Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CTRP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Nov. 4, 2019)

(Ctrip.Com)
CTRP latest price $40.9900 (-2.1%) ($40.5900 - $42.1900) on Wed. Nov. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $40.9900(-2.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTRP declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTRP declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTRP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(64%)    MCHI(60%)    FXI(54%)    EEM(53%)    VWO(53%)
Factors Impacting CTRP price   CTRP will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    SHY(-17%)    TLT(-15%)    BND(-10%)    XLU(-8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.8%

Resistance Level   $42.48
5 Day Moving Average   $41.89(-2.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.65(-1.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.48(-3.51%)
To recent high   -16.3%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $22.77b

Ctrip.com International Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. CTRP price fluctuates within 3.53% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_23_2016	44.68	42.48	41.65	41.89			40.99(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-7	-41	6.65	40%	0.02	-86.4	1.65%	0	-1	42	0
2	Nov_22_2016	44.67	42.75	41.78	42.12			41.87(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-1	-28	3.87	41%	-0.07	-69.7	1.63%	0	-0.5	47	0
3	Nov_21_2016	44.7	43.04	41.93	42.15			42.26(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	9	-23	3.79	41%	0.02	-59	1.63%	0	-0.4	42	0
4	Nov_18_2016	44.69	43.31	42.04	41.83			42.02(-0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10000	6	-45	2.41	41%	0.02	-55.3	1.63%	0	-0.6	36	0
5	Nov_17_2016	44.68	43.58	42.08	41.64			42.31(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	8	-71	2.17	41%	0.04	-54.1	1.63%	0	-0.5	35	0

6	Nov_16_2016	44.66	43.81	42.09	41.38			42.16(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-29	-10000	-1	-111	3.64	41%	0.04	-54	1.63%	0	-0.7	31	0
7	Nov_15_2016	44.64	44.06	42.1	41.4			42.02(3.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-44	-10000	-9	-148	7.06	41%	0.09	-52	1.63%	0	-0.8	26	0
8	Nov_14_2016	44.6	44.31	42.23	41.71			40.62(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-58	-10000	-18	-178	2.92	38%	0.02	-49.4	1.58%	0	-1.5	13	0
9	Nov_11_2016	44.59	44.61	42.58	42.3			41.1(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-51	-10000	-8	-179	7.05	38%	0.02	-49.4	1.58%	0	-1.5	14	0
10	Nov_10_2016	44.58	44.89	42.94	42.56			40.98(-3.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-55	-10000	-9	-191	5.43	38%	0	-50.6	1.58%	0	-1.8	18	0

11	Nov_9_2016	44.58	45.17	43.39	42.86			42.29(-2.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-49	-10000	-0	-194	4.18	43%	0.07	-54.9	1.54%	0	-1.4	24	0
12	Nov_8_2016	44.55	45.39	43.81	42.87			43.57(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-49	-10000	1	-199	2.29	46%	0.11	-60.6	1.55%	0	-1	27	0
13	Nov_7_2016	44.5	45.55	44.22	42.84			43.54(2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-52	-10000	-4	-196	3.38	46%	0.11	-61.6	1.56%	0	-1	29	0
14	Nov_4_2016	44.45	45.78	44.66	42.96			42.44(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-57	-10000	-14	-187	2.78	43%	0.07	-59.6	1.53%	0	-1.8	28	0
15	Nov_3_2016	44.42	46.03	45.17	43.42			42.45(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-10000	-18	-161	2.18	43%	0.07	-56.6	1.54%	0	-2.1	27	0

16	Nov_2_2016	44.39	46.3	45.67	44.02			42.34(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-52	-10000	-25	-132	4.87	43%	0.05	-51.7	1.54%	0	-2.6	29	0
17	Nov_1_2016	44.37	46.57	46.19	44.89			43.41(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-43	-10000	-27	-90	3.68	45%	0.09	-44	1.51%	0	-2.5	32	0
18	Oct_31_2016	44.33	46.77	46.58	45.81			44.15(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-29	-10000	-23	-45	4.27	47%	0.09	-25.9	1.51%	0	-2.6	33	0
19	Oct_28_2016	44.29	46.92	46.83	46.62			44.73(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-17	-10000	-16	-18	3.66	47%	0.09	2.3	1.5%	0	-2.7	29	0
20	Oct_27_2016	44.25	47.03	47.04	47.19			45.47(-2.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.6	-6	-10000	-10	8	5.36	48%	0.09	31.4	1.49%	0	-2.4	42	0

21	Oct_26_2016	44.21	47.11	47.15	47.55			46.69(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	2	-10000	-3	18	2.93	52%	0.05	60.5	1.45%	0	-0.8	44	0
22	Oct_25_2016	44.19	47.12	47.13	47.66			48(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	6	19	4.68	55%	0.07	78	1.41%	0	1.5	53	0
23	Oct_24_2016	44.16	47.04	47	47.47			48.2(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	-10000	12	10	3.11	55%	0.11	79.1	1.4%	0	1.8	58	0
24	Oct_21_2016	44.11	46.9	46.97	47.09			47.61(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	4	-10000	6	-1	1.49	55%	0.07	81	1.4%	0	1.2	55	0
25	Oct_20_2016	44.08	46.82	46.9	46.88			47.25(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	6	-8	2.14	55%		90.5	1.4%	0	0.7	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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