Trading Signals: CSCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: CSCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Cisco)
CSCO latest price $25.4117 (-0.77%) ($25.3578 - $25.8969) on Wed. Oct. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $25.4117(-0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CSCO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CSCO advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CSCO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(63%)    XHB(46%)    QQQ(17%)    MCHI(16%)    EEM(14%)
Factors Impacting CSCO price   CSCO will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    EMHY(-8%)    BND(-7%)    VIXM(-6%)    TLT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.42(-0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.25(0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.41(4.1%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   15.8%
Market Cap   $106.729b

Cisco Systems, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of Internet Protocol based networking products and services related to the communications and information technology industry. The firm operates through the following geographical segments: the Americas, EMEA, and APJC. Its product comprises of the following categories: Switches, Routers, Wireless, Network Management Interfaces and Modules, Optical Networking, Access Points, Outdoor and Industrial Access Points, Next-Generation Firewalls, Advanced Malware Protection, VPN Security Clients, Email, and Web Security. The company was founded by Sandra Lerner and Leonard Bosack on December 10, 1984 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. CSCO price fluctuates within 4.38% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.63%(55%) Average negative next day return: -0.7%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.27%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -2.69%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.61%(73%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.22%(27%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2015	24.42	24.41	25.25	25.42	25.43	25.53	25.41(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	36	30	11	111	19.17	53%	0	65.5	1.64%	0	0.9	91	INF
2	Oct_20_2015	24.42	24.27	25.19	25.33	25.34	25.38	25.61(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	10	9	125	20.34	53%	-0.04	58.6	1.64%	0	1.2	86	INF
3	Oct_19_2015	24.43	24.11	25.07	25.22	25.21	25.33	25.38(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	39	30	5	139	20.78	53%	0	54	1.64%	0	1.2	88	INF
4	Oct_16_2015	24.43	23.98	24.95	25.17	25.14	25.3	25.38(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	40	11	159	19.95	53%	-0.04	53.6	1.64%	0	1.3	87	INF
5	Oct_15_2015	24.44	23.85	24.74	25.1	25.07	25.09	25.29(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	0	6	156	19	53%	0	52.5	1.64%	0	1.4	78	INF

6	Oct_14_2015	24.44	23.73	24.53	25.06	25.05	24.97	25(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	-20	0	162	20.14	53%	-0.04	53.5	1.63%	0	1.3	80	INF
7	Oct_13_2015	24.45	23.64	24.38	25.01	25.04	25.05	25.03(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	10	5	176	15.11	55%	0.04	55.5	1.64%	0	1.5	81	INF
8	Oct_12_2015	24.44	23.54	24.17	24.9	24.96	25.12	25.12(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	57	50	16	181	14.49	55%	-0.04	54	1.65%	0	1.8	84	INF
9	Oct_9_2015	24.45	23.42	23.94	24.7	24.79	25.02	25.08(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	68	80	32	175	22.13	56%	-0.04	53.5	1.66%	0	2.1	75	INF
10	Oct_8_2015	24.46	23.32	23.75	24.31	24.45	24.81	25.08(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	65	120	36	153	22.5	54%	-0.04	46.7	1.66%	0	2.5	75	INF

11	Oct_7_2015	24.47	23.22	23.5	23.92	23.97	24.57	24.75(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	54	180	34	114	29.75	54%	-0.08	42	1.66%	0	2.6	67	INF
12	Oct_6_2015	24.49	23.13	23.27	23.65	23.61	24.1	24.47(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	54	140	43	86	34.61	54%	-0.08	43.3	1.66%	0	2.9	62	INF
13	Oct_5_2015	24.51	23.07	23.06	23.33	23.32	23.38	24.13(4.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	29	20	25	41	30.22	54%	-0.08	35.6	1.65%	0	2.9	60	INF
14	Oct_2_2015	24.53	23	22.91	23.08	23.32	23.11	23.15(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-3	10	-6	6	34.91	51%	-0.08	14.3	1.57%	0	0.5	54	INF
15	Oct_1_2015	24.55	22.99	22.87	23.09	23.1	23.27	23.12(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	50	11	7	26.93	51%	-0.12	11.9	1.57%	0	0.4	48	INF

16	Sep_30_2015	24.58	22.98	22.86	23	23.08	23.1	23.4(2.38%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	13	20	19	-4	32.09	51%	-0.12	2.4	1.57%	0	1.4	48	INF
17	Sep_29_2015	24.61	22.93	22.83	22.82	22.88	22.94	22.86(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	30	3	-26	27.1	46%	-0.12	-6.9	1.54%	0	-0.2	46	INF
18	Sep_28_2015	24.64	22.94	22.83	22.73	22.77	23.07	22.87(-1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	100	12	-35	27.21	46%	-0.12	-6.1	1.57%	0	-0.2	41	INF
19	Sep_25_2015	24.67	22.94	22.83	22.71	22.62	22.83	23.2(2.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	5	50	18	-33	37.62	46%	-0.08	-14.5	1.56%	0	0.8	56	INF
20	Sep_24_2015	24.69	22.96	22.86	22.63	22.52	22.48	22.65(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-30	-4	-50	35.6	43%	-0.12	-32.6	1.53%	0	-1	45	INF

21	Sep_23_2015	24.72	22.97	22.93	22.71	22.59	22.42	22.53(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-70	-16	-39	18.8	43%	-0.12	-54.2	1.53%	0	-1.5	47	INF
22	Sep_22_2015	24.75	22.95	22.99	22.85	22.76	22.57	22.41(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-19	-70	-19	-17	21.31	43%	-0.16	-74.5	1.53%	0	-1.5	53	INF
23	Sep_21_2015	24.79	22.96	22.99	23	22.97	22.76	22.77(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-70	-9	7	21.95	44%	-0.12	-103.2	1.52%	0	-0.5	47	INF
24	Sep_18_2015	24.82	23	23.1	23.03	23.03	22.96	22.77(-1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-20	-13	2	40.02	45%	-0.12	-123	1.52%	0	-0.6	46	INF
25	Sep_17_2015	24.85	23.06	23.14	23.11	23.11	23.18	23.07(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	20	-1	12	25.41	45%		-114.4	1.52%	0	0	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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