Trading Signals: CSCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 11, 2014

Trading Signals: CSCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Cisco)
CSCO latest price $21.5020 (0.16%) ($21.2873 - $21.6136) on Wed. Jun. 11, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $21.5020(0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CSCO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CSCO advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CSCO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(64%)    XHB(46%)    QQQ(22%)    SPY(19%)    XLK(19%)
Factors Impacting CSCO price   CSCO will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    TIP(-7%)    EMHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.36(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.27(1.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.07(2.05%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.3%
Market Cap   $90.308b

Cisco Systems, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of Internet Protocol based networking products and services related to the communications and information technology industry. The firm operates through the following geographical segments: the Americas, EMEA, and APJC. Its product comprises of the following categories: Switches, Routers, Wireless, Network Management Interfaces and Modules, Optical Networking, Access Points, Outdoor and Industrial Access Points, Next-Generation Firewalls, Advanced Malware Protection, VPN Security Clients, Email, and Web Security. The company was founded by Sandra Lerner and Leonard Bosack on December 10, 1984 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. CSCO price fluctuates within 1.9% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.61%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.98%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.94%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.52%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.32%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.33%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140711

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_11_2014	19.96	21.07	21.27	21.36	21.35	21.39	21.5(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	10	11	34	36.17	70%	0.1	98.9	1.25%	0	1.1	65	0
2	Jun_10_2014	19.94	20.98	21.25	21.27	21.27	21.33	21.47(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	20	7	33	36.58	70%	0.15	76.9	1.26%	0	1	72	0
3	Jun_9_2014	19.91	20.91	21.22	21.27	21.21	21.3	21.3(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	30	4	31	18.82	70%	0.1	72.3	1.27%	0	0.8	61	0
4	Jun_6_2014	19.89	20.84	21.2	21.21	21.17	21.22	21.32(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	10	8	36	22.49	70%	0.15	67.2	1.28%	0	0.8	61	0
5	Jun_5_2014	19.86	20.76	21.16	21.21	21.15	21.11	21.21(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-20	-1	32	23.32	70%	0.1	63	1.29%	0	0.7	63	0

6	Jun_4_2014	19.84	20.68	21.14	21.17	21.16	21.13	21.04(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10	-7	58	20.64	70%	0.1	58.7	1.3%	0	0.6	78	0
7	Jun_3_2014	19.82	20.61	21.11	21.22	21.2	21.2	21.19(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-0	-0	91	23.34	70%	0.15	55.7	1.31%	0	0.9	80	0
8	Jun_2_2014	19.79	20.54	21.09	21.23	21.22	21.18	21.28(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10	2	114	20.39	70%	0.15	55.3	1.32%	0	1.1	73	0
9	May_30_2014	19.76	20.46	21.05	21.18	21.23	21.21	21.14(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	0	2	134	29.38	70%	0.1	53.9	1.33%	0	1	74	0
10	May_29_2014	19.74	20.39	21.01	21.14	21.19	21.26	21.19(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	30	4	152	21.64	70%	0.15	51.4	1.34%	0	1.2	75	0

11	May_28_2014	19.71	20.32	20.87	21.11	21.11	21.25	21.31(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	50	15	155	28.65	70%	0.15	49.7	1.35%	0	1.5	79	0
12	May_27_2014	19.68	20.25	20.7	20.99	21.03	21.12	21.22(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	40	12	144	32.37	70%	0.15	45.5	1.36%	0	1.6	79	0
13	May_23_2014	19.65	20.17	20.57	20.93	20.92	20.98	21.06(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	20	4	140	27.78	70%	0.15	44.2	1.37%	0	1.6	72	0
14	May_22_2014	19.62	20.1	20.45	20.9	20.88	20.95	20.94(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	20	6	141	26.75	70%	0.15	45.2	1.39%	0	1.6	71	0
15	May_21_2014	19.59	20.05	20.33	20.87	20.85	20.86	21.02(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	0	22	146	65.26	70%	0.15	48.8	1.4%	0	2	71	0

16	May_20_2014	19.56	20	20.19	20.58	20.84	20.82	20.71(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	30	21	110	56.32	68%	0.1	41.8	1.4%	0	1.6	66	0
17	May_19_2014	19.54	19.97	20.07	20.36	20.55	20.84	20.91(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	130	20	77	39.39	68%	0.15	36.6	1.4%	0	2.3	69	0
18	May_16_2014	19.51	19.92	19.94	20.16	20.27	20.85	20.93(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	47	220	42	62	40.48	68%	0.21	36.5	1.42%	0	2.8	71	0
19	May_15_2014	19.47	19.87	19.81	19.93	20.03	20.25	20.76(6.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	38	90	40	33	120.94	68%	0.15	31.9	1.43%	0	3.2	69	0
20	May_14_2014	19.44	19.81	19.7	19.73	19.75	19.68	19.59(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-20	-7	-17	59.33	60%	0	17.6	1.15%	0	-1.2	35	0

21	May_13_2014	19.44	19.81	19.72	19.74	19.77	19.68	19.63(-1.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-3	20	3	-20	57.93	60%	0	18.7	1.16%	0	-1.1	33	0
22	May_12_2014	19.44	19.82	19.75	19.72	19.71	19.81	19.91(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	30	9	-30	40.22	64%	0.1	14.3	1.14%	0	0.5	37	0
23	May_9_2014	19.42	19.79	19.75	19.68	19.64	19.73	19.77(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	30	7	-44	22.59	64%	0	2.8	1.15%	0	-0.1	37	0
24	May_8_2014	19.42	19.79	19.73	19.68	19.61	19.62	19.77(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-0	3	-52	32.18	64%	0.05	-6	1.17%	0	-0	45	0
25	May_7_2014	19.41	19.78	19.75	19.66	19.62	19.54	19.64(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-30	-8	-52	38.9	64%		-4.3	1.18%	0	-0.6	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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