Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(CSX Corp)
CSX latest price $29.4477 (-0.62%) ($29.3926 - $29.8335) on Tue. Sep. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $29.4477(-0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CSX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CSX advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CSX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(55%)    SPY(53%)    VT(51%)    XLB(51%)    XLF(51%)
Factors Impacting CSX price   CSX will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.48(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.52(-0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.16(0.99%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $22.529b

CSX Corp. engages in the provision of rail-based freight transportation services. Its services include rail service, the transport of intermodal containers and trailers, rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. The company was founded in 1827 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, FL.

$. CSX price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.75%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.6%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.81%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.93%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.64%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2014	27.99	29.16	29.52	29.48	29.45	29.53	29.45(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	20	11	84	6.12	61%	0.11	63.6	0.75%	0	0.6	66	0
2	Sep_29_2014	27.96	29.12	29.51	29.41	29.39	29.49	29.63(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	20	12	94	4.67	61%	0.14	63.3	0.75%	0	1.1	67	0
3	Sep_26_2014	27.92	29.06	29.44	29.38	29.34	29.38	29.69(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	10	2	94	6.26	61%	0.14	65.2	0.75%	0	1.4	66	0
4	Sep_25_2014	27.88	28.99	29.35	29.4	29.37	29.38	29.19(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-20	-18	92	5.97	60%	0.14	68.5	0.72%	0	0.4	55	0
5	Sep_24_2014	27.84	28.94	29.32	29.52	29.52	29.3	29.43(1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-50	-20	115	7.61	58%	0.14	74	0.72%	0	1	63	0

6	Sep_23_2014	27.8	28.88	29.23	29.57	29.63	29.45	29.14(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	12	-40	-24	118	5.02	56%	0.14	78	0.75%	0	0.5	61	0
7	Sep_22_2014	27.76	28.83	29.18	29.6	29.69	29.74	29.45(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	44	20	11	142	5.65	59%	0.14	78.3	0.74%	0	1.2	68	0
8	Sep_19_2014	27.72	28.76	29.1	29.49	29.56	29.8	29.82(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	68	60	41	150	5.38	62%	0.14	77.3	0.73%	0	2	78	0
9	Sep_18_2014	27.68	28.67	29	29.28	29.3	29.64	29.75(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	72	80	50	138	3.75	64%	0.18	76	0.73%	0	2.3	79	0
10	Sep_17_2014	27.63	28.59	28.89	29.09	29.06	29.31	29.7(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	73	60	56	122	8.61	64%	0.14	86.4	0.74%	0	2.6	78	0

11	Sep_16_2014	27.59	28.5	28.77	28.84	28.83	28.97	29.27(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	45	30	31	87	4.75	62%	0.15	95.9	0.72%	0	2.2	76	0
12	Sep_15_2014	27.55	28.43	28.69	28.7	28.7	28.8	28.92(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	20	15	72	4.42	59%	0.11	108.3	0.71%	0	1.6	73	0
13	Sep_12_2014	27.52	28.37	28.64	28.65	28.7	28.69	28.74(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	10	3	68	6.51	58%	0.11	106.9	0.72%	0	1.1	72	0
14	Sep_11_2014	27.49	28.31	28.59	28.68	28.64	28.6	28.8(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10	1	81	7.16	58%	0.11	112.6	0.73%	0	1.4	75	0
15	Sep_10_2014	27.46	28.23	28.54	28.66	28.68	28.59	28.47(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-20	-9	77	4.3	56%	0.11	99.3	0.72%	0	0.6	59	0

16	Sep_9_2014	27.43	28.16	28.51	28.68	28.71	28.68	28.57(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-0	-6	89	3.13	56%	0.11	91.2	0.72%	0	0.9	69	0
17	Sep_8_2014	27.4	28.1	28.47	28.67	28.72	28.77	28.65(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	20	10	99	3.65	56%	0.07	87.3	0.72%	0	1.1	69	0
18	Sep_5_2014	27.38	28.02	28.41	28.62	28.66	28.73	28.92(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	20	21	105	4.16	66%	0.11	78.8	0.75%	0	1.7	84	0
19	Sep_4_2014	27.35	27.91	28.31	28.49	28.55	28.67	28.67(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	40	17	92	5.47	65%	0.15	65.2	0.79%	0	1.4	83	0
20	Sep_3_2014	27.31	27.82	28.27	28.41	28.43	28.59	28.58(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	40	21	109	6.44	60%	0.07	51.4	0.79%	0	1.3	86	0

21	Sep_2_2014	27.29	27.73	28.2	28.33	28.34	28.43	28.53(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	20	21	117	3.62	60%	0.18	40.2	0.82%	0	1.4	86	0
22	Aug_29_2014	27.24	27.66	28.15	28.24	28.25	28.26	28.39(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	0	9	120	3.46	60%	0.11	30.7	0.82%	0	1.3	78	0
23	Aug_28_2014	27.21	27.6	28.07	28.17	28.2	28.25	28.26(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	20	6	127	2.93	62%	0.11	19.1	0.82%	0	1.3	80	0
24	Aug_27_2014	27.18	27.55	28	28.12	28.16	28.24	28.27(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	20	8	142	3.12	62%	0.07	7.2	0.82%	0	1.4	83	0
25	Aug_26_2014	27.16	27.52	27.9	28.1	28.12	28.16	28.17(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	45	10	9	154	4.95	62%		1.1	0.82%	0	1.4	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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