Trading Signals: CTXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 12, 2014

Trading Signals: CTXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Sep. 29, 2022)

(Citrix Systems Inc)
CTXS latest price $48.2888 (1.84%) ($47.3790 - $48.4549) on Mon. May. 12, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $48.2888(1.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTXS advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTXS advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(47%)    XLK(47%)    SPY(45%)    VT(43%)    XLV(40%)
Factors Impacting CTXS price   CTXS will decline at least -0.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    IGOV(-9%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    VIXM(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.95% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.52(1.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.14(2.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.18(4.57%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   11.9%
Market Cap   $5.964b

Citrix Systems, Inc. engages in the design, development, and marketing of information technology solutions. It provides digital workspace that unifies apps, data, and services. It markets and licenses its products directly to customers through web, systems integrators, value-added resellers, and service providers. The company was founded by Edward E. Iacobucci on April 17, 1989 and is headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, FL.

$. CTXS price fluctuates within 3.16% (three month std-dev: 1.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 1.12%(62%) Average negative next day return: -1.8%(38%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 2.94%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -2.79%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 2.76%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.88%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2014	46.23	46.18	47.14	47.52	47.52	47.65	48.29(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	20	13	52	2.65	50%	0.11	61.4	1.9%	0	1.4	65	0
2	May_9_2014	46.18	45.93	46.95	47.24	47.31	47.52	47.42(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	40	10	52	2.39	50%	0.07	49.5	1.9%	0	1	66	0
3	May_8_2014	46.15	45.75	46.91	47.09	47.13	47.39	47.55(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	40	15	65	2.6	50%	0.09	42.5	1.92%	0	1.2	68	0
4	May_7_2014	46.11	45.62	46.89	46.95	46.89	47.09	47.57(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	30	8	78	4.45	50%	0.09	37.9	1.95%	0	1.3	69	0
5	May_6_2014	46.07	45.46	46.57	46.82	46.92	46.87	46.76(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-0	9	79	3.51	50%	0.02	31.9	1.96%	0	0.9	69	0

6	May_5_2014	46.06	45.31	46.46	46.7	46.76	46.7	46.88(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	-10	-4	85	2.66	50%	0.07	24	1.98%	0	1.1	71	0
7	May_2_2014	46.03	45.19	46.26	46.63	46.76	46.97	46.68(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	50	2	95	2.98	50%	0.04	20.8	2.01%	0	1.1	71	0
8	May_1_2014	46.01	45.11	46.03	46.69	46.69	46.83	46.86(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	20	7	105	2.71	50%	0.04	20	2.04%	0	1.3	68	0
9	Apr_30_2014	45.99	45.07	45.78	46.81	46.74	46.41	46.92(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-50	2	103	2.33	50%	0.07	24.7	2.07%	0	1.4	57	0
10	Apr_29_2014	45.96	45.02	45.45	46.29	47.09	46.55	46.18(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-30	-4	77	4.04	50%	0.02	7.1	2.08%	0	0.9	57	0

11	Apr_28_2014	45.95	44.97	45.17	46.16	46.69	47.06	46.5(-1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	18	90	-1	73	3.93	50%	0.04	-6.2	2.11%	0	1.2	63	0
12	Apr_25_2014	45.93	44.91	44.84	45.81	46.3	47.63	47.01(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	57	230	52	73	9.24	50%	0.07	-28.3	2.14%	0	1.8	58	0
13	Apr_24_2014	45.9	44.84	44.49	45.27	45.58	46.31	47.47(7.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	55	130	57	48	8.44	50%	0.13	-56.4	2.17%	0	2.3	58	0
14	Apr_23_2014	45.84	44.75	44.21	44.62	44.64	44.97	44.29(-2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	8	50	11	-2	4.26	37%	-0.13	-95	1.71%	0	-0.5	38	0
15	Apr_22_2014	45.9	44.93	44.24	44.48	44.46	44.84	45.54(1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	25	60	37	-10	2.4	41%	-0.02	-81.4	1.67%	0	0.5	44	0

16	Apr_21_2014	45.91	45.05	44.04	44.02	44	44.31	44.74(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	50	20	-51	1.52	37%	-0.11	-78.5	1.66%	0	-0.2	46	0
17	Apr_17_2014	45.96	45.25	44.02	43.71	43.72	44.09	44.3(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	60	19	-71	1.37	37%	-0.15	-62.6	1.68%	0	-0.5	43	0
18	Apr_16_2014	46.03	45.48	44.09	43.59	43.53	43.69	44.23(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	20	3	-89	2.03	37%	-0.15	0	1.71%	0	-0.6	40	0
19	Apr_15_2014	46.1	45.71	44.29	43.77	43.62	43.36	43.59(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-50	-11	-86	2.32	37%	-0.26	0	1.71%	0	-1.1	36	0
20	Apr_14_2014	46.22	45.95	44.54	43.97	43.92	43.37	43.26(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-90	-20	-94	2.57	37%	-0.3	0	1.73%	0	-1.4	26	0

21	Apr_11_2014	46.36	46.2	44.77	44.04	44.1	43.88	43.16(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-30	-28	-113	2.18	37%	-0.34	0	1.77%	0	-1.6	25	0
22	Apr_10_2014	46.52	46.42	45.01	44.35	44.28	44.47	43.69(-3.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-32	30	-5	-114	3.81	37%	-0.32	0	1.8%	0	-1.5	24	0
23	Apr_9_2014	46.67	46.42	45.26	44.64	44.4	44.32	45.13(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-30	-6	-2	3.32	43%	-0.17	0	1.73%	0	26.5	26	0
24	Apr_8_2014	46.75	46.42	45.34	44.91	44.72	44.1	44.62(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-110	-29	-12	2.99	43%	-0.28	0	1.74%	0	26.1	27	0
25	Apr_7_2014	46.88	46.42	45.68	45.24	45.31	44.48	43.61(-2.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-37	-120	-43	-17	3.35	35%		0	1.66%	0	26.1	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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