5 1.9%1%-1%0.88%4.1%852.8 Growing Uptrend  Lower(-1%)102.60.5Relative Overbought 104.23(1.84%)97.02-110.1413.2   -0.9%-21.3% 
3Feb_24_202192.46 (0.4%)96.03 (1%)98.43 (1.5%) 98.58 100.51(0%)103.31(3.69%)99.81-104.042(2.4)2.6 1.8%1.2%-0.9%0.78%3.9%892.5 Overbought  Range(-0.8%)102.81.1Overbought 100.14(-3.07%)95.12-107.6616.05   0%-22.5% 
4Feb_23_202191.71 (0.2%)94.75 (0.8%)96.95 (1.4%) 96.91 98.51(0%)99.63(1.26%)96.8-100.161.9(2.1)2.3 1.5%0.8%0%0.7%3.3%882.1 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.3%)102.61.5Uptrend 101.2(1.58%)98.07-102.5514.87   0%-18.1% 
5Feb_22_202191.23 (0.2%)93.91 (0.8%)95.65 (1.2%) 96.02 96.64(0%)98.39(2.7%)96.46-99.641.7(2.1)1.4 1.3%0.8%0%0.64%2.9%881.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.1%)102.91.7Uptrend 99.5(1.13%)97.04-100.5613.12   0%-16.6% 
 
6Feb_19_202190.85 (0%)92.99 (0.8%)94.48 (0.8%) 94.84 95.32(0%)95.8(0.84%)94.65-96.381.5(1.7)3.8 0.4%0.6%0%0.58%2.3%881.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(1%)101.51.9Growing Uptrend 96.97(1.22%)94.88-97.498.9   -0.1%-13.6% 
7Feb_18_202190.63 (0%)92.31 (0.8%)93.72 (0.5%) 94 95.41(0%)95(-0.96%)94.3-95.861.3(1.6)1.5 0.9%0.5%0%0.5%1.9%661.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.9%)101.21.9N/A 94.91(-0.1%)92.46-96.98.91   -1%-12.7% 
8Feb_17_202190.59 (0%)91.7 (0.6%)93.23 (1.1%) 93.13 94.37(0%)95.92(3%)94.2-96.721.1(2)2.2 1.5%0.7%0%0.48%1.2%701.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.2%)101.52.1N/A 95.73(-0.2%)93.11-97.8614.34   0%-13.8% 
9Feb_16_202190.47 (-0%)90.81 (0.6%)92.24 (0.4%) 92.17 92.6(0%)93.13(0.63%)92.61-93.860.7(1)1.4 0.7%0.5%0%0.36%0.4%601.3 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.2%)90.32Uptrend Reversal 93.99(0.92%)93.26-94.4613.9   -2.6%-10.5% 
10Feb_12_202190.4 (-0%)90.15 (0.4%)91.91 (0.7%) 91.58 91.88(0%)92.55(0.58%)91.35-92.730.5(0.8)3.9 0.3%0.5%0%0.28%-0.3%531.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.8%)8-0.32.1Uptrend Reversal 93.38(0.9%)92.68-93.867.85   -3.2%-14.7% 
 
11Feb_11_202190.5 (-0%)89.43 (0.2%)91.25 (0.7%) 91.31 91.75(0%)92.02(-0.54%)90.08-92.440.3(0.6)2.2 0.6%0.2%0%0.14%-1.2%491.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(1.1%)7-0.32.2Uptrend Reversal 92.91(0.97%)92.16-93.428.13   -3.8%-14.1% 
12Feb_10_202190.54 (-0%)89.1 (0%)90.64 (0.8%) 90.77 91.28(0%)92.52(1.72%)90.6-92.590.1(0.7)4.8 0.6%0.4%0%0.04%-1.6%491.3 N/A  Range(1%)6-0.12.2Rebound 91.76(-0.82%)92.66-91.388.76   -3.2%-14.7% 
13Feb_9_202190.56 (-0%)88.63 (-0.2%)89.93 (0.9%) 90.08 90.87(0%)90.96(-0.57%)89.81-91.27-0.2(0.1)1.8 0.7%0.1%0%-0.12%-2.1%361.3 Uptrend Reversal  Range(1.1%)5-0.72N/A 90.86(-0.11%)90.75-90.967.59   -4.9%-14.6% 
14Feb_8_202190.58 (0%)88.43 (-0.4%)89.15 (1.2%) 89.4 90.26(0%)91.48(2.49%)90.01-92.04-0.4(0.3)2.2 1.1%0.1%0%-0.26%-2.4%401.1 Uptrend Reversal  Range(1.2%)4-0.61.8Downtrend 91.23(-0.27%)91.19-91.349.87   -4.3%-15.2% 
15Feb_5_202190.56 (0%)88.31 (-0.6%)88.14 (0.9%) 88.53 89.3(0%)89.26(0.29%)88.64-90.47-0.8(-0.5)3.5 0.9%-0.2%0%-0.36%-2.5%431.1 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.7%)3-1.21.7Downtrend 88.96(-0.34%)88.7-89.547.98   -6.7%-25.5% 
 
