Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 26, 2014

Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chevron)
CVX latest price $106.6996 (0.32%) ($106.4417 - $107.0823) on Tue. Aug. 26, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.79% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $106.6996(0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CVX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CVX advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CVX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(87%)    OIH(77%)    XOP(73%)    XLB(63%)    XLF(63%)
Factors Impacting CVX price   CVX will decline at least -0.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.395% (StdDev 0.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $106.26(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.78(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $105.55(1.09%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $199.237b

Chevron Corp. engages in the provision of administrative, financial management, and technology support for energy and chemical operations. It operates through the Upstream and Downstream segments. The Upstream segment consists of exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation, and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas; transporting crude oil by major international oil export pipelines; processing, transporting, storage, and marketing of natural gas; and a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment comprises refining of crude oil into petroleum products; marketing of crude oil and refined products; transporting of crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufacturing and marketing of commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in San Ramon, CA.

$. CVX price fluctuates within 1.41% (three month std-dev: 0.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.34%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.18%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.14%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.72%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.6%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140926

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_26_2014	104.38	105.55	105.78	106.26	106.23	106.47	106.7(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	10	42	77	2.83	62%	0.11	-57.4	0.79%	0	0.8	72	0
2	Aug_25_2014	104.27	105.65	105.6	106.16	106.03	105.97	106.36(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10	10	72	2.65	62%	0.09	-51.8	0.8%	0	0.4	73	0
3	Aug_22_2014	104.18	105.8	105.49	105.9	105.91	105.98	105.75(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	0	4	59	3.24	62%	0.09	-46.5	0.8%	0	-0	49	0
4	Aug_21_2014	104.09	106	105.46	105.73	105.74	106.08	106.43(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	20	35	66	2.68	63%	0.09	-37.7	0.79%	0	0.2	54	0
5	Aug_20_2014	104	106.21	105.18	105.4	105.43	105.84	106.07(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	30	41	36	3.23	63%	0.09	-32.5	0.81%	0	-0.1	45	0

6	Aug_19_2014	103.91	106.41	104.95	105.23	105.19	105.39	106.18(1.05%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	23	10	34	-9	3.89	63%	0.09	-29.1	0.81%	0	-0.1	35	0
7	Aug_18_2014	103.82	106.55	104.65	104.97	105.06	105.01	105.08(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	-0	3	-72	4.63	62%	0.08	-27.1	0.8%	0	-0.6	30	0
8	Aug_15_2014	103.74	106.72	104.7	105.02	104.99	104.99	104.91(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-0	-15	-105	5.75	59%	0.09	-24.5	0.8%	0	-0.7	28	0
9	Aug_14_2014	103.65	106.86	104.74	105.14	105.13	105.1	104.74(-0.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-19	-0	14	-118	4.52	59%	0.08	-21	0.82%	0	-0.9	26	0
10	Aug_13_2014	103.57	107	104.91	104.92	105.08	104.99	105.26(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-32	-0	10	-158	3.52	59%	0.1	-24.1	0.82%	0	-0.7	24	0

11	Aug_12_2014	103.47	107.14	105.27	104.61	104.72	104.99	104.84(-0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	30	19	-176	4.94	59%	0.1	-29	0.82%	0	-1	28	0
12	Aug_11_2014	103.37	107.25	105.68	104.26	104.44	105.17	105.35(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	50	66	-174	3.47	59%	0.11	-35.3	0.82%	0	-0.8	35	0
13	Aug_8_2014	103.26	107.32	106.1	104.26	104.09	104.27	105.48(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-23	0	29	-180	4.74	57%	0.12	-37.1	0.82%	0	-0.8	41	0
14	Aug_7_2014	103.14	107.37	106.54	104.34	104.21	103.72	103.66(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-80	-40	-40	-200	4.65	56%	0.09	-42.4	0.8%	0	-1.6	38	0
15	Aug_6_2014	103.05	107.58	107.29	104.93	104.6	103.9	103.72(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-132	-60	-114	-184	5.14	56%	0.09	-37.9	0.81%	0	-1.8	39	0

16	Aug_5_2014	102.96	107.83	107.98	106.06	105.62	104.71	103.09(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-119	-70	-115	-131	8.07	56%	0.09	-24.3	0.8%	0	-2.5	35	0
17	Aug_4_2014	102.87	108.07	108.66	107.29	106.93	105.31	105.73(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-131	-120	-147	-82	7.36	62%	0.13	-9.5	0.74%	0	-1.5	50	0
18	Aug_1_2014	102.74	108.18	108.96	108.12	108.03	106.52	105.51(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-171	-100	-208	-61	7.38	62%	0.03	5.6	0.74%	0	-1.7	49	0
19	Jul_31_2014	102.71	108.33	109.22	109.06	109.19	108.56	106.62(-2.48%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.7	-83	-40	-119	26	7.97	64%	0.04	25.2	0.73%	0	-1.2	57	0
20	Jul_30_2014	102.67	108.38	109.34	109.98	109.9	109.53	109.33(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	-30	-45	108	4.6	72%	0.07	42.5	0.66%	0	0.7	59	0

21	Jul_29_2014	102.6	108.3	109.21	110.21	110.26	109.82	109.24(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-30	-38	122	4.19	72%	0.07	44.1	0.66%	0	0.7	53	0
22	Jul_28_2014	102.53	108.22	108.98	110.23	110.34	110.27	109.92(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-0	-13	132	4.63	73%	0.08	38.9	0.66%	0	1.3	62	0
23	Jul_25_2014	102.45	108.09	108.66	109.91	110.1	110.7	110.19(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	84	40	65	141	3.71	73%	0.08	28.3	0.68%	0	1.6	60	0
24	Jul_24_2014	102.37	107.97	108.25	109.39	109.42	110.41	111.25(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	129	60	129	130	5.34	76%	0.1	15.3	0.66%	0	2.7	61	0
25	Jul_23_2014	102.27	107.8	107.84	108.6	108.58	109.5	110.44(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	112	60	119	90	4.59	76%		0	0.66%	0	2.8	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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