Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 28, 2021

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $564.2900 (0.15%) ($564.2900 - $566.6700) on Tue. Dec. 28, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $564.2900(0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(61%)    DIA(60%)    IVW(60%)    IWF(59%)    QQQ(58%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-18%)    TBT(-9%)    VXX(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0.8 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $554.78(1.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $553.57(1.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $545.71(3.4%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   28.4%
Market Cap   $249.147b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 2.38% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 1.58%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.99%(57%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 3.23%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.04%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 2.95%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.62%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220128

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_28_2021	489.31	545.71	553.57	554.78	556.76	562.95	564.29(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	293	90	332	177	0.92	65%	0.26	17.6	1.48%	0.8	1.4	59	1.4
2	Dec_27_2021	488.03	545.11	552.71	551.59	551.9	556.27	563.43(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	229	60	255	149	2.19	63%	0.35	19.2	1.53%	1.6	1.5	62	1.3
3	Dec_23_2021	486.31	544.13	552.06	548.37	548.77	550.58	551.22(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	118	30	123	102	1.09	64%	0.24	19	1.57%	1.3	0.6	60	1.4
4	Dec_22_2021	485.13	543.95	549.63	548.79	547.34	547.52	549.54(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10	-7	53	1.06	64%	0.24	29.3	1.58%	1.6	0.5	61	1.3
5	Dec_21_2021	483.96	543.69	547.93	552.08	548.28	546.96	545.43(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-71	-40	-104	29	1.82	64%	0.25	45.1	1.58%	-0.3	0.1	57	0.9

6	Dec_20_2021	482.77	543.45	547.6	552.04	553.44	547.17	548.32(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-38	-70	-66	47	1.52	62%	0.25	53.7	1.57%	-0.5	0.4	54	0.5
7	Dec_17_2021	481.56	542.75	546.22	553.85	552.62	549.6	547.32(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-293	-40	-364	-78	5.32	62%	0.26	64.8	1.6%	-0.8	0.4	47	0.8
8	Dec_16_2021	480.32	541.9	544.55	556.15	554.9	559.72	553.35(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	115	50	115	114	2.12	62%	0.28	76	1.59%	0.3	1	52	0.8
9	Dec_15_2021	478.98	540.56	541.74	550.29	556.28	555.65	565.99(3.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	345	20	397	189	2.25	65%	0.3	70.1	1.56%	1.8	2.1	55	1
10	Dec_14_2021	477.53	538.54	537.92	543.21	545.75	550.09	545.21(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-131	70	-152	-68	2.61	62%	0.26	67.8	1.5%	-0.8	0.6	50	0.8

11	Dec_13_2021	476.29	537.29	537.22	542.43	542.1	556.9	557.37(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	513	190	607	231	3.38	63%	0.29	68.8	1.47%	0.9	1.7	56	0.8
12	Dec_10_2021	474.92	535.28	536.61	537.61	538.79	541.42	558.85(6.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	524	40	622	231	5.15	63%	0.3	60.7	1.48%	1.7	2.1	60	0.9
13	Dec_9_2021	473.48	532.93	534.98	531.67	532.39	527.29	524.05(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-340	-60	-389	-194	2.99	57%	0.24	46.8	1.24%	-1.1	-0.8	49	0.3
14	Dec_8_2021	472.36	532.2	537.48	531.76	533.68	536.16	530.59(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	40	-17	-28	2.59	59%	0.25	43.7	1.23%	-1.1	-0.1	54	0.6
15	Dec_7_2021	471.2	531.24	538.96	531.58	532.17	537.49	541.3(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	286	70	339	128	1.62	61%	0.28	44.8	1.2%	1.3	0.8	60	-0.1

16	Dec_6_2021	469.9	529.45	538.85	531.19	529.14	531.2	533.25(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	114	20	132	61	1.76	60%	0.27	45.4	1.2%	1.1	0.3	61	-1.4
17	Dec_3_2021	468.64	528.5	539.03	535.66	530.58	526.84	529.15(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-145	-80	-184	-28	2.02	60%	0.25	60.3	1.21%	-0.6	0	61	-2.2
18	Dec_2_2021	467.45	527.85	539.29	539.06	537.19	527.07	524.53(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-373	-140	-462	-104	2.47	61%	0.25	74.1	1.2%	-1.3	-0.2	62	-1.7
19	Dec_1_2021	466.28	526.88	539.78	543.96	543.02	534.32	529.69(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-540	-120	-672	-142	2.86	61%	0.27	83.3	1.2%	-1.9	0.2	69	-2.6
20	Nov_30_2021	465.03	525.38	539.76	547.07	547.87	547.31	539.33(-2.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-155	-0	-232	76	4.09	65%	0.29	86.7	1.16%	-1.5	0.8	73	-2

21	Nov_29_2021	463.69	523.09	537.93	547.31	549.47	551.73	555.6(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	279	40	269	309	2.1	70%	0.32	83.8	1.09%	1.2	1.8	90	-0.3
22	Nov_26_2021	462.23	519.85	534.09	542.94	545.71	548.44	546.13(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	188	50	167	252	1.78	68%	0.43	82.7	1.08%	0	1.5	74	-3.8
23	Nov_24_2021	460.24	517.04	530.75	539.63	542.18	547.2	549.03(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	350	80	362	314	1.23	68%	0.33	80	1.07%	1.9	1.8	74	0.8
24	Nov_23_2021	458.72	514.02	526.43	535.11	536.87	542.97	545.24(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	392	90	417	315	1.77	67%	0.19	82	1.08%	1.3	1.8	78	0.9
25	Nov_22_2021	457.84	511	522.72	531.46	532.01	537.16	540.57(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	380	70	405	303	1.51	67%		87.5	1.08%	1.4	1.8	79	0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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