Trading Signals: CTXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: CTXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Sep. 29, 2022)

(Citrix Systems Inc)
CTXS latest price $46.8253 (-1.53%) ($46.8015 - $48.0990) on Wed. Jan. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.43% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $46.8253(-1.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTXS advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTXS declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(46%)    XLK(46%)    SPY(44%)    VT(42%)    XLV(41%)
Factors Impacting CTXS price   CTXS will decline at least -0.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.715% (StdDev 1.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

Resistance Level   $47.79
5 Day Moving Average   $47.67(-1.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.88(-0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.79(-2.02%)
To recent high   -11.4%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $5.784b

Citrix Systems, Inc. engages in the design, development, and marketing of information technology solutions. It provides digital workspace that unifies apps, data, and services. It markets and licenses its products directly to customers through web, systems integrators, value-added resellers, and service providers. The company was founded by Edward E. Iacobucci on April 17, 1989 and is headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, FL.

$. CTXS price fluctuates within 2.93% (three month std-dev: 1.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.6%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.86%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.82%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.45%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.78%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.07%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2015	51.44	47.79	46.88	47.67	47.69	47.44	46.83(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-40	-5	-11	2.5	44%	-0.19	-54.3	1.43%	0	-0.7	41	0
2	Jan_27_2015	51.54	48.01	46.86	47.61	47.53	47.72	47.55(-1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-3	20	3	-20	1.64	46%	-0.17	-46.5	1.43%	0	-0.3	49	0
3	Jan_26_2015	51.63	48.17	46.92	47.43	47.29	47.94	48.23(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	26	90	41	-20	1.87	46%	-0.15	-42.6	1.42%	0	0	44	0
4	Jan_23_2015	51.71	48.3	46.9	47.02	46.92	47.34	48.23(1.53%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	29	60	55	-48	1.81	45%	-0.15	-40.2	1.47%	0	-0	39	0
5	Jan_22_2015	51.79	48.43	46.91	46.39	46.33	46.63	47.51(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	40	22	-99	3.29	42%	-0.17	-39.3	1.56%	0	-0.5	34	0

6	Jan_21_2015	51.88	48.57	46.98	45.99	45.97	46.5	46.54(-0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	80	19	-138	1.55	41%	-0.17	-37.8	1.55%	0	-1	26	0
7	Jan_20_2015	51.97	48.74	47.1	46	45.77	46.02	46.65(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-40	20	4	-170	2.21	41%	-0.19	-32	1.56%	0	-1	25	0
8	Jan_16_2015	52.07	48.92	47.33	46.35	46.01	45.45	46.18(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-67	-110	-27	-185	1.91	39%	-0.17	-26.9	1.55%	0	-1.4	24	0
9	Jan_15_2015	52.16	49.05	47.72	46.78	46.7	45.52	45.08(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-100	-180	-69	-193	1.92	36%	-0.19	-24.9	1.53%	0	-2.1	16	0
10	Jan_14_2015	52.26	49.19	48.26	47.49	47.48	46.57	45.51(-2.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-99	-130	-74	-172	3.46	36%	-0.19	-27.1	1.52%	0	-2.3	16	0

11	Jan_13_2015	52.36	49.33	48.81	48.08	48.25	47.88	46.58(-3.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-52	-40	-27	-128	3.52	37%	-0.19	-28.8	1.5%	0	-1.9	29	0
12	Jan_12_2015	52.46	49.4	49.29	48.31	48.45	48.39	48.38(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	0	-14	-109	0.86	40%	-0.13	-42.7	1.44%	0	-0.8	40	0
13	Jan_9_2015	52.53	49.45	49.56	48.45	48.51	48.63	48.34(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	20	-12	-94	0.89	37%	-0.13	-47.7	1.47%	0	-0.8	39	0
14	Jan_8_2015	52.6	49.52	49.83	48.83	48.76	48.51	48.66(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-40	-15	-61	1.51	37%	-0.13	-48	1.47%	0	-0.6	55	0
15	Jan_7_2015	52.67	49.63	50.08	49.19	49.18	48.4	48.44(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-110	-49	-31	1.29	35%	-0.11	-47	1.48%	0	-0.9	62	0

16	Jan_6_2015	52.73	49.74	50.29	49.68	49.92	49.01	47.73(-2.8%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-47	-110	-64	5	2.1	33%	-0.15	-42.4	1.48%	0	-1.5	55	0
17	Jan_5_2015	52.81	49.97	50.54	50.4	50.54	49.95	49.1(-2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-22	-70	-50	64	1.26	35%	-0.11	-29.9	1.45%	0	-0.7	65	0
18	Jan_2_2015	52.87	50.11	50.66	50.8	50.96	50.82	50.22(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10	-20	105	0.57	36%	-0.11	-20	1.43%	0	0.1	56	0
19	Dec_31_2014	52.93	50.18	50.51	50.96	51.16	51.14	50.47(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	27	10	-2	115	0.85	34%	-0.08	-17.2	1.43%	0	0.2	55	0
20	Dec_30_2014	52.97	50.26	50.22	51.1	51.14	51.1	50.89(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-0	1	93	0.88	34%	-0.08	-12.5	1.49%	0	0.4	49	0

21	Dec_29_2014	53.01	50.31	49.91	50.98	51.12	51.1	51.31(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	20	12	72	1.15	34%	-0.06	-12.3	1.49%	0	0.6	51	0
22	Dec_26_2014	53.04	50.36	49.53	50.71	50.88	51.18	51.13(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	50	15	25	0.41	34%	-0.08	-13.8	1.49%	0	0.5	42	0
23	Dec_24_2014	53.08	50.39	49.33	50.5	50.64	51.05	51.01(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	60	37	4	0.41	34%	-0.06	-14.7	1.5%	0	0.4	43	0
24	Dec_23_2014	53.11	50.43	49.16	49.99	50.24	50.58	51.16(1.68%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	29	60	49	-30	1.18	34%	-0.04	-21.2	1.51%	0	0.4	46	0
25	Dec_22_2014	53.13	50.45	49.09	49.19	49.46	50.23	50.31(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	130	39	-82	1.45	31%		-34.4	1.49%	0	-0.1	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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