Trading Signals: CVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: CVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 20, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(CVS Health Group)
CVS latest price $95.7451 (-1.24%) ($95.5317 - $96.7009) on Tue. Apr. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $95.7451(-1.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CVS advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CVS advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CVS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(55%)    IWD(54%)    XLV(54%)    SDY(53%)    VYM(53%)
Factors Impacting CVS price   CVS will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-17%)    IPO(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $96.55(-0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $95.52(0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.53(1.29%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   15.1%
Market Cap   $125.139b

CVS Health Corp. engages in the provision of health care services. It operates trough the following segments: Pharmacy Services, Retail or Long Term Care, Health Care Benefits and Corporate. The Pharmacy Services segment offers pharmacy benefit management solutions. The Retail or Long Term Care segment includes selling of prescription drugs and assortment of general merchandise. The Health Care Benefits segment offers traditional, voluntary and consumer-directed health insurance products and related services, including medical, pharmacy, dental, behavioral health, medical management capabilities. The Corporate segment involves in providing management and administrative services. The company was founded by Stanley P. Goldstein and Ralph Hoagland in 1963 and is headquartered in Woonsocket, RI.

$. CVS price fluctuates within 1.52% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.81%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.24%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.34%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -1.55%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.61%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.42%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160505

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2016	89.66	94.53	95.52	96.55	96.44	96.39	95.75(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-10	-6	65	4.37	45%	0.11	86.8	1.23%	0	0.8	63	0
2	Apr_4_2016	89.56	94.31	95.39	96.42	96.43	96.59	96.95(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	10	25	80	3.99	47%	0.15	82.4	1.21%	0	1.7	72	0
3	Apr_1_2016	89.43	94.07	95.11	95.93	95.93	96.49	97.27(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	44	40	33	75	6.27	47%	0.13	82.3	1.23%	0	2.1	78	0
4	Mar_31_2016	89.31	93.81	94.75	95.3	95.38	96.26	96.26(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	70	63	77	3.96	47%	0.1	82.4	1.23%	0	1.8	79	0
5	Mar_30_2016	89.22	93.57	94.49	94.75	94.67	95.38	96.55(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	57	50	55	61	4.49	47%	0.07	80.3	1.24%	0	2.3	69	0

6	Mar_29_2016	89.16	93.29	94.2	94.36	94.14	94.49	95.09(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	20	25	48	3.8	44%	0.06	84.8	1.23%	0	1.5	70	0
7	Mar_28_2016	89.11	93.05	94.06	94.22	94.14	93.97	94.5(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10	8	50	3.58	44%	0.01	75.6	1.23%	0	1.2	71	0
8	Mar_24_2016	89.1	92.86	93.93	94.17	94.07	93.8	94.12(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-3	-20	-18	44	3.04	44%	0.02	71.8	1.23%	0	1	62	0
9	Mar_23_2016	89.08	92.72	93.75	94.11	94.23	94.17	93.48(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-0	-5	48	4.23	44%	0.01	71.7	1.23%	0	0.5	59	0
10	Mar_22_2016	89.07	92.55	93.74	94.16	94.15	94.33	94.59(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	10	8	65	4.05	49%	0.02	66.7	1.22%	0	1.4	70	0

11	Mar_21_2016	89.05	92.31	93.48	94.02	93.98	94.3	94.41(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	20	20	69	3.57	49%	0.03	65.4	1.25%	0	1.4	71	0
12	Mar_18_2016	89.02	92.11	93.18	93.88	93.79	93.98	94.26(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	10	22	72	7.22	49%	-0.01	71.2	1.26%	0	1.5	75	0
13	Mar_17_2016	89.03	91.92	92.96	93.66	93.55	93.67	93.82(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	10	13	70	4.52	44%	-0.02	80	1.26%	0	1.4	69	0
14	Mar_16_2016	89.05	91.72	92.79	93.33	93.36	93.6	93.7(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	20	13	64	3.85	53%	-0.04	90.2	1.32%	0	1.5	63	0
15	Mar_15_2016	89.09	91.56	92.58	93.24	93.12	93.44	93.89(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	20	21	67	3.13	51%	-0.02	116.5	1.48%	0	1.8	70	0

16	Mar_14_2016	89.11	91.36	92.31	92.85	92.92	93.12	93.74(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	20	26	65	3.05	51%	-0.02	145.3	1.5%	0	2	70	0
17	Mar_11_2016	89.13	91.12	91.95	92.36	92.48	92.81	93.13(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	30	13	48	3.59	48%	-0.04	148.8	1.5%	0	1.8	63	0
18	Mar_10_2016	89.17	90.83	91.7	92.16	92.12	92.72	92.18(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	40	22	48	4.88	48%	-0.03	122.6	1.51%	0	1	59	0
19	Mar_9_2016	89.2	90.55	91.61	92.17	91.97	92.15	93.28(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	10	31	58	5.15	48%	-0.03	97.2	1.5%	0	1.7	68	0
20	Mar_8_2016	89.23	90.11	91.27	91.82	91.72	91.52	91.9(0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-20	-6	33	4.35	48%	-0.03	64	1.49%	0	0.9	57	0

21	Mar_7_2016	89.26	89.7	91.06	91.68	91.65	91.79	91.33(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	10	1	32	4.53	48%	-0.04	37.9	1.5%	0	0.7	59	0
22	Mar_4_2016	89.3	89.46	90.97	91.45	91.55	91.91	92.13(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	30	26	43	3.71	52%	-0.02	29	1.49%	0	1.1	68	0
23	Mar_3_2016	89.32	89.23	90.81	91.15	91.14	91.51	92.22(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	30	18	46	3.66	50%	-0.01	28.3	1.53%	0	1.2	75	0
24	Mar_2_2016	89.33	89.03	90.57	90.97	90.91	91.18	91.52(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	30	20	21	58	3.37	50%	-0.02	29.8	1.55%	0	1.1	76	0
25	Mar_1_2016	89.35	88.85	90.47	90.64	90.77	90.76	91.22(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	0	16	75	3.48	50%		28.3	1.56%	0	1	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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