Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(CSX Corp)
CSX latest price $33.2808 (-1.34%) ($33.0963 - $34.0833) on Fri. Feb. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $33.2808(-1.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CSX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CSX advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CSX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(55%)    XLI(55%)    SPY(53%)    VYM(52%)    VT(51%)
Factors Impacting CSX price   CSX will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.1(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.6(2.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.17(3.45%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $25.462b

CSX Corp. engages in the provision of rail-based freight transportation services. Its services include rail service, the transport of intermodal containers and trailers, rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. The company was founded in 1827 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, FL.

$. CSX price fluctuates within 2.39% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 0.76%(54%) Average negative next day return: -1.04%(46%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 1.59%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.48%(33%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 2.03%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.86%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150313

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_13_2015	32.11	32.17	32.6	33.1	33.18	33.53	33.28(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	80	17	106	7.62	39%	0.12	61.9	1.7%	0	1.4	58	0
2	Feb_12_2015	32.07	32.07	32.35	32.98	32.94	33.23	33.73(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	42	60	25	94	5.19	39%	0.12	58.4	1.69%	0	2.2	65	0
3	Feb_11_2015	32.03	31.93	32.09	32.73	32.73	32.83	33.15(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	20	18	63	6.56	36%	0.16	53.6	1.68%	0	1.8	53	0
4	Feb_10_2015	31.98	31.82	31.88	32.48	32.54	32.65	32.77(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	30	10	36	4.05	41%	0.09	46.2	1.67%	0	1.5	55	0
5	Feb_9_2015	31.95	31.74	31.76	32.32	32.33	32.63	32.56(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	70	21	28	4.79	41%	0.09	34.4	1.71%	0	1.4	55	0

6	Feb_6_2015	31.92	31.7	31.71	32.02	32.08	32.43	32.69(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	80	34	16	6.98	42%	0.09	10.7	1.72%	0	1.8	53	0
7	Feb_5_2015	31.89	31.65	31.61	31.62	31.65	32.03	32.47(1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	16	90	24	-9	5.09	42%	0.09	-23.6	1.73%	0	1.6	58	0
8	Feb_4_2015	31.86	31.58	31.59	31.36	31.32	31.73	31.89(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	14	90	23	-12	5.68	38%	0.06	-61.8	1.71%	0	0.6	58	0
9	Feb_3_2015	31.84	31.58	31.6	31.2	31.11	31.26	31.97(2.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	6	30	13	-16	6.12	38%	0.13	-95	1.73%	0	0.9	59	0
10	Feb_2_2015	31.8	31.54	31.58	31.13	31.1	30.9	31.07(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-50	-15	-25	6.16	35%	0.06	-111.7	1.7%	0	-0.9	50	0

11	Jan_30_2015	31.78	31.63	31.69	31.37	31.31	30.97	30.72(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-80	-23	-10	7.67	37%	0.06	-92	1.69%	0	-1.5	43	0
12	Jan_29_2015	31.76	31.77	31.78	31.59	31.59	31.29	31.14(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-70	-25	-1	7.45	36%	0.09	-89.4	1.71%	0	-1.1	45	0
13	Jan_28_2015	31.73	31.88	31.78	31.86	31.84	31.65	31.09(-1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-9	-40	-17	17	8.82	36%	0.06	-65.7	1.72%	0	-1.2	50	0
14	Jan_27_2015	31.71	32.02	31.79	32.04	32.06	31.89	31.66(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-40	-7	34	5.92	37%	0.09	-46.4	1.71%	0	-0.5	59	0
15	Jan_26_2015	31.68	32.12	31.76	32.09	32.06	32.03	32.25(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-20	-5	29	4.83	39%	0.13	-36.1	1.7%	0	0.1	50	0

16	Jan_23_2015	31.64	32.19	31.76	32.07	32.11	32.23	31.8(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	30	5	19	5.98	42%	0.09	-30.9	1.7%	0	-0.4	40	0
17	Jan_22_2015	31.61	32.28	31.7	32	32.06	32.18	32.52(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	30	20	5	5.68	44%	0.13	-24.3	1.71%	0	0.2	41	0
18	Jan_21_2015	31.57	32.33	31.57	31.71	31.82	32	32.01(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	50	15	-38	4.72	46%	0.13	-23.6	1.7%	0	-0.3	35	0
19	Jan_20_2015	31.53	32.38	31.46	31.49	31.55	31.94	31.86(-0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	90	17	-81	6.28	46%	0.1	-24.4	1.71%	0	-0.5	32	0
20	Jan_16_2015	31.5	32.44	31.48	31.38	31.32	31.63	32.16(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	60	19	-103	8.4	49%	0.13	-24.9	1.73%	0	-0.3	35	0

21	Jan_15_2015	31.46	32.49	31.54	31.29	31.2	31.16	31.46(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-20	0	-126	9.83	47%	0.13	-24.1	1.71%	0	-0.9	29	0
22	Jan_14_2015	31.42	32.52	31.72	31.36	31.3	31.01	31.04(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-70	-12	-132	11.79	49%	0.06	-28.7	1.71%	0	-1.3	24	0
23	Jan_13_2015	31.4	32.57	31.97	31.41	31.48	31.25	30.95(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-40	-9	-127	9.91	54%	0.1	-34.5	1.74%	0	-1.6	26	0
24	Jan_12_2015	31.37	32.65	32.26	31.4	31.5	31.58	31.28(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	30	-9	-112	10.46	54%	0.13	-46	1.88%	0	-1.4	37	0
25	Jan_9_2015	31.33	32.72	32.52	31.58	31.47	31.71	31.73(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	40	-4	-97	8.38	50%		-48.1	1.9%	0	-1.1	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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