Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 8, 2023

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $498.6900 (0.1%) ($498.6900 - $498.6900) on Mon. May. 8, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $498.6900(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BOTZ(36%)    ARKK(24%)    BLOK(18%)    ACES(17%)    CEMB(16%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-27%)    OIH(-9%)    SMH(-8%)    VXX(-4%)    TBT(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $494.59(0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $496.74(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $497.69(0.2%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $220.183b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.1% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_8_2023	489.06	497.69	496.74	494.59	494.67	498.6	498.69(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	183	60	229	46	0.76	46%	0.08	-0.9	1.08%	1.2	0.2	53	1.2
2	May_5_2023	488.68	497.42	497.77	493.58	493.36	494.51	498.19(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	162	10	201	44	1.25	46%	0.07	-8.9	1.1%	1.6	0.1	54	1.1
3	May_4_2023	488.33	496.83	498.53	494.5	492.15	490.74	490.4(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-137	-30	-156	-79	1.12	42%	0.02	-8.9	1.09%	-0.8	-1	51	-0.1
4	May_3_2023	488.25	497.24	499.95	496.66	495.08	492.22	490.97(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-113	-50	-133	-51	1.12	42%	0.01	6.6	1.1%	-1.2	-1	46	1
5	May_2_2023	488.21	497.61	500.59	497.39	497.64	493.56	494.69(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-174	-60	-208	-70	1.94	42%	0.01	18.8	1.12%	-0.4	-0.5	56	1.1

6	May_1_2023	488.14	497.74	500.86	499.12	497.86	497.94	493.65(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-201	-10	-243	-75	1.78	42%	0.02	29.9	1.12%	-1.4	-0.7	48	1.8
7	Apr_28_2023	488.05	497.93	501.07	502.5	500.22	501.71	502.78(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	111	10	117	91	1.17	45%	0.05	48.7	1.12%	1	0.8	58	1.9
8	Apr_27_2023	487.82	497.39	500.1	503.29	502.29	497.77	501.19(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-55	-70	-81	24	0.87	45%	0.04	55.2	1.13%	0.1	0.7	62	1.3
9	Apr_26_2023	487.62	496.86	499.77	503.86	503.68	498.72	494.66(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-348	-70	-427	-109	1.41	42%	0.03	60.2	1.12%	-1.9	-0.4	49	0.8
10	Apr_25_2023	487.48	496.53	499.41	504.08	506.1	506.81	503.34(-1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-10	20	-28	46	1.73	46%	0.03	55.2	1.12%	-2.1	1.1	53	0.5

11	Apr_24_2023	487.32	496	498.83	502.66	504.27	508.64	510.54(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	232	70	258	154	0.95	49%	0.03	54.1	1.1%	2	2.4	58	1.4
12	Apr_21_2023	487.15	495.14	496.96	499.4	500.69	505.39	506.74(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	290	70	333	160	1.07	55%	0.01	56.4	1.14%	0.6	2.3	56	1.5
13	Apr_20_2023	487.12	494.21	494.81	496.55	497.57	499.9	504.03(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	214	40	250	104	2.33	58%	-0.07	48.3	1.15%	1	2.2	59	1.3
14	Apr_19_2023	487.47	493.35	494.06	495.3	494.68	496	495.77(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	10	23	13	0.83	51%	-0.07	47.5	1.16%	0.8	0.6	55	1.6
15	Apr_18_2023	487.82	493.13	494.19	494.04	495.22	495.24	496.22(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	89	10	103	48	0.89	51%	-0.07	50	1.19%	1.2	0.8	59	1.6

16	Apr_17_2023	488.18	492.76	494.22	494.39	494.2	493.37	494.26(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-84	-10	-102	-29	1.03	51%	-0.09	70.4	1.2%	0.1	0.4	51	1.5
17	Apr_14_2023	488.6	492.33	494.45	494.09	495.25	495.21	492.48(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	12	10	10	17	1.18	51%	0.01	78.2	1.2%	-0.7	0	48	1.5
18	Apr_13_2023	488.56	492.11	494.46	492.64	495.32	495.04	497.79(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	60	10	68	35	1	51%	-0.08	75.6	1.2%	0.7	1.3	57	1.4
19	Apr_12_2023	488.93	491.51	493.71	492.69	492.15	495.3	489.46(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	40	-56	-12	2.06	48%	-0.09	78.7	1.19%	-1.3	-0.5	53	1.2
20	Apr_11_2023	489.38	491.19	493.57	494.34	493.62	495.61	497.95(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	249	20	288	132	1.18	51%	-0.05	77.8	1.17%	1.4	1.4	56	1.3

21	Apr_10_2023	489.64	489.98	493.05	494.14	493.44	489	492.76(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-117	-70	-144	-37	1.3	51%	-0.13	54.5	1.16%	0.5	0.5	54	1.4
22	Apr_6_2023	490.28	488.98	493.24	494.97	494.49	491.64	485.24(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-291	-40	-352	-106	3.44	61%	-0.08	46.3	1.14%	-1.2	-0.5	53	0.4
23	Apr_5_2023	490.69	488.76	493.74	496.33	497.3	497.88	498.03(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	10	55	59	1.33	67%	-0.06	48.3	1.42%	-0.1	1.3	62	0.4
24	Apr_4_2023	490.97	488.09	492.69	494.79	495.81	497.34	497.72(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	63	30	65	57	1.51	67%	-0.03	49.3	1.43%	0.4	1.4	64	0.3
25	Apr_3_2023	491.1	487.42	492	492.6	494.02	496.73	496.96(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	119	50	132	81	1.23	67%		42.6	1.43%	0.8	1.4	67	0.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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