Trading Signals: CTXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 29, 2014

Trading Signals: CTXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Sep. 29, 2022)

(Citrix Systems Inc)
CTXS latest price $54.7205 (0.77%) ($54.2458 - $55.1318) on Tue. Jul. 29, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   92
Latest Price   $54.7205(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTXS advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTXS advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(47%)    XLK(47%)    SPY(45%)    VT(43%)    XLV(40%)
Factors Impacting CTXS price   CTXS will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-17%)    IGOV(-9%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.18(2.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.84(5.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.93(7.44%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.5%
Market Cap   $6.759b

Citrix Systems, Inc. engages in the design, development, and marketing of information technology solutions. It provides digital workspace that unifies apps, data, and services. It markets and licenses its products directly to customers through web, systems integrators, value-added resellers, and service providers. The company was founded by Edward E. Iacobucci on April 17, 1989 and is headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, FL.

$. CTXS price fluctuates within 3.02% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(38%) Average negative next day return: -0.66%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 1.38%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -2.39%(54%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 2.09%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.75%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140829

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_29_2014	48.38	50.93	51.84	53.18	53.58	54.24	54.72(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	133	110	96	245	4.2	76%	0.14	47.4	1%	0	2.5	92	INF
2	Jul_28_2014	48.31	50.65	51.37	52.37	52.6	53.53	54.3(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	115	140	87	199	4.15	76%	0.15	32.4	1.01%	0	2.9	91	INF
3	Jul_25_2014	48.24	50.45	50.94	51.54	51.78	52.91	53.3(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	119	170	107	156	3.59	72%	0.1	16.3	1%	0	3	76	INF
4	Jul_24_2014	48.19	50.31	50.56	50.95	51.05	51.68	52.86(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	94	90	90	104	6.11	84%	0.1	-3.5	1.01%	0	3.6	73	INF
5	Jul_23_2014	48.14	50.31	50.22	50.4	50.45	50.66	50.71(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	30	16	28	3.14	64%	0.06	-44.4	1.24%	0	1.1	56	INF

6	Jul_22_2014	48.11	50.21	50.11	50.29	50.32	50.43	50.69(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	20	10	17	2.68	68%	0.06	-53.3	1.29%	0	1	61	INF
7	Jul_21_2014	48.08	50.24	50.11	50.29	50.28	50.25	50.16(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-0	1	11	1.28	68%	0.04	-45.7	1.3%	0	-0.2	62	INF
8	Jul_18_2014	48.06	50.29	50	50.22	50.27	50.22	50.33(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-0	2	6	2.32	68%	0.06	-34.8	1.3%	0	0.1	43	INF
9	Jul_17_2014	48.03	50.34	49.98	50.09	50.23	50.3	50.11(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	20	5	-4	2.29	68%	0.04	-30.4	1.31%	0	-0.4	39	INF
10	Jul_16_2014	48.01	50.41	49.99	50	50.12	50.32	50.17(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	40	16	-12	2.77	68%	0.06	-30.1	1.31%	0	-0.4	38	INF

11	Jul_15_2014	47.98	50.46	49.97	49.9	49.84	50.16	50.31(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	40	17	-24	1.73	68%	0.06	-29.9	1.32%	0	-0.2	42	INF
12	Jul_14_2014	47.95	50.48	49.89	49.74	49.72	49.92	50.16(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	30	17	-49	1.91	68%	0.04	-29.2	1.32%	0	-0.5	35	INF
13	Jul_11_2014	47.93	50.49	49.94	49.75	49.63	49.53	49.7(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-20	-5	-63	1.72	68%	0.06	-21.2	1.32%	0	-1.1	31	INF
14	Jul_10_2014	47.9	50.53	50.05	49.87	49.73	49.51	49.64(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-40	-18	-67	2.24	57%	0.04	-4.6	1.33%	0	-1.3	30	INF
15	Jul_9_2014	47.88	50.61	50.19	49.98	50.01	49.74	49.7(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-40	-12	-61	1.98	57%	0.04	23	1.4%	0	-1.4	29	INF

16	Jul_8_2014	47.86	50.67	50.31	50.04	50.14	49.95	49.53(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-20	-12	-62	2.56	61%	0.04	47.5	1.4%	0	-1.9	32	INF
17	Jul_7_2014	47.84	50.68	50.5	50.03	50.17	50.27	50.2(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	20	-5	-55	1.7	55%	0.06	56.9	1.41%	0	-0.8	45	INF
18	Jul_3_2014	47.81	50.64	50.62	50.15	50.14	50.32	50.27(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	20	4	-39	1.44	49%	0.06	46.3	1.45%	0	-0.5	51	INF
19	Jul_2_2014	47.78	50.56	50.73	50.28	50.2	50.06	50.23(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-20	-5	-28	1.96	49%	0.06	40.3	1.5%	0	-0.3	51	INF
20	Jul_1_2014	47.75	50.46	50.86	50.45	50.38	49.96	49.97(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-60	-24	-26	2.97	53%	0.06	40.4	1.5%	0	-0.4	40	INF

21	Jun_30_2014	47.72	50.38	50.99	50.64	50.67	50.34	49.48(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-40	-31	-17	4.94	53%	0.06	42.6	1.5%	0	-0.8	40	INF
22	Jun_27_2014	47.69	50.35	51.14	51.03	50.95	50.8	50.79(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-6	-30	-13	16	2.83	58%	0.08	51.7	1.47%	0	0.4	64	INF
23	Jun_26_2014	47.65	50.27	51.11	51.15	51.12	50.99	50.92(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-20	-9	32	1.88	49%	0.11	55.2	1.47%	0	0.5	70	INF
24	Jun_25_2014	47.6	50.16	51.07	51.24	51.24	51.1	51.11(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-20	-9	48	1.84	49%	0.11	56.5	1.58%	0	0.7	76	INF
25	Jun_24_2014	47.55	50.02	51.06	51.33	51.37	51.25	50.89(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10	-6	77	2.41	47%		57.8	1.58%	0	0.7	78	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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