Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 27, 2022

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $483.2400 (0.05%) ($483.2400 - $483.2400) on Thu. Jan. 27, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   19
Latest Price   $483.2400(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   COST declines -4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(61%)    DIA(60%)    IVW(60%)    IWF(59%)    QQQ(58%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-18%)    TBT(-8%)    VXX(-2%)    UNG(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV -0.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $516.07
5 Day Moving Average   $482.99(0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $489.02(-1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $516.07(-6.36%)
To recent high   -15%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $213.362b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 6.25% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 45 Average positive next day return: 3.07%(56%) Average negative next day return: -2.3%(44%) Sample size 45 Average positive next three day return: 4.77%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -3.69%(47%) Sample size 45 Average positive next weekly return: 5.61%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.82%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2022	503.87	516.07	489.02	482.99	482.91	483.11	483.24(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	51	0	107	-118	1.89	43%	0.04	-58.2	1.68%	-0.2	-1	19	-1.8
2	Jan_26_2022	503.69	520.26	492.99	482.92	482.65	479.67	482.98(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-124	-40	-93	-215	2.54	43%	0.05	-54.6	1.68%	0.1	-1.1	18	-2
3	Jan_25_2022	503.44	524.33	496.77	484.28	482.55	482.72	477.69(-2.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-185	-10	-159	-264	3.07	45%	-0.05	-52.2	1.68%	-0.3	-1.4	13	-2.1
4	Jan_24_2022	503.71	528.71	500.93	486.4	486.32	485.62	488.88(1.39%)	RB	OpenLong	55	0.1	26	-10	96	-186	3.47	47%	0.06	-50.7	1.66%	-0.3	-1.2	14	-3.1
5	Jan_21_2022	503.43	531.96	505.54	489.23	486.04	482.39	482.17(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-271	-70	-250	-335	2.45	49%	0.04	-50.2	1.66%	-1.9	-1.6	8	-3

6	Jan_20_2022	503.21	535.55	512.08	496.14	491.24	487.02	482.87(-1.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-270	-90	-253	-321	2.69	49%	0.06	-50.6	1.67%	-2	-1.8	12	-2.2
7	Jan_19_2022	502.93	538.95	518.78	504.73	499.78	489.68	489.81(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-344	-170	-345	-341	1.91	50%	0.07	-47.8	1.66%	-0.3	-1.9	12	-1.6
8	Jan_18_2022	502.58	542.12	526.21	511.21	508.38	495.47	488.27(-2.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-547	-190	-590	-418	3.76	52%	0.18	-48.4	1.66%	-1.4	-2.3	15	-1.1
9	Jan_14_2022	501.7	545.37	534.08	517.35	516.19	509.88	503.01(-2.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-404	-90	-427	-335	3.2	56%	0.11	-54.2	1.63%	-1.6	-2.2	18	0.3
10	Jan_13_2022	501.15	548.1	540.64	524.12	519.53	521.29	516.75(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-172	-0	-162	-200	1.68	58%	0.13	-44.6	1.59%	-1	-1.9	34	0.3

11	Jan_12_2022	500.48	550.66	545.45	530.53	525.31	522.5	525.82(0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-2	-70	29	-95	1.38	60%	0.15	-27.2	1.57%	1.1	-1.7	38	1
12	Jan_11_2022	499.71	551.8	549.74	535.33	531.05	517.77	522.18(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-438	-200	-493	-273	2.45	60%	0.14	-19	1.58%	-0.1	-2.1	40	0.8
13	Jan_10_2022	499.02	553.71	554.16	543.87	538.71	528.12	518.99(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-663	-170	-769	-343	4.91	60%	0.12	6.8	1.58%	-1.1	-2.9	36	1
14	Jan_7_2022	498.4	555.88	558.96	553.27	551.08	544.33	536.88(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-262	-100	-311	-114	1.82	64%	0.17	53	1.51%	-1.4	-2.1	46	0.7
15	Jan_6_2022	497.55	555.51	560.75	559.48	557.7	549.3	548.78(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-325	-110	-393	-122	1.77	67%	0.21	61.7	1.48%	-1	-0.6	48	0.7

16	Jan_5_2022	496.49	554.77	561.08	562.54	562.5	557.84	549.82(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-298	-60	-361	-107	2.85	68%	0.2	63.7	1.48%	-2.3	-0.4	39	0.9
17	Jan_4_2022	495.48	554.44	560.93	566.25	566.07	566.1	564.87(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-29	-0	-50	35	1.32	69%	0.23	72.4	1.44%	0.6	0.9	63	1.4
18	Jan_3_2022	494.33	552.9	559.34	566.13	566.7	567.17	566(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	53	10	48	68	1.91	69%	0.25	61.9	1.47%	0.9	1	54	1.4
19	Dec_31_2021	493.11	551.1	557.5	565.62	566.33	566.03	567.92(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	0	37	55	0.95	69%	0.26	53.1	1.48%	1.1	1.3	54	1.3
20	Dec_30_2021	491.84	548.97	555.95	562.28	564.59	566.23	564.08(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	60	30	57	69	1.1	69%	0.25	36.7	1.48%	0.1	1.1	68	1.4

21	Dec_29_2021	490.61	547.25	555.94	559.37	561.45	566.63	568.37(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	211	80	231	152	1.28	69%	0.27	25.7	1.48%	1.8	1.5	66	1.4
22	Dec_28_2021	489.31	545.71	553.57	554.78	556.76	562.95	564.29(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	293	90	332	177	0.92	65%	0.26	17.6	1.48%	0.8	1.4	59	1.4
23	Dec_27_2021	488.03	545.11	552.71	551.59	551.9	556.27	563.43(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	229	60	255	149	2.19	63%	0.35	19.2	1.53%	1.6	1.5	62	1.3
24	Dec_23_2021	486.31	544.13	552.06	548.37	548.77	550.58	551.22(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	118	30	123	102	1.09	64%	0.24	19	1.57%	1.3	0.6	60	1.4
25	Dec_22_2021	485.13	543.95	549.63	548.79	547.34	547.52	549.54(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10	-7	53	1.06	64%		29.3	1.58%	1.6	0.5	61	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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