Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 1, 2015

Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(CSX Corp)
CSX latest price $25.0675 (-2.37%) ($24.9269 - $25.2738) on Tue. Sep. 1, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.66% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $25.0675(-2.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CSX advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CSX declines -3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CSX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(55%)    IWD(55%)    XLI(55%)    SDY(53%)    SPY(53%)
Factors Impacting CSX price   CSX will decline at least -0.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.83% (StdDev 1.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $26.53
5 Day Moving Average   $25.43(-1.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.39(-1.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.53(-5.51%)
To recent high   -24.3%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $19.178b

CSX Corp. engages in the provision of rail-based freight transportation services. Its services include rail service, the transport of intermodal containers and trailers, rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. The company was founded in 1827 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, FL.

$. CSX price fluctuates within 5.47% (three month std-dev: 1.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 4.1%(17%) Average negative next day return: -2.53%(83%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 4.39%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -3.85%(75%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.12%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.52%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2015	30.59	26.53	25.39	25.43	25.52	25.43	25.07(-2.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-29	-10	6	-134	7.85	32%	-0.2	-60.3	1.66%	0	-1	35	INF
2	Aug_31_2015	30.65	26.71	25.62	25.13	25.34	25.82	25.68(-1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	160	25	-148	6.14	34%	-0.16	-65.7	1.64%	0	-0.7	39	INF
3	Aug_28_2015	30.7	26.87	25.8	24.89	24.99	25.61	26.07(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-14	190	37	-168	9.96	32%	-0.2	-66.8	1.65%	0	-0.5	36	INF
4	Aug_27_2015	30.76	27.02	25.93	24.78	24.49	24.85	25.78(4.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-44	70	7	-196	13.93	32%	-0.16	-66	1.64%	0	-0.8	37	INF
5	Aug_26_2015	30.81	27.19	26.08	24.9	24.61	24.37	24.56(4.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-79	-100	-28	-231	15.57	24%	-0.19	-62	1.52%	0	-1.6	24	INF

6	Aug_25_2015	30.87	27.44	26.38	25.38	25.17	24.12	23.57(-3.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-125	-320	-84	-249	13.12	16%	-0.26	-58.7	1.41%	0	-2.6	12	INF
7	Aug_24_2015	30.95	27.72	26.78	26.18	25.86	24.86	24.47(-4.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-133	-310	-105	-217	17.27	18%	-0.19	-58.6	1.37%	0	-2.7	13	INF
8	Aug_21_2015	31.01	27.93	27.17	26.82	26.8	26.22	25.5(-3.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-85	-150	-58	-166	9.97	20%	-0.19	-63.1	1.29%	0	-2.5	15	INF
9	Aug_20_2015	31.07	28.11	27.42	27.23	27.21	26.86	26.41(-1.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-65	-90	-38	-145	7.36	22%	-0.13	-70.2	1.24%	0	-2.1	17	INF
10	Aug_19_2015	31.11	28.23	27.62	27.43	27.44	27.38	26.94(-2.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-46	-10	-16	-135	6.42	23%	-0.13	-77.1	1.23%	0	-1.7	19	INF

11	Aug_18_2015	31.15	28.35	27.79	27.54	27.52	27.57	27.59(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-27	10	8	-131	4.54	26%	-0.13	-79.8	1.2%	0	-1	22	INF
12	Aug_17_2015	31.19	28.46	27.9	27.48	27.43	27.51	27.64(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-41	10	-6	-147	5.48	26%	-0.1	-81.1	1.2%	0	-1.1	32	INF
13	Aug_14_2015	31.22	28.56	28.03	27.59	27.45	27.48	27.59(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-33	-10	-2	-126	3.32	30%	-0.1	-74.7	1.23%	0	-1.2	41	INF
14	Aug_13_2015	31.25	28.68	28.18	27.65	27.62	27.35	27.37(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-70	-19	-123	4.5	28%	-0.13	-72.4	1.22%	0	-1.7	35	INF
15	Aug_12_2015	31.29	28.81	28.37	27.85	27.78	27.43	27.5(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-55	-100	-39	-104	8.72	28%	-0.1	-66.1	1.26%	0	-1.7	36	INF

16	Aug_11_2015	31.32	28.95	28.55	28.08	28.08	27.9	27.32(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-45	-40	-32	-83	12.87	26%	-0.13	-59.5	1.25%	0	-2.2	28	INF
17	Aug_10_2015	31.36	29.08	28.73	28.36	28.38	28.12	28.17(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-60	-20	-65	6.25	29%	-0.16	-60.9	1.22%	0	-1.4	30	INF
18	Aug_7_2015	31.41	29.16	28.76	28.53	28.56	28.26	27.9(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-45	-70	-35	-75	5.24	34%	-0.13	-60.1	1.25%	0	-2	25	INF
19	Aug_6_2015	31.45	29.26	28.85	28.78	28.8	28.64	28.34(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-40	-24	-69	7.08	35%	-0.16	-60.1	1.24%	0	-1.7	26	INF
20	Aug_5_2015	31.5	29.33	28.9	28.97	29	28.86	28.65(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-30	-14	-67	3.81	32%	-0.1	-63.2	1.24%	0	-1.3	29	INF

21	Aug_4_2015	31.53	29.38	28.97	29.1	29.11	28.97	28.75(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-30	-10	-62	6.62	30%	-0.1	-60.3	1.3%	0	-1.2	27	INF
22	Aug_3_2015	31.56	29.47	29.06	29.14	29.17	29.14	29(-0.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-12	-0	3	-57	5.75	30%	-0.09	-55.6	1.32%	0	-0.9	37	INF
23	Jul_31_2015	31.59	29.53	29.14	29.03	29.11	29.25	29.13(-0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	40	11	-63	5.74	37%	-0.09	-70.4	1.33%	0	-0.7	41	INF
24	Jul_30_2015	31.62	29.6	29.21	28.94	28.93	29.2	29.3(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	60	16	-64	5.64	34%	-0.06	-79.8	1.43%	0	-0.5	40	INF
25	Jul_29_2015	31.64	29.66	29.27	28.83	28.8	28.97	29.33(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-10	40	11	-72	6.88	34%		-89.1	1.45%	0	-0.6	45	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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