Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chevron)
CVX latest price $108.0899 (0.24%) ($107.8349 - $108.9284) on Thu. Sep. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $108.0899(0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CVX advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CVX advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CVX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(86%)    OIH(77%)    XOP(73%)    IWD(72%)    IVE(70%)
Factors Impacting CVX price   CVX will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-18%)    GDXJ(-6%)    DIA(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $106.61(1.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.31(2.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.29(4.65%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $201.833b

Chevron Corp. engages in the provision of administrative, financial management, and technology support for energy and chemical operations. It operates through the Upstream and Downstream segments. The Upstream segment consists of exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation, and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas; transporting crude oil by major international oil export pipelines; processing, transporting, storage, and marketing of natural gas; and a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment comprises refining of crude oil into petroleum products; marketing of crude oil and refined products; transporting of crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufacturing and marketing of commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in San Ramon, CA.

$. CVX price fluctuates within 2.49% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.13%(46%) Average negative next day return: -1.17%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.08%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -1.81%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.18%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.53%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171014

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2017	99.73	103.29	105.31	106.61	106.84	107.61	108.09(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	125	60	97	208	5.82	68%	0.1	51	0.84%	0	1.9	83	0
2	Sep_13_2017	99.63	102.91	104.68	106.11	106.04	106.65	107.83(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	85	40	54	179	5.89	68%	0.1	45.4	0.86%	0	2.1	84	0
3	Sep_12_2017	99.53	102.57	104.07	105.66	105.74	106.08	106.24(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	94	20	65	182	5.11	68%	0.08	42.2	0.84%	0	1.8	82	0
4	Sep_11_2017	99.45	102.32	103.62	105.08	105.37	105.43	106.27(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	70	10	39	161	5.97	68%	0.09	35.9	0.86%	0	2.1	84	0
5	Sep_8_2017	99.36	102.09	103.19	104.37	104.74	105.41	104.62(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	67	60	41	144	4.03	69%	0.08	26.6	0.89%	0	1.6	74	0

6	Sep_7_2017	99.28	101.99	102.87	103.78	104.06	105.31	105.59(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	133	90	122	167	5.94	72%	0.09	19.6	0.88%	0	2.4	83	0
7	Sep_6_2017	99.19	101.87	102.37	103.01	103.06	104.07	105.58(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	121	70	115	137	8.58	73%	0.08	7.7	0.88%	0	2.8	73	0
8	Sep_5_2017	99.11	101.72	101.84	102.26	102.26	102.81	103.36(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	72	40	67	87	5.52	70%	0.05	-7.7	0.85%	0	1.5	60	0
9	Sep_1_2017	99.06	101.72	101.49	101.95	101.83	102.05	102.72(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	10	24	48	3.66	67%	0.05	-14.9	0.85%	0	1	56	0
10	Aug_31_2017	99.01	101.67	101.27	101.85	101.77	101.72	101.64(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10	6	28	5.51	65%	0.01	-9	0.85%	0	-0	45	0

11	Aug_30_2017	99	101.7	101.11	101.81	101.83	101.6	101.74(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-20	-4	4	3.13	65%	0.01	2.9	0.85%	0	0	39	0
12	Aug_29_2017	98.99	101.77	101.02	101.6	101.69	101.83	101.87(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	10	3	-18	3.23	65%	0	17.9	0.86%	0	0.1	36	0
13	Aug_28_2017	98.99	101.8	100.97	101.32	101.43	102.05	101.77(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	35	50	53	-20	3.68	65%	0.01	32.1	0.86%	0	-0	40	0
14	Aug_25_2017	98.98	101.82	100.94	100.94	101.01	101.55	102.22(0.74%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	41	40	67	-36	4.38	62%	0.01	45.4	0.86%	0	0.4	46	0
15	Aug_24_2017	98.97	101.76	100.91	100.61	100.53	100.81	101.47(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	20	32	-68	5.06	62%	0.01	50.8	0.87%	0	-0.2	39	0

16	Aug_23_2017	98.96	101.67	101.03	100.33	100.36	100.47	100.69(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	10	14	-85	4.19	62%	0	42.9	0.86%	0	-0.7	40	0
17	Aug_22_2017	98.96	101.57	101.31	100.37	100.32	100.24	100.45(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	-10	-14	-94	5.63	62%	0.01	40.4	0.86%	0	-0.7	33	0
18	Aug_21_2017	98.95	101.46	101.58	100.58	100.56	100.25	99.9(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-20	-28	-90	3.56	62%	0.01	38.7	0.86%	0	-0.8	35	0
19	Aug_18_2017	98.94	101.32	101.86	100.93	100.88	100.4	100.56(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-30	-47	-82	5.47	64%	0	37.9	0.87%	0	-0.4	43	0
20	Aug_17_2017	98.94	101.15	102.11	101.25	101.27	100.86	100.03(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-61	-30	-60	-65	5.87	60%	0	38.4	0.87%	0	-0.5	47	0

21	Aug_16_2017	98.94	101.06	102.36	101.83	101.82	101.35	100.9(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-30	-49	-21	4.19	60%	0.02	45.1	0.88%	0	-0.1	62	0
22	Aug_15_2017	98.92	100.92	102.61	102.39	102.37	101.67	101.52(-0.13%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-40	-50	-62	25	5.31	60%	0.03	50.4	0.88%	0	0.2	70	0
23	Aug_14_2017	98.89	100.71	102.73	102.72	102.93	102.29	101.65(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-25	-40	-57	71	4.29	60%	0.02	54.3	0.89%	0	0.4	73	0
24	Aug_11_2017	98.87	100.51	102.8	102.92	103.2	103.07	102.13(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-0	-33	126	3.38	60%	0.02	58	0.88%	0	0.6	78	0
25	Aug_10_2017	98.85	100.28	102.72	103.09	103.23	103.57	102.96(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	64	30	23	187	4.95	62%		61.1	0.88%	0	1	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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