Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 11, 2018

Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chevron)
CVX latest price $126.3749 (3.04%) ($122.7430 - $127.0899) on Thu. Jan. 11, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $126.3749(3.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CVX advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CVX advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CVX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(86%)    OIH(78%)    XOP(73%)    IWD(72%)    IVE(71%)
Factors Impacting CVX price   CVX will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-18%)    DIA(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $123.07(2.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $122.16(3.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $119.44(5.81%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $235.976b

Chevron Corp. engages in the provision of administrative, financial management, and technology support for energy and chemical operations. It operates through the Upstream and Downstream segments. The Upstream segment consists of exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation, and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas; transporting crude oil by major international oil export pipelines; processing, transporting, storage, and marketing of natural gas; and a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment comprises refining of crude oil into petroleum products; marketing of crude oil and refined products; transporting of crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufacturing and marketing of commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in San Ramon, CA.

$. CVX price fluctuates within 2.94% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.91%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(56%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.3%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -1.62%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.99%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.24%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_11_2018	111.78	119.44	122.16	123.07	122.9	123.58	126.37(3.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	115	30	102	153	11.64	73%	0.23	65	0.98%	0	2	87	INF
2	Jan_10_2018	111.52	118.81	121.46	122.22	122.15	122.32	122.65(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	40	10	10	129	5.29	70%	0.21	61.7	0.91%	0	1.2	85	INF
3	Jan_9_2018	111.29	118.42	121.2	122.19	122.04	122.21	121.87(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	52	10	15	164	4.42	70%	0.21	61.1	0.91%	0	1	85	INF
4	Jan_8_2018	111.06	118.04	120.94	122.14	121.97	121.99	122.52(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	73	-0	31	199	4.83	70%	0.21	62.1	0.91%	0	1.4	89	INF
5	Jan_5_2018	110.83	117.61	120.58	121.5	121.61	121.86	121.92(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	66	20	21	201	4.19	67%	0.2	59.3	0.93%	0	1.3	88	INF

6	Jan_4_2018	110.61	117.2	119.95	121.06	121.05	121.95	122.12(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	98	50	59	213	4.6	67%	0.2	61	0.93%	0	1.6	86	INF
7	Jan_3_2018	110.39	116.82	119.19	120.57	120.5	121.35	122.5(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	122	50	90	216	5.81	67%	0.2	65.8	0.93%	0	1.9	89	INF
8	Jan_2_2018	110.17	116.43	118.36	120.09	119.97	120.15	121.62(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	78	10	43	183	5.63	67%	0.25	77.2	0.93%	0	1.9	81	INF
9	Dec_29_2017	109.89	116.02	117.61	119.59	119.72	119.66	119.34(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	-0	-3	158	3.83	63%	0.15	87.9	0.9%	0	1.4	78	INF
10	Dec_28_2017	109.72	115.72	117.08	119.52	119.62	119.79	119.71(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	72	10	37	175	2.19	63%	0.15	96.5	0.9%	0	1.7	82	INF

11	Dec_27_2017	109.56	115.32	116.53	118.63	119.03	119.78	119.68(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	102	50	80	168	3.45	63%	0.16	92.8	0.9%	0	1.9	82	INF
12	Dec_26_2017	109.39	114.88	115.96	117.54	117.81	119.44	120.09(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	136	100	131	152	3.35	63%	0.22	85.8	0.9%	0	2.4	76	INF
13	Dec_22_2017	109.15	114.38	115.39	116.34	116.49	118.29	119.14(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	166	110	177	132	4.74	63%	0.16	75.5	0.89%	0	2.3	70	INF
14	Dec_21_2017	108.98	113.96	114.87	115.34	115.34	116.18	118.99(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	116	50	127	82	10.11	63%	0.15	77	0.9%	0	2.7	74	INF
15	Dec_20_2017	108.82	113.53	114.33	114.33	114.59	114.7	115.24(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	10	23	11	6.29	56%	0.12	74.5	0.8%	0	1.1	64	INF

16	Dec_19_2017	108.69	113.26	114.2	114.15	114.4	114.51	114.24(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	10	7	12	4.6	57%	0.11	65.1	0.8%	0	0.6	70	INF
17	Dec_18_2017	108.57	113.03	114.25	114.12	114.28	114.49	114.11(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	20	10	34	4.65	57%	0.12	55.8	0.81%	0	0.6	73	INF
18	Dec_15_2017	108.44	112.81	114.35	114.26	114.27	114.29	114.13(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	24	0	9	70	11.23	57%	0.14	51.4	0.81%	0	0.7	76	INF
19	Dec_14_2017	108.29	112.57	114.33	114.29	114.38	114.07	113.94(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-20	-12	81	3.74	57%	0.15	46.5	0.81%	0	0.7	67	INF
20	Dec_13_2017	108.13	112.38	114.3	114.31	114.39	114.25	114.33(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-10	-28	95	4.4	60%	0.16	46.3	0.81%	0	0.9	72	INF

21	Dec_12_2017	107.96	112.18	114.06	114.25	114.42	114.7	114.09(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	20	8	120	4.3	60%	0.17	45.5	0.82%	0	0.9	73	INF
22	Dec_11_2017	107.78	112.01	113.78	114.39	114.4	114.54	114.79(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	51	10	20	143	5.93	63%	0.17	48.7	0.82%	0	1.3	79	INF
23	Dec_8_2017	107.6	111.79	113.34	114.47	114.45	114.15	114.32(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-20	-12	138	4.12	61%	0.16	57.9	0.84%	0	1.3	78	INF
24	Dec_7_2017	107.43	111.6	113.03	114.39	114.63	114.27	114.04(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-20	-25	142	4.91	61%	0.15	64.3	0.85%	0	1.3	78	INF
25	Dec_6_2017	107.27	111.4	112.68	114.27	114.61	114.75	114.02(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	20	12	160	4.85	64%		67.7	0.85%	0	1.4	71	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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