Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chevron)
CVX latest price $96.6661 (1.92%) ($95.6345 - $97.6062) on Thu. Oct. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $96.6661(1.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CVX advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CVX declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CVX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(87%)    OIH(77%)    XOP(73%)    XLB(63%)    XLF(63%)
Factors Impacting CVX price   CVX will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $94.61(2.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.63(3.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95.75(0.96%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $180.501b

Chevron Corp. engages in the provision of administrative, financial management, and technology support for energy and chemical operations. It operates through the Upstream and Downstream segments. The Upstream segment consists of exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation, and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas; transporting crude oil by major international oil export pipelines; processing, transporting, storage, and marketing of natural gas; and a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment comprises refining of crude oil into petroleum products; marketing of crude oil and refined products; transporting of crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufacturing and marketing of commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in San Ramon, CA.

$. CVX price fluctuates within 3.1% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_23_2014	103.97	95.75	93.63	94.61	94.97	96.07	96.67(1.92%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	53	90	81	-31	7.2	37%	-0.04	-60	1.08%	0	0.3	45	INF
2	Oct_22_2014	104.01	95.91	93.43	93.75	94.06	95.23	94.84(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	69	100	112	-62	7.21	35%	-0.06	-66.9	1.06%	0	-0.3	42	INF
3	Oct_21_2014	104.07	96.23	93.7	92.97	92.93	93.87	95.75(3.23%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	49	70	96	-93	8.9	37%	-0.05	-71.9	1.07%	0	-0.1	42	INF
4	Oct_20_2014	104.12	96.54	93.72	92.08	91.77	92.9	92.76(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	80	47	-174	8.83	31%	-0.09	-76.3	0.98%	0	-1	29	INF
5	Oct_17_2014	104.21	97.03	94.24	92.17	91.68	91.99	93.01(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	10	53	-183	10.9	31%	-0.08	-74.2	0.98%	0	-1.1	27	INF

6	Oct_16_2014	104.29	97.56	94.71	92.52	91.94	90.64	92.4(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-121	-120	-80	-244	11.91	33%	-0.09	-70.1	0.98%	0	-1.3	23	INF
7	Oct_15_2014	104.38	98.11	95.22	93.09	92.96	91.36	90.91(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-203	-120	-175	-285	15.28	30%	-0.1	-67	0.97%	0	-1.9	20	INF
8	Oct_14_2014	104.48	98.76	95.95	94.54	94.46	93.24	91.33(-2.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-155	-90	-126	-240	11.54	30%	-0.13	-61.4	0.97%	0	-2.1	19	INF
9	Oct_13_2014	104.62	99.41	96.77	95.58	95.64	94.55	93.21(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-136	-80	-107	-221	7.8	32%	-0.08	-60.7	0.95%	0	-1.9	20	INF
10	Oct_10_2014	104.7	99.94	97.49	96.58	96.46	95.68	94.75(-0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-121	-60	-95	-199	9.26	31%	-0.08	-61.5	0.94%	0	-1.8	21	INF

11	Oct_9_2014	104.78	100.32	98.12	97.22	97.25	96.72	95.27(-2.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-81	-40	-49	-175	11.49	33%	-0.07	-67	0.95%	0	-1.9	20	INF
12	Oct_8_2014	104.85	100.73	98.64	97.65	97.64	97.25	98.13(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-68	-30	-31	-180	9.52	37%	-0.03	-73.8	0.9%	0	-1.1	28	INF
13	Oct_7_2014	104.88	100.99	98.99	97.6	97.71	97.78	96.52(-1.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-79	10	-37	-204	7.31	33%	-0.05	-80	0.87%	0	-1.8	18	INF
14	Oct_6_2014	104.93	101.39	99.57	98.15	97.99	98.04	98.25(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-46	-0	1	-186	5.41	35%	-0.04	-82.8	0.85%	0	-1.4	20	INF
15	Oct_3_2014	104.97	101.73	100.01	98.56	98.34	97.65	97.93(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-88	-60	-51	-198	6.3	37%	-0.04	-82.6	0.85%	0	-1.6	24	INF

16	Oct_2_2014	105.01	102.13	100.59	99.19	98.89	97.93	97.43(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-125	-80	-105	-186	8.17	37%	-0.06	-81	0.86%	0	-2.1	31	INF
17	Oct_1_2014	105.07	102.54	101.19	99.78	99.7	99.02	97.88(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-107	-50	-90	-159	8.03	37%	-0.05	-82.6	0.86%	0	-2.2	29	INF
18	Sep_30_2014	105.12	102.98	101.79	100.57	100.38	99.85	99.27(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-79	-40	-65	-122	8.39	39%	-0.03	-82.3	0.84%	0	-1.9	32	INF
19	Sep_29_2014	105.15	103.32	102.27	101.19	100.92	100.38	100.29(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-75	-50	-66	-102	6.79	40%	-0.02	-82.2	0.83%	0	-1.7	32	INF
20	Sep_26_2014	105.17	103.69	102.6	101.68	101.56	100.9	101.06(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-77	-50	-70	-96	5.51	40%	-0.02	-67.6	0.83%	0	-1.4	31	INF

21	Sep_25_2014	105.19	103.99	102.72	102.24	102.2	101.45	100.4(-1.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-90	-50	-85	-106	6.47	40%	-0.03	-57.3	0.83%	0	-1.9	24	INF
22	Sep_24_2014	105.22	104.33	103.01	102.81	102.92	102.21	101.83(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-78	-50	-72	-97	8.01	41%	0	-50	0.81%	0	-1.4	31	INF
23	Sep_23_2014	105.22	104.58	103.18	103.2	103.37	102.95	102.38(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-71	-20	-62	-98	5.62	41%	0	-43.9	0.81%	0	-1.3	30	INF
24	Sep_22_2014	105.22	104.78	103.35	103.51	103.7	103.64	102.74(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	0	-15	-80	5.85	41%	0.01	-37.3	0.82%	0	-1.2	33	INF
25	Sep_19_2014	105.21	104.94	103.57	103.64	103.79	103.78	103.83(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	0	23	-80	10.09	45%		-34.9	0.81%	0	-0.7	30	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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