Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 5, 2022

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $515.5900 (-5.26%) ($515.5900 - $542.4800) on Thu. May. 5, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $515.5900(-5.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -5.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(61%)    SPY(61%)    DIA(60%)    IWF(60%)    QQQ(60%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-17%)    TBT(-9%)    UNG(-2%)    VXX(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV -1.9 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $567.6
5 Day Moving Average   $529.66(-2.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $544.68(-5.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $567.6(-9.16%)
To recent high   -15.3%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $227.645b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 4.83% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 35 Average positive next day return: 2.06%(40%) Average negative next day return: -4.69%(60%) Sample size 35 Average positive next three day return: 2.43%(37%) Average negative next three day return: -6.84%(63%) Sample size 35 Average positive next weekly return: 3.8%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.38%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2022	539.68	567.6	544.68	529.66	530.98	533.51	515.59(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-163	40	-137	-241	2.96	51%	-0.1	-46.8	1.75%	-1.9	-1.9	28	1.7
2	May_4_2022	540.2	571.31	552.2	538.66	533.2	536.31	544.24(3.1%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	96	10	163	-106	1.93	56%	-0	-41	1.63%	3.1	-1.1	33	1
3	May_3_2022	540.21	573.02	557.75	540.64	537.16	528.45	527.9(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-199	-130	-187	-234	1.81	53%	-0.06	-39.4	1.58%	-0.7	-1.9	32	-0.9
4	May_2_2022	540.52	575.6	564.35	545.81	543.65	530.09	528.99(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-574	-190	-635	-392	2.68	56%	-0.06	-35.8	1.58%	-1.3	-2.2	31	-0.1
5	Apr_29_2022	540.83	578.2	569.87	553.59	549.82	545.88	531.57(-5.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-484	-70	-534	-332	2.93	58%	0.01	-25.9	1.63%	-2.6	-2.5	28	0.2

6	Apr_28_2022	540.75	580.69	576.03	561.7	558.99	557.21	560.58(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	10	-40	44	-94	1.68	65%	0.06	-11.7	1.5%	1.2	-1.4	31	0.8
7	Apr_27_2022	540.44	581.58	579.16	567.93	561.81	553.75	554.18(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-400	-130	-445	-265	2.25	65%	0.02	6.6	1.5%	-1.7	-1.9	41	0.4
8	Apr_26_2022	540.31	582.57	582.16	577.8	571.24	560.77	553.74(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-497	-160	-571	-276	2.04	65%	0.04	32.1	1.5%	-1.3	-2.2	46	1.4
9	Apr_25_2022	540.1	583.38	585.58	585.77	583.72	569.87	567.88(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-462	-180	-540	-229	2.57	65%	0.07	58.3	1.47%	-0.9	-1.3	50	1.9
10	Apr_22_2022	539.7	583.01	588.91	588.44	590.13	581.72	572.13(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-494	-90	-585	-221	2.84	65%	0.09	58.3	1.49%	-1.9	-0.8	51	1.1

11	Apr_21_2022	539.21	582.46	592.56	592.08	592.38	597.56	591.72(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-11	60	-28	39	2.02	70%	0.12	64.2	1.43%	-1.1	0.7	58	1.3
12	Apr_20_2022	538.57	580.67	592.01	591.99	592.06	598.55	603.55(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	425	80	482	252	1.39	74%	0.12	64.3	1.4%	1.5	1.5	64	0.7
13	Apr_19_2022	537.9	578.4	589.22	587.52	589	587.2	593.55(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	123	-10	131	98	1.73	73%	0.07	62.8	1.41%	0.9	1	63	0.8
14	Apr_18_2022	537.51	576.48	587.38	585.75	585.76	585.58	581.25(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-172	-0	-216	-40	1.42	66%	0.07	67.7	1.39%	-2.1	0.3	62	1
15	Apr_14_2022	537.15	575.51	586.98	589.6	586.6	590.81	590.31(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	114	30	112	120	1.72	64%	0.08	82.7	1.43%	0.6	0.9	71	1.5

16	Apr_13_2022	536.72	573.62	585.57	593.23	588.97	585.94	591.3(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	55	-60	35	115	1.82	61%	0.09	90.7	1.48%	1.5	1.1	70	1.5
17	Apr_12_2022	536.25	571.19	584.01	592.06	593.27	582.39	581.19(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-269	-120	-349	-27	2.14	60%	0.08	91.3	1.48%	-1.6	0.6	69	1
18	Apr_11_2022	535.83	569.34	583	590.9	594.56	592.01	584.68(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-277	-10	-360	-26	2.78	60%	0.1	85.4	1.48%	-1.8	0.8	66	0.1
19	Apr_8_2022	535.31	566.53	581.15	588.8	592.36	604.15	600.51(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	349	160	376	268	3.22	59%	0.14	77.4	1.49%	0.5	1.7	80	0.7
20	Apr_7_2022	534.57	562.84	576.68	583.76	585.95	597.12	608.49(3.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	652	140	738	393	4.3	56%	0.16	74.1	1.49%	1.8	2.3	78	1.3

21	Apr_6_2022	533.73	558.97	571.36	577.18	577.65	580.57	585.44(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	238	40	257	182	2.15	51%	0.11	72.4	1.45%	1.9	1.5	75	1.1
22	Apr_5_2022	533.13	556.04	568.21	575.17	577.65	574.79	575.37(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	24	-0	4	84	1.45	46%	0.11	69	1.43%	-0.4	1.1	77	0.5
23	Apr_4_2022	532.55	553.49	566.56	573.97	575.12	574.74	574.2(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	0	5	90	1.74	46%	0.11	68.2	1.47%	-1.2	1.2	75	-0.1
24	Apr_1_2022	531.96	551.21	564.59	572.08	573.92	575.45	575.28(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	79	30	62	128	1.55	46%	0.12	68.4	1.46%	-1.3	1.4	82	-0.5
25	Mar_31_2022	531.31	548.72	563.06	568.19	571.28	575.5	575.62(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	218	70	223	201	3.4	46%		67.5	1.47%	0.9	1.6	81	-0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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