Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CTRP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 8, 2017

Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Nov. 4, 2019)

(Ctrip.Com)
CTRP latest price $43.1100 (0.47%) ($42.5800 - $43.3900) on Wed. Feb. 8, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $43.1100(0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTRP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTRP declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTRP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(65%)    MCHI(60%)    EEM(54%)    FXI(54%)    VWO(53%)
Factors Impacting CTRP price   CTRP will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    SHY(-19%)    TLT(-17%)    BND(-13%)    XLU(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $43.37
5 Day Moving Average   $42.95(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.11(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.37(-0.6%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $23.948b

Ctrip.com International Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. CTRP price fluctuates within 0.88% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2017	43.79	43.37	43.11	42.95			43.11(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	1	-22	2.8	67%	-0.02	6.8	1.8%	0	-0.7	42	0
2	Feb_7_2017	43.8	43.4	43.15	42.93			42.91(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-2	-27	2.16	70%	-0.02	43.2	1.8%	0	-1.3	31	0
3	Feb_6_2017	43.81	43.43	43.25	42.99			43.05(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	-2	-27	2.19	70%	0	92.8	1.83%	0	-1.1	30	0
4	Feb_3_2017	43.81	43.4	43.27	43.06			42.9(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-3	-26	1.55	70%	-0.02	116	1.83%	0	-1.2	42	0
5	Feb_2_2017	43.82	43.41	43.32	43.16			42.79(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	-10000	-3	-23	1.93	65%	0	150.5	1.83%	0	-1.5	44	0

6	Feb_1_2017	43.82	43.35	43.4	43.28			43.01(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-3	-21	2.79	62%	0	122.5	1.85%	0	-0.6	38	0
7	Jan_31_2017	43.82	43.24	43.5	43.4			43.21(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-3	-14	3	62%	-0.02	93	1.87%	0	-0	45	0
8	Jan_30_2017	43.83	43.1	43.59	43.54			43.4(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	1	-10000	1	-1	2.28	62%	-0.02	95.1	1.87%	0	0.3	53	0
9	Jan_27_2017	43.84	42.94	43.59	43.54			43.4(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1	-10000	0	4	2.13	56%	-0.05	71.7	1.88%	0	0.4	61	0
10	Jan_26_2017	43.86	42.78	43.61	43.51			43.38(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-1	7	3.59	53%	-0.05	59.5	1.91%	0	0.5	57	0

11	Jan_25_2017	43.88	42.63	43.67	43.54			43.62(-0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-2	25	2.59	53%	-0.05	52.9	1.94%	0	0.7	70	0
12	Jan_24_2017	43.9	42.45	43.68	43.61			43.88(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-10000	-1	50	2.77	53%	0	48.8	1.94%	0	0.9	76	0
13	Jan_23_2017	43.9	42.27	43.61	43.67			43.29(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-1	75	2.5	53%	-0.11	46.3	1.94%	0	0.7	77	0
14	Jan_20_2017	43.95	42.14	43.55	43.67			43.36(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	0	97	1.87	53%	-0.14	41.9	1.94%	0	0.7	78	0
15	Jan_19_2017	44.01	42.01	43.5	43.72			43.54(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-10000	-2	118	2.03	53%	-0.09	36.3	1.94%	0	0.9	79	0

16	Jan_18_2017	44.05	41.87	43.3	43.8			43.99(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	1	135	2.5	54%	-0.07	33.6	1.94%	0	1.3	81	0
17	Jan_17_2017	44.08	41.71	42.97	43.75			44.17(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	5	141	4.86	54%	-0.16	27.1	1.95%	0	1.5	84	0
18	Jan_13_2017	44.15	41.56	42.57	43.56			43.53(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	38	-10000	5	138	1.67	54%	-0.07	20.9	1.93%	0	1.4	81	0
19	Jan_12_2017	44.18	41.46	42.23	43.36			43.36(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	-10000	3	128	2.66	54%	-0.05	15.2	1.92%	0	1.4	70	0
20	Jan_11_2017	44.2	41.41	41.9	43.24			43.97(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	-10000	13	125	2.45	51%	-0.05	14.3	1.92%	0	2	75	0

21	Jan_10_2017	44.22	41.32	41.5	42.72			43.71(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	-10000	16	99	2.58	53%	-0.07	2.1	1.95%	0	2	73	0
22	Jan_9_2017	44.25	41.28	41.12	42.07			43.24(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	-10000	16	66	3.01	53%	-0.07	-16.7	1.97%	0	1.8	68	0
23	Jan_6_2017	44.28	41.28	40.78	41.43			42.5(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	13	30	3.13	53%	-0.07	-39	1.96%	0	1.1	59	0
24	Jan_5_2017	44.31	41.26	40.58	40.92			42.8(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	11	-10000	14	1	4.84	53%	-0.09	-58.7	1.96%	0	1.3	53	0
25	Jan_4_2017	44.35	41.22	40.35	40.36			41.34(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	6	-40	5.87	50%		-85.4	1.9%	0	0.1	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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