Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CTRP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Nov. 4, 2019)

(Ctrip.Com)
CTRP latest price $44.3150 (-2.37%) ($42.5500 - $45.8400) on Tue. Oct. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.26% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $44.3150(-2.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTRP advances 4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTRP advances 8.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTRP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(65%)    MCHI(56%)    FXI(50%)    EEM(49%)    QQQ(48%)
Factors Impacting CTRP price   CTRP will decline at least -2.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    SHY(-18%)    TLT(-14%)    GLD(-9%)    BND(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.13% (StdDev 4.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.84(11.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.85(17.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.8(23.78%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   46.5%
Market Cap   $24.617b

Ctrip.com International Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. CTRP price fluctuates within 9.64% (three month std-dev: 4.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_27_2015	35.35	35.8	37.85	39.84			44.32(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	46	-10000	19	128	16.68	61%	0.2	61.6	4.26%	0	2.5	79	0
2	Oct_26_2015	35.28	35.12	36.8	38.3			45.39(22.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.4	43	-10000	24	98	48.55	61%	0.2	53.9	4.3%	0	3.5	84	0
3	Oct_23_2015	35.21	34.36	35.55	36.43			37.17(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	5	59	7.94	51%	0	50.6	3.37%	0	1.6	67	0
4	Oct_22_2015	35.21	34.13	35.2	36.1			36.2(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	4	52	5.26	51%	-0.03	44.9	3.35%	0	1.2	70	0
5	Oct_21_2015	35.22	33.98	34.99	35.87			36.11(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	6	61	2.69	51%	-0.09	37.6	3.35%	0	1.3	78	0

6	Oct_20_2015	35.25	33.79	34.87	35.5			36.66(1.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	23	-10000	8	69	4.74	51%	-0.11	21.6	3.36%	0	1.9	78	0
7	Oct_19_2015	35.29	33.61	34.62	35.01			36(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	24	-10000	8	71	2.64	51%	-0.11	13.9	3.35%	0	1.7	77	0
8	Oct_16_2015	35.33	33.49	34.46	34.55			35.53(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	24	-10000	7	76	5.63	51%	-0.14	8.1	3.35%	0	1.6	78	0
9	Oct_15_2015	35.38	33.4	34.24	34.17			35.08(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	3	68	4.79	48%	-0.14	-1.1	3.36%	0	1.3	62	0
10	Oct_14_2015	35.43	33.39	33.88	33.98			34.22(-0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	-10000	-3	51	4.61	48%	-0.2	0	3.41%	0	0.6	54	0

11	Oct_13_2015	35.5	33.46	33.63	34.15			34.25(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	-0	54	3.74	48%	-0.06	14.4	3.41%	0	0.6	59	0
12	Oct_12_2015	35.52	33.42	33.36	34.17			33.67(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-3	46	3.89	48%	-0.22	19.4	3.41%	0	0.2	52	0
13	Oct_9_2015	35.6	33.38	33.11	34.34			33.64(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	11	-10000	1	39	5.19	50%	-0.08	26.4	3.42%	0	0.2	49	0
14	Oct_8_2015	35.63	33.42	33.01	34.29			34.14(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	10	34	4.83	50%	-0.06	30.7	3.44%	0	0.5	49	0
15	Oct_7_2015	35.65	33.38	32.91	33.72			35.07(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	12	10	6.69	50%	-0.03	21.9	3.44%	0	1.3	48	0

16	Oct_6_2015	35.66	33.27	32.63	33.03			34.33(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	11	-28	3.79	50%	-0.06	10.3	3.43%	0	0.8	40	0
17	Oct_5_2015	35.68	33.17	32.5	32.44			34.54(3.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-2	-10000	13	-46	6.84	50%	-0.03	-5.6	3.43%	0	1.1	54	0
18	Oct_2_2015	35.69	33.04	32.39	31.72			33.39(6.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-15	-10000	3	-68	8.53	48%	-0.06	-30.8	3.43%	0	0.3	53	0
19	Oct_1_2015	35.71	33.01	32.44	31.58			31.3(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-8	-81	4	44%	-0.06	-40.7	3.32%	0	-1.3	39	0
20	Sep_30_2015	35.73	33.1	32.81	31.99			31.59(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-3	-61	6.95	44%	-0.03	-31.7	3.33%	0	-1.2	44	0

21	Sep_29_2015	35.74	33.14	33.25	32.17			31.4(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-7	-43	7.73	42%	0	-27.6	3.35%	0	-1.5	47	0
22	Sep_28_2015	35.74	33.24	33.48	32.55			30.93(-5.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-15	-10000	-10	-28	4.73	42%	-0.03	-8.8	3.37%	0	-2	49	0
23	Sep_25_2015	35.75	33.44	33.72	33.13			32.67(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	-5	-4	3.97	45%	0	19.6	3.31%	0	-0.7	56	0
24	Sep_24_2015	35.75	33.55	33.9	33.43			33.35(2.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10000	-6	12	3.41	45%	0.06	38.2	3.3%	0	-0.2	53	0
25	Sep_23_2015	35.73	33.49	33.94	33.79			32.5(-2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-10000	-13	25	4.89	45%		38	3.29%	0	-0.9	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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