Trading Signals: CSCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: CSCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Cisco)
CSCO latest price $25.1951 (3.18%) ($25.0397 - $25.8531) on Thu. May. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $25.1951(3.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CSCO advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CSCO advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CSCO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(63%)    XHB(45%)    QQQ(14%)    MCHI(13%)    GDXJ(12%)
Factors Impacting CSCO price   CSCO will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-10%)    EMHY(-9%)    BND(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.57(2.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.49(2.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.81(1.55%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $105.819b

Cisco Systems, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of Internet Protocol based networking products and services related to the communications and information technology industry. The firm operates through the following geographical segments: the Americas, EMEA, and APJC. Its product comprises of the following categories: Switches, Routers, Wireless, Network Management Interfaces and Modules, Optical Networking, Access Points, Outdoor and Industrial Access Points, Next-Generation Firewalls, Advanced Malware Protection, VPN Security Clients, Email, and Web Security. The company was founded by Sandra Lerner and Leonard Bosack on December 10, 1984 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. CSCO price fluctuates within 2.74% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.17%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.91%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.09%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160619

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_19_2016	23.98	24.81	24.49	24.57	24.7	24.91	25.2(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	80	39	21	50.17	63%	0	-42.7	1.17%	0	0.6	48	INF
2	May_18_2016	23.98	24.84	24.36	24.41	24.7	24.44	24.42(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	10	-2	-47	32.35	55%	0	-46.9	1.1%	0	-0.6	33	INF
3	May_17_2016	23.98	24.91	24.34	24.4	24.42	24.49	24.35(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	20	-2	-89	25.92	62%	-0.04	-45.1	1.1%	0	-0.8	27	INF
4	May_16_2016	23.99	24.99	24.35	24.47	24.44	24.41	24.65(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	-10	8	-104	20.89	71%	0.04	-39.5	1.13%	0	-0.5	32	INF
5	May_13_2016	23.98	25.04	24.38	24.47	24.45	24.35	24.24(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-20	-5	-131	20.87	69%	0	-39.9	1.17%	0	-1.1	30	INF

6	May_12_2016	23.98	25.11	24.46	24.39	24.43	24.48	24.37(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-30	20	6	-139	19.68	69%	-0.04	-39.9	1.18%	0	-1	32	INF
7	May_11_2016	23.99	25.18	24.57	24.3	24.33	24.55	24.4(-1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	70	13	-151	19.33	80%	0.04	-40.2	1.19%	0	-1.1	31	INF
8	May_10_2016	23.98	25.25	24.74	24.26	24.21	24.38	24.7(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-20	40	10	-110	22.64	84%	0	-42.9	1.68%	0	-0.8	32	INF
9	May_9_2016	23.98	25.28	24.85	24.23	24.16	24.12	24.23(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	-20	-7	-120	16.99	82%	0.04	-45	1.67%	0	-1.5	26	INF
10	May_6_2016	23.97	25.34	25.01	24.38	24.26	24.05	24.24(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-80	-17	-113	25.63	82%	0	-45.4	1.67%	0	-1.7	29	INF

11	May_5_2016	23.97	25.4	25.16	24.56	24.51	24.19	23.95(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-47	-100	-28	-103	23.08	74%	0	-46.9	1.67%	0	-2.5	30	INF
12	May_4_2016	23.97	25.47	25.36	24.88	24.78	24.46	24.16(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-48	-100	-36	-82	32.85	75%	0	-44.1	1.71%	0	-2.7	29	INF
13	May_3_2016	23.97	25.55	25.55	25.28	25.15	24.83	24.55(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-32	-100	-27	-47	35.32	75%	0.04	-28.1	1.71%	0	-2.6	32	INF
14	May_2_2016	23.96	25.59	25.69	25.57	25.51	25.1	25.01(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-21	-120	-22	-16	27.36	73%	0.04	-12.8	1.69%	0	-1.8	50	INF
15	Apr_29_2016	23.95	25.63	25.77	25.73	25.73	25.47	25.12(-1.68%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-2	-14	-70	-20	3	33.89	76%	0.04	7.7	1.73%	0	-1.7	51	INF

16	Apr_28_2016	23.94	25.68	25.82	25.85	25.87	25.91	25.55(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	10	-4	22	29.62	76%	0.08	30.3	1.74%	0	-0.5	57	INF
17	Apr_27_2016	23.92	25.69	25.85	25.9	25.88	25.98	26.17(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	20	7	38	20.93	82%	0.08	45.9	1.72%	0	1.7	71	INF
18	Apr_26_2016	23.9	25.66	25.81	25.86	25.84	25.82	26(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10	2	37	18.15	83%	0.04	48.5	1.73%	0	1.3	57	INF
19	Apr_25_2016	23.89	25.63	25.74	25.84	25.86	25.78	25.8(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-20	-3	34	16.43	83%	0.04	45.5	1.75%	0	0.7	62	INF
20	Apr_22_2016	23.88	25.61	25.69	25.83	25.9	25.86	25.73(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-0	0	30	23.15	84%	0.08	37.1	1.76%	0	0.4	50	INF

21	Apr_21_2016	23.86	25.59	25.65	25.83	25.85	25.86	25.81(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	30	2	19	17.34	84%	0.04	28.3	1.77%	0	0.8	46	INF
22	Apr_20_2016	23.85	25.56	25.59	25.79	25.76	25.94	25.99(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	50	8	15	19.94	75%	0.04	27.3	1.77%	0	1.5	52	INF
23	Apr_19_2016	23.84	25.54	25.55	25.75	25.73	25.75	25.89(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	0	11	12	20.31	75%	0.08	35.3	1.85%	0	1.3	51	INF
24	Apr_18_2016	23.82	25.52	25.48	25.63	25.66	25.59	25.76(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-20	4	-3	15.76	75%	0.04	30.6	1.85%	0	1	55	INF
25	Apr_15_2016	23.81	25.51	25.47	25.52	25.51	25.7	25.5(-1.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	50	1	-7	23.8	68%		28.7	1.86%	0	-0	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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