Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CTRP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Nov. 4, 2019)

(Ctrip.Com)
CTRP latest price $29.6050 (1.29%) ($28.8000 - $29.8800) on Fri. Mar. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.52% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $29.6050(1.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTRP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTRP advances 15.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTRP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(49%)    FXI(48%)    VWO(48%)    QQQ(45%)    VT(45%)
Factors Impacting CTRP price   CTRP will decline at least -1.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    SHY(-16%)    TLT(-14%)    BND(-9%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.76% (StdDev 3.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.52(0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.92(9.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.92(18.8%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   35%
Market Cap   $16.446b

Ctrip.com International Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. CTRP price fluctuates within 12.12% (three month std-dev: 3.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150427

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_27_2015	24.37	24.92	26.92	29.52			29.61(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	68	-10000	3	263	6.26	75%	0.12	62.2	3.52%	0	1.6	78	0
2	Mar_26_2015	24.34	24.56	26.16	29.36			29.23(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	85	-10000	25	263	8.13	75%	0.08	63.9	3.55%	0	1.7	74	0
3	Mar_25_2015	24.32	24.22	25.5	28.12			29.88(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	76	-10000	29	216	6.37	75%	0.04	54.7	3.53%	0	2.2	79	0
4	Mar_24_2015	24.31	23.85	24.75	26.77			29.45(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	62	-10000	29	161	6.65	75%	0	44.6	3.56%	0	2.5	78	0
5	Mar_23_2015	24.31	23.51	24.01	25.45			29.43(2.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	54	-10000	35	110	11.84	75%	0.04	32.8	3.56%	0	3.1	79	0

6	Mar_20_2015	24.3	23.18	23.34	23.95			28.79(24.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.6	39	-10000	34	54	44.43	75%	0	14.6	3.52%	0	4.2	78	0
7	Mar_19_2015	24.3	22.88	23.34	22.58			23.07(-0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	-10000	5	-18	8.16	52%	-0.25	-41.1	1.61%	0	0.4	54	0
8	Mar_18_2015	24.36	22.86	22.76	22.49			23.11(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-2	-10000	4	-21	5.06	57%	-0.2	-46.2	1.64%	0	0.6	54	0
9	Mar_17_2015	24.41	22.87	22.73	22.41			22.85(4.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	-10000	4	-30	3.28	62%	-0.2	-45.6	1.69%	0	-0	47	0
10	Mar_16_2015	24.46	22.91	22.72	22.33			21.94(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-10000	-15	-54	2.9	48%	-0.29	-46.2	1.67%	0	-2	34	0

11	Mar_13_2015	24.53	22.98	22.8	22.61			21.93(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-22	-10000	-16	-39	9.2	43%	-0.28	-41.4	1.87%	0	-2.4	33	0
12	Mar_12_2015	24.6	23.06	22.88	22.96			22.62(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	-10000	-5	-17	3.51	53%	-0.24	-42.9	1.84%	0	-1.2	38	0
13	Mar_11_2015	24.66	23.07	22.9	23.06			22.72(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4	-10000	-2	-9	3.12	53%	-0.24	-61.8	1.96%	0	-1	50	0
14	Mar_10_2015	24.72	23.09	22.94	23.1			22.47(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-4	-10000	-2	-10	3.35	53%	-0.2	-81	1.96%	0	-1.8	40	0
15	Mar_9_2015	24.77	23.13	22.94	23.15			23.3(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10000	6	-6	2.96	58%	-0.16	-97.8	1.92%	0	0.5	45	0

16	Mar_6_2015	24.81	23.17	23.03	23.01			23.7(2.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	3	-10000	9	-17	6.96	58%	-0.16	-87.2	1.91%	0	1.4	53	0
17	Mar_5_2015	24.85	23.21	22.99	22.81			23.12(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	4	-33	2.49	49%	-0.16	-68.3	1.9%	0	-0.2	46	0
18	Mar_4_2015	24.89	23.29	22.97	22.73			22.92(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-10000	-2	-40	3.57	49%	-0.12	-56.8	2%	0	-0.6	52	0
19	Mar_3_2015	24.92	23.37	23.01	22.77			22.74(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-10000	-5	-35	2.59	49%	-0.12	-54	2.01%	0	-0.9	48	0
20	Mar_2_2015	24.95	23.44	23.09	22.89			22.57(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-7	-24	7.69	45%	-0.2	-54.2	2%	0	-1.3	42	0

21	Feb_27_2015	25	23.5	23.18	23.05			22.69(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-6	-19	8.35	38%	-0.2	-59.2	2.27%	0	-1.3	33	0
22	Feb_26_2015	25.05	23.57	23.25	23.2			22.76(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-10000	-1	-22	2.76	33%	-0.24	-59.7	2.29%	0	-1.3	27	0
23	Feb_25_2015	25.11	23.66	23.25	23.22			23.08(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-2	-38	2.17	33%	-0.16	-59.2	2.51%	0	-0.9	29	0
24	Feb_24_2015	25.15	23.74	23.27	23.29			23.34(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	-1	-49	1.59	33%	-0.2	-45.2	2.51%	0	-0.6	37	0
25	Feb_23_2015	25.2	23.81	23.25	23.33			23.36(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-0	-55	1.75	33%		-30.6	2.51%	0	-0.7	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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