Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(CSX Corp)
CSX latest price $29.4477 (-1.23%) ($29.4202 - $29.8519) on Mon. Sep. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $29.4477(-1.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CSX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CSX advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CSX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(55%)    SPY(53%)    VT(51%)    XLB(51%)    XLF(51%)
Factors Impacting CSX price   CSX will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.6(-0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.18(0.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.83(2.14%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $22.529b

CSX Corp. engages in the provision of rail-based freight transportation services. Its services include rail service, the transport of intermodal containers and trailers, rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. The company was founded in 1827 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, FL.

$. CSX price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.39%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.26%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 0.93%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -0.71%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 0.76%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.21%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2014	27.76	28.83	29.18	29.6	29.69	29.74	29.45(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	44	20	11	142	5.65	59%	0.14	78.3	0.74%	0	1.2	68	INF
2	Sep_19_2014	27.72	28.76	29.1	29.49	29.56	29.8	29.82(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	68	60	41	150	5.38	62%	0.14	77.3	0.73%	0	2	78	INF
3	Sep_18_2014	27.68	28.67	29	29.28	29.3	29.64	29.75(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	72	80	50	138	3.75	64%	0.18	76	0.73%	0	2.3	79	INF
4	Sep_17_2014	27.63	28.59	28.89	29.09	29.06	29.31	29.7(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	73	60	56	122	8.61	64%	0.14	86.4	0.74%	0	2.6	78	INF
5	Sep_16_2014	27.59	28.5	28.77	28.84	28.83	28.97	29.27(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	45	30	31	87	4.75	62%	0.15	95.9	0.72%	0	2.2	76	INF

6	Sep_15_2014	27.55	28.43	28.69	28.7	28.7	28.8	28.92(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	20	15	72	4.42	59%	0.11	108.3	0.71%	0	1.6	73	INF
7	Sep_12_2014	27.52	28.37	28.64	28.65	28.7	28.69	28.74(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	10	3	68	6.51	58%	0.11	106.9	0.72%	0	1.1	72	INF
8	Sep_11_2014	27.49	28.31	28.59	28.68	28.64	28.6	28.8(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10	1	81	7.16	58%	0.11	112.6	0.73%	0	1.4	75	INF
9	Sep_10_2014	27.46	28.23	28.54	28.66	28.68	28.59	28.47(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-20	-9	77	4.3	56%	0.11	99.3	0.72%	0	0.6	59	INF
10	Sep_9_2014	27.43	28.16	28.51	28.68	28.71	28.68	28.57(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-0	-6	89	3.13	56%	0.11	91.2	0.72%	0	0.9	69	INF

11	Sep_8_2014	27.4	28.1	28.47	28.67	28.72	28.77	28.65(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	20	10	99	3.65	56%	0.07	87.3	0.72%	0	1.1	69	INF
12	Sep_5_2014	27.38	28.02	28.41	28.62	28.66	28.73	28.92(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	20	21	105	4.16	66%	0.11	78.8	0.75%	0	1.7	84	INF
13	Sep_4_2014	27.35	27.91	28.31	28.49	28.55	28.67	28.67(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	40	17	92	5.47	65%	0.15	65.2	0.79%	0	1.4	83	INF
14	Sep_3_2014	27.31	27.82	28.27	28.41	28.43	28.59	28.58(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	40	21	109	6.44	60%	0.07	51.4	0.79%	0	1.3	86	INF
15	Sep_2_2014	27.29	27.73	28.2	28.33	28.34	28.43	28.53(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	20	21	117	3.62	60%	0.18	40.2	0.82%	0	1.4	86	INF

16	Aug_29_2014	27.24	27.66	28.15	28.24	28.25	28.26	28.39(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	0	9	120	3.46	60%	0.11	30.7	0.82%	0	1.3	78	INF
17	Aug_28_2014	27.21	27.6	28.07	28.17	28.2	28.25	28.26(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	20	6	127	2.93	62%	0.11	19.1	0.82%	0	1.3	80	INF
18	Aug_27_2014	27.18	27.55	28	28.12	28.16	28.24	28.27(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	20	8	142	3.12	62%	0.07	7.2	0.82%	0	1.4	83	INF
19	Aug_26_2014	27.16	27.52	27.9	28.1	28.12	28.16	28.17(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	45	10	9	154	4.95	62%	0.11	1.1	0.82%	0	1.4	80	INF
20	Aug_25_2014	27.13	27.5	27.79	28.06	28.1	28.16	28.09(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-0	3	151	3.97	62%	0.07	-8.6	0.83%	0	1.2	75	INF

21	Aug_22_2014	27.11	27.49	27.71	28.04	28.07	28.08	28.06(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	44	10	7	155	3.71	62%	0.04	-13.5	0.83%	0	1.2	66	INF
22	Aug_21_2014	27.1	27.5	27.6	27.95	28.04	28.11	27.99(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	30	15	143	5.51	64%	0.07	-18	0.84%	0	0.9	65	INF
23	Aug_20_2014	27.08	27.51	27.48	27.86	27.9	28.07	28.21(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	55	50	31	125	6.19	64%	0.07	-19.4	0.85%	0	1.3	64	INF
24	Aug_19_2014	27.06	27.52	27.34	27.65	27.72	27.96	27.94(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	70	36	74	5.51	63%	0.04	-28.9	0.84%	0	0.7	48	INF
25	Aug_18_2014	27.05	27.54	27.23	27.48	27.51	27.73	28(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	60	35	25	4.65	63%		-34.9	0.84%	0	0.8	48	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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