Trading Signals: CTXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: CTXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Sep. 29, 2022)

(Citrix Systems Inc)
CTXS latest price $47.4661 (7.16%) ($47.0389 - $49.2460) on Thu. Apr. 24, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.17% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $47.4661(7.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTXS advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTXS advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(47%)    XLK(47%)    SPY(45%)    VT(43%)    XLV(40%)
Factors Impacting CTXS price   CTXS will decline at least -1.085% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    IGOV(-8%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.085% (StdDev 2.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.27(4.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.49(6.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.84(5.86%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $5.863b

Citrix Systems, Inc. engages in the design, development, and marketing of information technology solutions. It provides digital workspace that unifies apps, data, and services. It markets and licenses its products directly to customers through web, systems integrators, value-added resellers, and service providers. The company was founded by Edward E. Iacobucci on April 17, 1989 and is headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, FL.

$. CTXS price fluctuates within 2.5% (three month std-dev: 2.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 3.9%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.43%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.11%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.72%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.5%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140524

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_24_2014	45.9	44.84	44.49	45.27	45.58	46.31	47.47(7.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	55	130	57	48	8.44	50%	0.13	-56.4	2.17%	0	2.3	58	NAN
2	Apr_23_2014	45.84	44.75	44.21	44.62	44.64	44.97	44.29(-2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	8	50	11	-2	4.26	37%	-0.13	-95	1.71%	0	-0.5	38	NAN
3	Apr_22_2014	45.9	44.93	44.24	44.48	44.46	44.84	45.54(1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	25	60	37	-10	2.4	41%	-0.02	-81.4	1.67%	0	0.5	44	NAN
4	Apr_21_2014	45.91	45.05	44.04	44.02	44	44.31	44.74(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	50	20	-51	1.52	37%	-0.11	-78.5	1.66%	0	-0.2	46	NAN
5	Apr_17_2014	45.96	45.25	44.02	43.71	43.72	44.09	44.3(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	60	19	-71	1.37	37%	-0.15	-62.6	1.68%	0	-0.5	43	NAN

6	Apr_16_2014	46.03	45.48	44.09	43.59	43.53	43.69	44.23(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	20	3	-89	2.03	37%	-0.15	0	1.71%	0	-0.6	40	NAN
7	Apr_15_2014	46.1	45.71	44.29	43.77	43.62	43.36	43.59(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-50	-11	-86	2.32	37%	-0.26	0	1.71%	0	-1.1	36	NAN
8	Apr_14_2014	46.22	45.95	44.54	43.97	43.92	43.37	43.26(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-90	-20	-94	2.57	37%	-0.3	0	1.73%	0	-1.4	26	NAN
9	Apr_11_2014	46.36	46.2	44.77	44.04	44.1	43.88	43.16(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-30	-28	-113	2.18	37%	-0.34	0	1.77%	0	-1.6	25	NAN
10	Apr_10_2014	46.52	46.42	45.01	44.35	44.28	44.47	43.69(-3.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-32	30	-5	-114	3.81	37%	-0.32	0	1.8%	0	-1.5	24	NAN

11	Apr_9_2014	46.67	46.42	45.26	44.64	44.4	44.32	45.13(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-30	-6	-2	3.32	43%	-0.17	0	1.73%	0	26.5	26	NAN
12	Apr_8_2014	46.75	46.42	45.34	44.91	44.72	44.1	44.62(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-110	-29	-12	2.99	43%	-0.28	0	1.74%	0	26.1	27	NAN
13	Apr_7_2014	46.88	46.42	45.68	45.24	45.31	44.48	43.61(-2.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-37	-120	-43	-17	3.35	35%	-0.42	0	1.66%	0	26.1	23	NAN
14	Apr_4_2014	47.08	46.42	46.15	45.6	45.76	45.33	44.72(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-60	-31	-12	3.89	41%	-0.34	0	1.63%	0	29.6	30	NAN
15	Apr_3_2014	47.24	46.42	46.58	45.75	45.9	46.14	45.14(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	50	-7	-3	2.86	41%	-0.32	0	1.68%	0	31.8	39	NAN

16	Apr_2_2014	47.39	46.42	46.99	45.94	45.92	46.19	46.45(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	40	22	9	1.55	51%	-0.15	0	1.59%	0	34.4	50	NAN
17	Apr_1_2014	47.46	46.42	47.23	45.85	45.77	45.67	46.26(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-20	-14	-6	1.58	51%	-0.21	0	1.64%	0	33.5	50	NAN
18	Mar_31_2014	47.56	46.42	47.45	46.23	46.05	45.64	45.44(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-70	-37	-15	3.82	42%	-0.42	0	1.6%	0	32.7	50	NAN
19	Mar_28_2014	47.76	46.42	47.74	46.82	46.8	45.86	45.46(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-140	-49	-20	2.75	42%	-0.48	0	1.67%	0	35.2	50	NAN
20	Mar_27_2014	47.99	46.42	47.95	47.54	47.52	46.46	46.07(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-57	-160	-67	-27	3.87	42%	-0.44	0	1.73%	0	41.5	50	NAN

21	Mar_26_2014	48.2	46.42	47.95	48.19	48.35	47.74	46.01(-4.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-38	-80	-44	-18	8.01	42%	-0.56	0	1.83%	0	47.9	50	NAN
22	Mar_25_2014	48.47	46.42	47.95	48.78	48.87	48.57	48.18(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-21	-40	-24	-10	1.6	75%	-0.08	0	1%	0	80.3	50	NAN
23	Mar_24_2014	48.51	46.42	47.95	48.84	48.93	48.97	48.37(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	10	-4	-2	1.86	75%	-0.06	0	1.04%	0	76.8	50	NAN
24	Mar_21_2014	48.54	46.42	47.95	48.78	48.82	49.17	49.06(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	50	55	22	3.18	100%	0.23	0	0.72%	0	72.1	50	NAN
25	Mar_20_2014	48.43	46.42	47.95	48.43	48.47	48.88	49.34(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	1329	60	1563	625	1.94	100%		0	0.35%	0	70.5	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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