Trading Signals: CSCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: CSCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Cisco)
CSCO latest price $24.6237 (0.94%) ($24.4218 - $24.7554) on Mon. Jan. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $24.6237(0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CSCO advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CSCO declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CSCO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(64%)    XHB(46%)    QQQ(21%)    EEM(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting CSCO price   CSCO will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    VIXM(-10%)    BND(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.18(1.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.26(1.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.16(1.92%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   23.8%
Market Cap   $103.42b

Cisco Systems, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of Internet Protocol based networking products and services related to the communications and information technology industry. The firm operates through the following geographical segments: the Americas, EMEA, and APJC. Its product comprises of the following categories: Switches, Routers, Wireless, Network Management Interfaces and Modules, Optical Networking, Access Points, Outdoor and Industrial Access Points, Next-Generation Firewalls, Advanced Malware Protection, VPN Security Clients, Email, and Web Security. The company was founded by Sandra Lerner and Leonard Bosack on December 10, 1984 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. CSCO price fluctuates within 2.07% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.62%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.36%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.67%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.77%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.69%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2015	22.39	24.16		24.18	24.28	24.48	24.62(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	12	70	27	-34	38.65	67%	0.18	21.7	1.05%	0	0.9	58	INF
2	Jan_9_2015	22.35	24.1	24.26	24	24.1	24.32	24.4(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	80	16	-45	33.62	57%	0.13	6	1.15%	0	0.6	57	INF
3	Jan_8_2015	22.32	24.06	24.28	23.97	23.99	24.08	24.15(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	30	6	-28	40.91	57%	0.09	-3.6	1.18%	0	0.2	67	INF
4	Jan_7_2015	22.3	24.04	24.33	23.99	24.01	24.08	23.97(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-30	-14	-7	27.57	55%	0.13	-5.2	1.18%	0	-0.1	68	INF
5	Jan_6_2015	22.27	24.03	24.4	24.14	24.15	23.89	23.75(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-15	-70	-30	30	47.3	53%	0.13	0	1.19%	0	-0.5	63	INF

6	Jan_5_2015	22.24	24.05	24.45	24.36	24.37	24.12	23.75(-1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-6	-70	-31	71	29.46	53%	0.09	9.6	1.2%	0	-0.5	60	INF
7	Jan_2_2015	22.22	24.05	24.5	24.55	24.59	24.42	24.24(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	15	-40	-18	114	22.93	57%	0.18	22.3	1.18%	0	0.3	66	INF
8	Dec_31_2014	22.18	24.05	24.43	24.64	24.7	24.62	24.25(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	23	-20	-13	129	21.48	57%	0.09	32.1	1.18%	0	0.3	68	INF
9	Dec_30_2014	22.16	24.07	24.33	24.71	24.76	24.77	24.73(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	10	1	136	15.49	61%	0.14	42.4	1.15%	0	1.2	63	INF
10	Dec_29_2014	22.13	24.03	24.19	24.69	24.74	24.78	24.81(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	20	12	132	13.45	61%	0.18	49.5	1.15%	0	1.5	67	INF

11	Dec_26_2014	22.09	23.99	24.05	24.57	24.65	24.75	24.72(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	40	15	109	9.74	63%	0.14	52.5	1.15%	0	1.5	60	INF
12	Dec_24_2014	22.06	23.95	23.93	24.45	24.49	24.7	24.67(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	60	30	86	11.41	61%	0.14	56.4	1.19%	0	1.6	54	INF
13	Dec_23_2014	22.03	23.9	23.8	24.19	24.27	24.54	24.63(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	90	40	42	23.54	60%	0.14	50	1.19%	0	1.7	51	INF
14	Dec_22_2014	22	23.85	23.72	23.89	23.93	24.29	24.6(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	29	110	38	1	28.86	58%	0.14	39	1.2%	0	1.9	52	INF
15	Dec_19_2014	21.97	23.79	23.62	23.63	23.62	24	24.21(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	17	110	35	-39	59.64	57%	0.14	27.8	1.2%	0	1.2	51	INF

16	Dec_18_2014	21.94	23.74	23.59	23.47	23.42	23.56	24.11(3.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	3	40	25	-65	34.93	57%	0.09	28.3	1.2%	0	1	49	INF
17	Dec_17_2014	21.92	23.7	23.58	23.35	23.31	23.24	23.37(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-30	-5	-90	36.62	53%	0.05	34.6	1.14%	0	-0.9	40	INF
18	Dec_16_2014	21.91	23.7	23.68	23.36	23.39	23.28	23.18(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-30	-19	-86	36.62	53%	0.05	50.6	1.13%	0	-1.3	40	INF
19	Dec_15_2014	21.9	23.7	23.79	23.51	23.49	23.39	23.26(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-30	-14	-53	27.5	53%	0	75.6	1.13%	0	-1.1	47	INF
20	Dec_12_2014	21.9	23.69	23.87	23.6	23.57	23.5	23.41(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-20	-16	-31	27.03	53%	0.05	87.3	1.13%	0	-0.7	53	INF

21	Dec_11_2014	21.89	23.64	23.94	23.72	23.68	23.6	23.53(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-30	-15	-2	22.9	55%	0.09	84.1	1.13%	0	-0.2	57	INF
22	Dec_10_2014	21.87	23.57	23.99	23.85	23.8	23.64	23.43(-2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-12	-50	-24	26	31.77	55%	0.05	73.4	1.13%	0	-0.2	59	INF
23	Dec_9_2014	21.86	23.5	24.03	24.04	23.97	23.76	23.91(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-70	-18	67	25.89	57%	0.05	74.2	1.1%	0	0.6	71	INF
24	Dec_8_2014	21.85	23.41	24	24.11	24.1	23.96	23.74(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-40	-17	89	24.28	57%	0.09	73.9	1.1%	0	0.4	71	INF
25	Dec_5_2014	21.83	23.33	23.98	24.17	24.19	24.17	23.98(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-0	-5	116	26.72	57%		77.8	1.09%	0	0.8	80	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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