16Feb_4_202190.62 (0%)88.51 (-0.8%)88.14 (0%) 87.63 88.53(0%)89(0.04%)87.95-89.65-1(-0.6)1.9 0.7%-0.2%0%-0.48%-2.3%351.1 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.5%)2-1.11.5Downtrend 88.5(-0.56%)88.17-89.287.89   -6.9%-25.1% 
17Feb_3_202190.67 (0%)88.77 (-0.8%)87.33 (0.2%) 86.88 87.77(0%)88.96(2.18%)86.89-89.39-1.1(-0.6)1.1 0.6%-0.4%0%-0.5%-2.1%421.1 Rebound  Range(0.2%)2-0.81.7Correction 86.39(-2.89%)85.95-88.149.25   -7%-25% 
18Feb_2_202190.6 (0%)89.35 (-0.8%)87.16 (-0.5%) 87.13 86.72(0%)87.06(0.75%)86.53-88.37-1.2(-1.2)-0.9 0.2%-0.5%0%-0.48%-1.4%371.1 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.3%)2-1.61.4Relative Oversold 87.53(0.54%)85.81-88.939.23   -9%-22.4% 
19Feb_1_202190.54 (0.2%)90.07 (-0.6%)87.62 (-1%) 87.32 85.99(0%)86.41(1.42%)84.57-87.3-1(-1.3)-1.4 -1.5%-0.4%0%-0.42%-0.5%411.2 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-1.9%)2-1.51.1Correction 83.65(-3.19%)83.19-85.538.02   -9.6%-21.4% 
20Jan_29_202190.5 (0.2%)90.67 (-0.6%)88.52 (-1.5%) 88.57 87.54(0%)85.2(-4.29%)84.92-87.34-0.7(-1.8)-2.5 -1.3%-0.8%0%-0.32%0.2%401.2 Growing Downtrend  Range(0%)3-1.10.2Correction 82.8(-2.82%)82.38-84.4914.61   -10.9%-23.8% 
 
21Jan_28_202190.56 (0.2%)91.72 (-0.2%)89.82 (-0.7%) 89.67 88.66(0%)89.02(1.04%)88.25-90.15-0.2(-0.5)-1.6 -0.8%-0.3%0%-0.12%1.3%501.2 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.1%)4-0.30.6Correction 87.27(-1.97%)86.91-88.728.05   -6.9%-33.1% 
22Jan_27_202190.38 (0.2%)92.16 (-0.2%)90.42 (-1.6%) 90.16 89.6(0%)88.1(-1.41%)86.75-90.35-0(-0.7)-3.7 -1.3%-0.4%0%-0.02%2%491.3 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1%)5-0.40.9Correction 86.53(-1.78%)86.18-87.9410.15   -7.9%-31.7% 
23Jan_26_202190.26 (0.4%)92.73 (0.2%)91.88 (-1.1%) 91.33 90.69(0%)89.36(-1.69%)89.27-92.910.4(-0.3)-4.5 -0.6%-0.2%0%0.22%2.7%601.4 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0%)6-0.71.5Uptrend Consolidation 89.55(0.21%)89.53-89.597.73   -6.5%-33.6% 
24Jan_25_202190.09 (0.4%)93.01 (0.4%)92.91 (-0.3%) 92.37 90.73(0%)90.9(-0.9%)89.33-91.030.8(0.2)-1.7 -1%0%0%0.42%3.2%681.4 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.6%)7-0.32.2Uptrend Consolidation 90.81(-0.1%)90.53-91.657.66   -4.9%-35.9% 
25Jan_22_202189.84 (0.4%)93.07 (0.6%)93.14 (-0.8%) 93.27 91.98(0%)91.73(-0.3%)89.83-92.031(0.5)-0.7 -1.4%0.2%0%0.54%3.6%711.5 Correction  Range(-1.1%)80.22.1Uptrend Consolidation 91.52(-0.23%)91.15-92.647.8   -4.1%-37.2% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
 
 
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