Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Nov. 4, 2019)

(Ctrip.Com)
CTRP latest price $28.8350 (-2.39%) ($27.5875 - $29.5000) on Tue. Jun. 24, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.89% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $28.8350(-2.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTRP declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTRP advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTRP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(47%)    VWO(47%)    FXI(46%)    QQQ(44%)    VT(44%)
Factors Impacting CTRP price   CTRP will decline at least -1.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    SHY(-14%)    TLT(-13%)    GLD(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.445% (StdDev 2.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

Resistance Level   $29.05
5 Day Moving Average   $29.85(-3.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.69(-2.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.05(-0.74%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   28.1%
Market Cap   $16.018b

Ctrip.com International Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. CTRP price fluctuates within 3.2% (three month std-dev: 2.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140724

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_24_2014	26.35	29.05	29.69	29.85			28.84(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10000	-7	34	11.13	53%	0.15	56.3	2.89%	0	-0.2	55	0
2	Jun_23_2014	26.31	29.03	29.77	30.17			29.54(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	13	-10000	-2	56	3.21	53%	0.19	71.9	2.91%	0	0.5	61	0
3	Jun_20_2014	26.26	28.95	29.69	30.27			29.86(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-10000	6	68	4.22	53%	0.19	84.3	2.9%	0	0.9	67	0
4	Jun_19_2014	26.21	28.84	29.58	30.02			30.16(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	5	65	3	51%	0.23	87.2	2.9%	0	1.4	73	0
5	Jun_18_2014	26.15	28.71	29.42	29.79			30.85(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	21	-10000	6	64	3.18	53%	0.27	92.4	2.9%	0	2.3	81	0

6	Jun_17_2014	26.08	28.54	29.18	29.52			30.46(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	18	-10000	4	61	4	53%	0.27	110.5	2.92%	0	2.3	81	0
7	Jun_16_2014	26.01	28.36	28.97	29.33			30.03(4.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	7	58	5.01	53%	0.23	123.2	2.92%	0	2.2	66	0
8	Jun_13_2014	25.95	28.16	28.78	29.04			28.63(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	12	-10000	-0	46	3.13	49%	0.15	114.4	2.88%	0	0.6	58	0
9	Jun_12_2014	25.91	28.02	28.7	29.06			28.97(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	2	49	3.96	49%	0.19	113	2.9%	0	1	66	0
10	Jun_11_2014	25.86	27.86	28.57	28.97			29.53(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	5	48	5.21	49%	0.23	113.8	2.91%	0	1.6	75	0

11	Jun_10_2014	25.8	27.64	28.36	28.77			29.49(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	5	40	4.91	49%	0.23	105.5	2.93%	0	1.6	75	0
12	Jun_9_2014	25.74	27.44	28.22	28.57			28.59(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	11	-10000	2	39	2.04	47%	0.19	107.4	2.94%	0	1	75	0
13	Jun_6_2014	25.69	27.26	28.16	28.49			28.72(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	17	-10000	5	51	1.62	47%	0.2	101.1	2.96%	0	1.2	83	0
14	Jun_5_2014	25.64	26.97	28.05	28.29			28.53(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	17	-10000	4	57	2.01	47%	0.2	75.7	2.98%	0	1	84	0
15	Jun_4_2014	25.59	26.69	27.96	28.11			28.53(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	-10000	5	64	2.61	47%	0.24	63.8	3.01%	0	1.1	84	0

16	Jun_3_2014	25.53	26.48	27.85	27.88			28.51(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	19	-10000	1	71	3.86	47%	0.2	62.7	3.04%	0	1.2	87	0
17	Jun_2_2014	25.48	26.26	27.7	27.82			28.16(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	21	-10000	1	80	3.28	47%	0.2	67.4	3.06%	0	1.1	76	0
18	May_30_2014	25.43	26.05	27.49	27.82			27.71(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	22	-10000	0	89	1.9	47%	0.16	70.5	3.09%	0	1	79	0
19	May_29_2014	25.39	25.85	27.3	27.79			27.63(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	28	-10000	0	112	2.67	47%	0.2	69.3	3.12%	0	1	86	0
20	May_28_2014	25.34	25.64	27.11	27.78			27.42(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	-0	133	4.91	47%	0.16	64.3	3.15%	0	1	83	0

21	May_27_2014	25.3	25.43	26.89	27.79			28.18(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	6	147	3.85	47%	0.24	57	3.15%	0	1.5	73	0
22	May_23_2014	25.24	25.15	26.62	27.55			28.01(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	-10000	9	151	2.79	47%	0.2	43.9	3.18%	0	1.6	72	0
23	May_22_2014	25.19	24.88	26.29	27.15			27.7(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	-10000	10	143	3	47%	0.2	31.8	3.21%	0	1.7	73	0
24	May_21_2014	25.14	24.69	25.8	26.74			27.58(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	9	120	3.89	47%	0.24	22.1	3.25%	0	1.9	73	0
25	May_20_2014	25.08	24.55	25.34	26.34			27.5(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	-10000	12	103	4.68	47%		15	3.28%	0	2.1	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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