Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Nov. 4, 2019)

(Ctrip.Com)
CTRP latest price $46.3900 (1.09%) ($45.6900 - $46.6000) on Fri. Aug. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.07% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $46.3900(1.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTRP advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTRP advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTRP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(64%)    MCHI(60%)    FXI(54%)    EEM(53%)    VWO(52%)
Factors Impacting CTRP price   CTRP will decline at least -1.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    SHY(-17%)    TLT(-11%)    TIP(-7%)    BND(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.035% (StdDev 2.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.37(2.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.18(5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.92(5.62%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.4%
Market Cap   $25.77b

Ctrip.com International Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. CTRP price fluctuates within 2.35% (three month std-dev: 2.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2016	43.48	43.92	44.18	45.37			46.39(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	-10000	14	64	4.5	51%	0.05	75.3	2.07%	0	2.4	71	0
2	Aug_11_2016	43.46	43.74	43.89	44.7			45.89(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	20	-10000	13	39	3.78	51%	0.02	81.4	2.07%	0	2.5	67	0
3	Aug_10_2016	43.45	43.59	43.65	44.11			45.53(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	15	-10000	13	20	4.44	51%	0.02	87.7	2.08%	0	2.5	68	0
4	Aug_9_2016	43.44	43.42	43.47	43.51			45.16(2.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	9	-10000	12	0	7.74	48%	0	87	2.09%	0	2.5	65	0
5	Aug_8_2016	43.44	43.25	43.33	42.99			43.89(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-1	-10000	4	-17	3.42	45%	0	80.7	2.08%	0	1	60	0

6	Aug_5_2016	43.44	43.15	43.3	42.83			43.05(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-10000	-3	-25	2.97	45%	0.02	62	2.08%	0	-0.1	43	0
7	Aug_4_2016	43.43	43.04	43.38	42.95			42.94(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-10000	-4	-17	2.3	45%	0.02	50.8	2.08%	0	-0.1	50	0
8	Aug_3_2016	43.42	42.91	43.43	43.12			42.5(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-7	-10	2.76	45%	0.02	47.7	2.08%	0	-0.3	47	0
9	Aug_2_2016	43.41	42.82	43.54	43.42			42.56(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10000	-6	9	3	45%	0.05	52.9	2.08%	0	-0.2	58	0
10	Aug_1_2016	43.39	42.73	43.61	43.7			43.09(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-3	28	3.9	45%	0.05	68.4	2.09%	0	0.3	66	0

11	Jul_29_2016	43.37	42.64	43.67	43.83			43.67(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-1	45	3.37	43%	0.12	76	2.1%	0	0.8	75	0
12	Jul_28_2016	43.32	42.52	43.62	43.86			43.79(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	1	62	2.73	43%	0.12	78.7	2.14%	0	0.9	83	0
13	Jul_27_2016	43.27	42.36	43.54	43.79			43.97(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	2	79	2.95	43%	0.12	77.7	2.14%	0	1.2	87	0
14	Jul_26_2016	43.22	42.16	43.37	43.69			44(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	4	91	3.6	43%	0.12	75.9	2.14%	0	1.3	84	0
15	Jul_25_2016	43.17	41.86	43.17	43.5			43.73(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	0	92	2.52	43%	0.07	59.9	2.15%	0	1.2	76	0

16	Jul_22_2016	43.14	41.66	42.98	43.49			43.83(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	3	99	3.21	43%	0.12	65.1	2.17%	0	1.4	71	0
17	Jul_21_2016	43.09	41.49	42.67	43.34			43.4(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	2	92	2.84	43%	0.07	68.9	2.16%	0	1.3	68	0
18	Jul_20_2016	43.06	41.32	42.36	43.26			43.48(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	6	90	3.17	43%	0.05	73	2.18%	0	1.5	73	0
19	Jul_19_2016	43.04	41.12	42.04	43			43.06(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	5	83	5.55	43%	0.05	69.6	2.19%	0	1.4	74	0
20	Jul_18_2016	43.02	40.92	41.8	42.78			43.68(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	30	-10000	8	96	2.48	43%	0.05	65.5	2.19%	0	2	86	0

21	Jul_15_2016	43	40.64	41.52	42.4			43.08(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	11	94	2.18	43%	0.05	53.1	2.19%	0	1.8	68	0
22	Jul_14_2016	42.98	40.47	41.32	41.91			43(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	-10000	13	81	2.79	43%	0.02	43.1	2.19%	0	2	60	0
23	Jul_13_2016	42.97	40.27	41.06	41.32			42.19(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10000	9	62	3.62	47%	0.02	21.9	2.17%	0	1.7	60	0
24	Jul_12_2016	42.96	40.16	40.82	40.92			41.95(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	-10000	5	47	3.36	47%	0	-4.7	2.23%	0	1.8	61	0
25	Jul_11_2016	42.96	40.03	40.43	40.67			41.78(2.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	-10000	3	30	2.76	49%		-37.4	2.26%	0	1.9	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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