Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CTRP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Nov. 4, 2019)

(Ctrip.Com)
CTRP latest price $23.2450 (0.39%) ($23.1250 - $23.4250) on Tue. Jan. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.57% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $23.2450(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTRP advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTRP advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTRP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(49%)    FXI(48%)    VWO(48%)    QQQ(45%)    VT(45%)
Factors Impacting CTRP price   CTRP will decline at least -1.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    SHY(-16%)    TLT(-14%)    BND(-9%)    GLD(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.285% (StdDev 2.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.2(0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.9(1.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.53(3.17%)
To recent high   -21.9%
To recent low   12.9%
Market Cap   $12.913b

Ctrip.com International Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. CTRP price fluctuates within 2.89% (three month std-dev: 2.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_13_2015	27.3	22.53	22.9	23.2			23.25(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	4	36	3.56	37%	-0.36	50.9	2.57%	0	1.1	63	0
2	Jan_12_2015	27.4	22.49	22.83	23.07			23.16(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	6	29	3.86	37%	-0.33	46.4	2.62%	0	1	61	0
3	Jan_9_2015	27.49	22.41	22.78	22.9			23.4(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	5	25	3.62	36%	-0.36	25.5	2.63%	0	1.5	75	0
4	Jan_8_2015	27.59	22.32	22.68	22.74			23.27(1.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	10	-10000	4	26	4.76	38%	-0.36	1.8	2.66%	0	1.5	80	0
5	Jan_7_2015	27.69	22.25	22.6	22.63			22.94(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	11	-10000	2	38	6.34	38%	-0.36	-17.8	2.7%	0	1.2	84	0

6	Jan_6_2015	27.79	22.2	22.56	22.56			22.58(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	11	-10000	0	43	5.1	38%	-0.39	-43.3	2.7%	0	0.7	61	0
7	Jan_5_2015	27.9	22.19	22.57	22.55			22.29(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-3	42	3.81	38%	-0.39	-78.5	2.69%	0	0.2	47	0
8	Jan_2_2015	28.01	22.25	22.55	22.63			22.61(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-10000	1	54	4.7	38%	-0.57	-98.9	2.69%	0	0.6	60	0
9	Dec_31_2014	28.17	22.31	22.43	22.61			22.75(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	1	51	2.64	38%	-0.39	-107.4	2.7%	0	0.6	60	0
10	Dec_30_2014	28.28	22.36	22.23	22.61			22.56(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-10000	0	37	2.3	38%	-0.42	-126.7	2.7%	0	0.2	55	0

11	Dec_29_2014	28.4	22.46	22.23	22.57			22.55(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	8	-10000	-1	35	2.46	37%	-0.35	-127.5	2.7%	0	0.1	55	0
12	Dec_26_2014	28.5	22.66	22.14	22.59			22.68(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	4	40	1.22	37%	-0.45	-96	2.73%	0	0	51	0
13	Dec_24_2014	28.63	22.84	22.02	22.46			22.5(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	8	16	0.98	37%	-0.28	-90.4	2.7%	0	-0.2	42	0
14	Dec_23_2014	28.71	23.14	21.93	22.22			22.56(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	-10000	13	-17	2.68	37%	-0.35	-73.8	2.7%	0	-0.3	40	0
15	Dec_22_2014	28.81	23.46	21.86	21.83			22.59(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10000	7	-60	5	37%	-0.28	-67.4	2.7%	0	-0.3	40	0

16	Dec_19_2014	28.89	23.78	21.79	21.64			22.6(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-25	-10000	-0	-98	5.71	37%	-0.34	-63.2	2.71%	0	-0.4	36	0
17	Dec_18_2014	28.99	24.09	21.76	21.65			22.04(3.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-32	-10000	3	-137	7.05	37%	-0.34	-59.7	2.68%	0	-0.7	25	0
18	Dec_17_2014	29.09	24.43	21.9	21.55			21.34(3.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-10000	-2	-174	9.13	34%	-0.38	-57.2	2.64%	0	-1	23	0
19	Dec_16_2014	29.2	24.85	22.16	21.6			20.58(-4.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-63	-10000	-10	-222	5.95	31%	-0.44	-54	2.58%	0	-1.3	13	0
20	Dec_15_2014	29.33	25.3	22.5	21.88			21.64(-4.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-66	-10000	-3	-253	9.52	31%	-0.41	-51.1	2.54%	0	-1.1	14	0

21	Dec_12_2014	29.45	25.7	22.8	21.95			22.67(5.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-70	-10000	1	-283	12.55	33%	-0.3	-48.3	2.55%	0	-0.9	16	0
22	Dec_11_2014	29.54	26.03	23.2	21.91			21.51(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-92	-10000	-15	-321	6.45	28%	-0.34	-47	2.44%	0	-1.4	8	0
23	Dec_10_2014	29.64	26.38	23.71	22.32			21.59(-1.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-94	-10000	-18	-322	9.33	28%	-0.3	-45.2	2.44%	0	-1.6	8	0
24	Dec_9_2014	29.73	26.74	24.45	22.81			21.98(-0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-86	-10000	-14	-300	16.38	27%	-0.3	-45.5	2.44%	0	-1.7	8	0
25	Dec_8_2014	29.82	27.07	25.18	23.21			22(-2.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-85	-10000	-19	-283	6.76	27%		-47.4	2.45%	0	-1.9	10	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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