Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CTRP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 26, 2015

Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Nov. 4, 2019)

(Ctrip.Com)
CTRP latest price $40.9950 (-3.12%) ($40.3500 - $43.8100) on Tue. May. 26, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.2% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $40.9950(-3.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTRP advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTRP advances 9.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTRP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(51%)    EEM(50%)    VWO(49%)    QQQ(47%)    VT(46%)
Factors Impacting CTRP price   CTRP will decline at least -2.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TLT(-16%)    BND(-11%)    IGOV(-10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.1% (StdDev 4.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.3(7.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.59(12.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.35(19.34%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   87%
Market Cap   $22.773b

Ctrip.com International Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. CTRP price fluctuates within 8.91% (three month std-dev: 4.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150626

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2015	27.65	34.35	36.59	38.3			41(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	-10000	13	146	14.72	90%	0.88	50.5	4.2%	0	2.2	87	0
2	May_22_2015	27.41	33.93	35.67	37.3			42.32(17.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	46	-10000	17	131	28.99	90%	0.59	51.4	4.09%	0	3.3	88	0
3	May_21_2015	27.25	33.41	34.58	36.04			36(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	29	-10000	1	111	4.32	87%	0.48	58.9	3.55%	0	1.5	80	0
4	May_20_2015	27.12	33.23	34.21	35.95			35.97(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	-10000	10	117	3.79	88%	0.52	65	3.58%	0	1.7	80	0
5	May_19_2015	26.98	33.07	33.78	35.29			36.25(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	34	-10000	12	100	3.13	88%	0.52	61.7	3.58%	0	2.1	80	0

6	May_18_2015	26.84	32.87	33.3	34.56			35.99(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	-10000	14	76	4.02	88%	0.52	56.3	3.6%	0	2.3	73	0
7	May_15_2015	26.7	32.65	32.89	33.74			35.99(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	23	-10000	14	49	7.43	88%	0.38	46.7	3.58%	0	2.9	65	0
8	May_14_2015	26.6	32.42	32.45	32.92			35.57(8.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.1	13	-10000	11	20	24.09	88%	0.49	35.8	3.6%	0	3.7	65	0
9	May_13_2015	26.47	32.21	32.04	32.26			32.68(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	4	-6	6.69	85%	0.42	25	3.48%	0	1	47	0
10	May_12_2015	26.36	32.17	31.97	32.06			32.57(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	-10000	4	-18	5.07	85%	0.38	14.1	3.48%	0	0.8	43	0

11	May_11_2015	26.26	32.14	31.94	31.84			31.88(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10000	-1	-27	7.4	85%	0.38	14.5	3.48%	0	-0.5	43	0
12	May_8_2015	26.16	32.13	32.06	31.84			31.9(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-10000	0	-20	2.63	79%	0.38	24.4	3.47%	0	-0.5	53	0
13	May_7_2015	26.06	32.11	32.14	31.88			32.28(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	1	-14	5.46	79%	0.46	42.3	3.49%	0	0.3	58	0
14	May_6_2015	25.94	32.09	32.19	31.8			31.67(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10000	-1	-13	3.99	74%	0.43	60.3	3.52%	0	-0.8	50	0
15	May_5_2015	25.83	32.1	32.33	31.87			31.5(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4	-10000	-3	-6	12.77	74%	0.43	75	3.54%	0	-1	48	0

16	May_4_2015	25.72	32.07	32.44	32.06			32.08(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-3	-10000	-4	2	4.84	74%	0.35	84	3.53%	0	0	53	0
17	May_1_2015	25.63	32	32.42	32.27			31.9(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-3	11	4.33	74%	0.43	100	3.48%	0	-0.1	57	0
18	Apr_30_2015	25.52	31.9	32.41	32.45			31.84(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-3	17	3.21	74%	0.43	89	3.51%	0	-0.1	56	0
19	Apr_29_2015	25.41	31.79	32.41	32.64			32.02(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-4	22	4.38	74%	0.4	78.7	3.51%	0	0.2	53	0
20	Apr_28_2015	25.31	31.67	32.42	32.85			32.44(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-1	30	4.11	74%	0.44	75.6	3.52%	0	0.7	59	0

21	Apr_27_2015	25.2	31.52	32.37	32.88			33.14(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	14	-10000	5	41	3.74	74%	0.44	72.1	3.51%	0	1.3	78	0
22	Apr_24_2015	25.09	31.35	32.2	32.6			32.79(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	4	38	3.16	74%	0.4	70	3.49%	0	1.2	77	0
23	Apr_23_2015	24.99	31.17	32.08	32.37			32.81(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	4	41	2.43	74%	0.36	87.1	3.51%	0	1.3	82	0
24	Apr_22_2015	24.9	31.02	31.98	32.17			33.07(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	15	-10000	4	48	5.22	74%	0.36	113.5	3.51%	0	1.7	87	0
25	Apr_21_2015	24.81	30.84	31.84	31.93			32.58(2.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	15	-10000	2	54	5.33	76%		143.7	3.51%	0	1.5	86	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.