Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chevron)
CVX latest price $73.1087 (-0.99%) ($72.2923 - $75.5752) on Wed. Jan. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.26% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $73.1087(-0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CVX advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CVX declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CVX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(86%)    OIH(76%)    XOP(72%)    IWD(71%)    IVE(70%)
Factors Impacting CVX price   CVX will decline at least -1.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.13% (StdDev 2.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

Resistance Level   $73.93
5 Day Moving Average   $72.48(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72.32(1.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.93(-1.11%)
To recent high   -14.1%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $136.514b

Chevron Corp. engages in the provision of administrative, financial management, and technology support for energy and chemical operations. It operates through the Upstream and Downstream segments. The Upstream segment consists of exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation, and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas; transporting crude oil by major international oil export pipelines; processing, transporting, storage, and marketing of natural gas; and a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment comprises refining of crude oil into petroleum products; marketing of crude oil and refined products; transporting of crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufacturing and marketing of commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in San Ramon, CA.

$. CVX price fluctuates within 3.95% (three month std-dev: 2.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.01%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.43%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.34%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.26%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2016	75.74	73.93	72.32	72.48	73.01	73.25	73.11(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	40	39	13	12.38	55%	0.08	-60.5	2.26%	0	-0.3	45	INF
2	Jan_26_2016	75.68	74.21	72.21	71.73	72.12	72.44	73.84(3.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	50	11	-34	12.19	53%	-0.03	-60.6	2.27%	0	-0.1	40	INF
3	Jan_25_2016	75.7	74.53	71.91	71.27	71.17	72.76	71(-3.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	150	13	-67	12.37	51%	0.07	-59.7	2.23%	0	-1	36	INF
4	Jan_22_2016	75.65	75.08	72.03	71.76	71.33	71.8	73.33(3.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	21	30	50	-67	15.72	54%	0.08	-56.5	2.2%	0	-0.5	38	INF
5	Jan_21_2016	75.59	75.37	71.96	72.1	71.06	69.58	71.14(2.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-61	-190	-41	-119	16.11	53%	0.04	-53	2.19%	0	-1.1	32	INF

6	Jan_20_2016	75.56	75.74	72.37	72.14	71.89	70.86	69.33(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-79	-110	-57	-143	26.15	51%	0.03	-50.1	2.16%	0	-1.6	25	INF
7	Jan_19_2016	75.54	76.24	73.28	72.7	72.66	72.55	71.55(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10	-3	-115	13.16	53%	0.09	-46.5	2.13%	0	-1.3	31	INF
8	Jan_15_2016	75.47	76.64	73.9	72.57	72.4	72.91	73.44(-2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-25	40	9	-125	17.87	55%	0.09	-49.6	2.1%	0	-0.9	31	INF
9	Jan_14_2016	75.4	77.07	74.41	72.3	72.2	72.78	75.02(5.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-11	50	30	-135	16.43	57%	0.16	-46.2	2.08%	0	-0.6	30	INF
10	Jan_13_2016	75.28	77.38	74.77	71.87	71.98	71.89	71.39(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-51	-0	-11	-170	15.55	53%	0.15	-41.4	1.99%	0	-1.7	31	INF

11	Jan_12_2016	75.17	77.76	75.63	72.7	72.38	71.63	72.11(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-75	-90	-46	-163	13.48	53%	0.12	-35.2	1.99%	0	-1.7	36	INF
12	Jan_11_2016	75.08	77.99	76.36	74.01	73.48	72.08	70.9(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-89	-150	-70	-147	14.37	53%	0.08	-31.3	1.98%	0	-2.3	31	INF
13	Jan_8_2016	75.02	78.41	77.38	75.43	75.11	73.14	72.09(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-93	-200	-84	-120	11.89	53%	0.04	-21.7	1.97%	0	-2.4	32	INF
14	Jan_7_2016	74.99	78.69	78.42	76.81	76.51	74.88	72.87(-3.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-92	-160	-91	-94	15.37	53%	0.04	-13.9	1.98%	0	-2.6	29	INF
15	Jan_6_2016	74.96	78.89	79.12	78.05	77.79	77.09	75.55(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-54	-70	-51	-61	14.51	60%	0.04	-11.6	1.94%	0	-1.9	35	INF

16	Jan_5_2016	74.93	78.89	79.45	78.96	78.59	78.14	78.66(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-50	-20	-30	7.88	66%	0.09	-6.4	1.92%	0	-0.2	52	INF
17	Jan_4_2016	74.86	78.98	79.48	79.09	79.17	78.48	77.99(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-60	-26	-20	11.4	66%	0.08	-5.7	1.95%	0	-0.5	58	INF
18	Dec_31_2015	74.8	78.99	79.65	79.65	79.45	79.03	78.96(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-40	-40	-10	6.99	68%	0.07	-1.3	2%	0	-0	53	INF
19	Dec_30_2015	74.75	79	79.94	80.33	80.14	79.03	79.08(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-30	-9	35	5.6	70%	0.07	6.7	2.01%	0	0	57	INF
20	Dec_29_2015	74.7	79.1	80.17	80.36	80.71	79.86	80.1(0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-60	-3	57	6.47	70%	0.09	12	2.04%	0	0.5	61	INF

21	Dec_28_2015	74.63	79.09	80.02	80	80.26	80.43	79.31(-1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	20	-25	48	6.8	67%	0.12	12	2.04%	0	0.1	57	INF
22	Dec_24_2015	74.54	79.08	79.73	79.91	80.12	81.56	80.8(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	130	49	68	5	67%	0.12	9.4	2.03%	0	0.9	54	INF
23	Dec_23_2015	74.45	79.02	79.49	79.64	79.49	80.09	82.34(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	44	50	38	60	11.17	67%	0.13	2.6	2.02%	0	1.8	59	INF
24	Dec_22_2015	74.35	78.89	78.93	79.58	79.32	78.67	79.24(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	-70	-21	29	9.66	65%	0.08	2.9	1.98%	0	0.2	50	INF
25	Dec_21_2015	74.29	78.87	78.62	80.01	79.99	78.89	78.33(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-22	-100	-35	16	12.85	65%		6.7	1.98%	0	-0.3	43	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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