Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CTRP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Nov. 4, 2019)

(Ctrip.Com)
CTRP latest price $23.3700 (0.67%) ($22.5500 - $23.3950) on Wed. Apr. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.25% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $23.3700(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTRP declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTRP declines -7.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTRP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(47%)    VWO(46%)    FXI(45%)    QQQ(44%)    VT(43%)
Factors Impacting CTRP price   CTRP will decline at least -1.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-14%)    TLT(-13%)    GLD(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.625% (StdDev 3.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $12.31(-47.33%)
Resistance Level   $25.44
5 Day Moving Average   $23.23(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.45(-4.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.44(-8.14%)
To recent high   -16.3%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $12.982b

Ctrip.com International Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. CTRP price fluctuates within 6.13% (three month std-dev: 3.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140530

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_30_2014	25.17	25.44	24.45	23.23			23.37(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-10000	-9	-134	3.72	39%	-0.2	-26.6	3.25%	0	-1.3	23	0
2	Apr_29_2014	25.22	25.57	24.66	23.58			23.22(3.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-10000	-15	-137	7.28	39%	-0.28	-16.8	3.3%	0	-1.6	23	0
3	Apr_28_2014	25.29	25.68	25.05	24.16			22.51(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-40	-10000	-17	-107	9.43	39%	-0.35	-2.2	3.29%	0	-2.3	41	0
4	Apr_25_2014	25.38	25.79	25.51	24.86			22.74(-6.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-28	-10000	-15	-68	8.44	39%	-0.35	11.8	3.35%	0	-2.5	43	0
5	Apr_24_2014	25.47	25.79	25.95	25.5			24.31(-3.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-8	-40	10.76	45%	-0.16	24	3.19%	0	-1.4	42	0

6	Apr_23_2014	25.51	25.86	26.32	25.83			25.11(-3.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4	-10000	-1	-14	5.04	48%	-0.08	27	3.19%	0	-0.6	48	0
7	Apr_22_2014	25.53	25.81	26.58	25.89			26.12(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-4	-10000	-5	0	5.21	53%	0.12	21.4	3.16%	0	0.3	55	0
8	Apr_21_2014	25.5	25.71	26.5	26.1			26.05(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-10000	-4	9	3.24	53%	0.08	21.7	3.22%	0	0.3	57	0
9	Apr_17_2014	25.48	25.65	26.42	26.28			25.93(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-5	20	4.52	53%	0.08	25.1	3.29%	0	0.2	62	0
10	Apr_16_2014	25.46	25.59	26.48	26.49			25.94(2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-9	46	4.24	53%	0.08	0	3.36%	0	0.3	65	0

11	Apr_15_2014	25.44	25.59	26.5	26.89			25.42(-6.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	12	-10000	-10	76	12.83	53%	-0.04	0	3.41%	0	-0.1	61	0
12	Apr_14_2014	25.45	25.55	26.55	27.36			27.19(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-10000	10	126	3.96	64%	0.35	0	3.16%	0	1.3	69	0
13	Apr_11_2014	25.36	25.43	26.36	26.94			26.92(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	36	-10000	9	117	9.09	64%	0.28	0	3.23%	0	1.2	69	0
14	Apr_10_2014	25.29	25.33	26.1	26.56			27.02(-3.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	3	95	6.81	64%	0.4	0	3.31%	0	1.4	62	0
15	Apr_9_2014	25.19	25.33	25.76	26.45			27.93(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	8	-10000	9	4	8.97	64%	0.6	0	3.28%	0	23.9	67	0

16	Apr_8_2014	25.04	25.33	25.35	26.08			27.74(10.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	8	-10000	9	4	13.19	64%	0.64	0	3.38%	0	27.5	64	0
17	Apr_7_2014	24.88	25.33	24.95	25.67			25.13(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-1	-0	10.82	46%	0.04	0	2.41%	0	31.8	46	0
18	Apr_4_2014	24.87	25.33	24.84	25.69			25.01(-5.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	4	-10000	5	2	8.88	46%	0.04	0	2.49%	0	30.9	51	0
19	Apr_3_2014	24.86	25.33	24.81	25.53			26.44(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	-10000	23	9	11.13	61%	0.44	0	2.09%	0	31.9	59	0
20	Apr_2_2014	24.75	25.33	24.62	24.94			26.09(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	15	-10000	17	7	4.84	61%	0.45	0	2.15%	0	35.3	50	0

21	Apr_1_2014	24.64	25.33	24.49	24.5			25.71(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	11	-10000	13	5	6.53	61%	0.37	0	2.21%	0	38.4	50	0
22	Mar_31_2014	24.55	25.33	24.45	24.15			25.21(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	9	-10000	10	4	5.88	61%	0.2	0	2.25%	0	40.7	50	0
23	Mar_28_2014	24.5	25.33	24.41	23.89			24.19(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	-10000	-5	-2	7.1	48%	-0.12	0	1.91%	0	39.7	50	0
24	Mar_27_2014	24.53	25.33	24.49	24			23.51(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-10000	-12	-5	4.7	31%	-0.45	0	1.67%	0	37.3	50	0
25	Mar_26_2014	24.64	25.33	24.49	24.25			23.88(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-10	-4	6.62	31%		0	1.74%	0	42.6	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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