Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ COST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 12, 2021

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $517.4100 (1.03%) ($513.2300 - $517.4100) on Fri. Nov. 12, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $517.4100(1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(60%)    SPY(60%)    IWF(59%)    DIA(58%)    QQQ(58%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    UUP(-16%)    TBT(-7%)    VXX(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $509.62(1.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $507.08(2.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $494.56(4.62%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.7%
Market Cap   $228.448b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 3.63% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.78%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.7%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.49%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -2.15%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.7%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.06%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20211212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2021	449.69	494.56	507.08	509.62	509.96	513.24	517.41(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	303	50	325	238	1.78	65%	0.29	85.1	1.11%	1.2	1.3	72	1.1
2	Nov_11_2021	448.41	491.37	504.51	508.76	506.87	507.95	512.15(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	0	35	129	1.22	65%	0.27	80.1	1.11%	1.6	1.1	74	0.5
3	Nov_10_2021	447.19	488.35	502.35	509.29	507.62	506.68	505.79(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-20	-18	129	1.01	64%	0.26	75.8	1.1%	-0.9	0.9	75	0.5
4	Nov_9_2021	446.03	485.44	500.8	508.6	509.88	505.79	508.74(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-21	-50	-70	128	1.88	64%	0.28	71.1	1.1%	-0	1.1	81	0.9
5	Nov_8_2021	444.78	482.4	498.56	506.25	508.15	508.55	504(-1.77%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-121	20	-191	90	2.05	64%	0.28	68	1.09%	-1.2	1	81	1

6	Nov_5_2021	443.52	479.73	497.11	503.83	506.39	513.97	513.1(-0.34%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.4	434	120	456	369	1.79	69%	0.3	67.8	1.07%	0.4	1.5	92	1
7	Nov_4_2021	442.21	476.6	494	499.49	501.09	507.75	514.84(2.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	554	100	594	432	2.22	69%	0.31	66.3	1.08%	1.4	1.9	95	1.3
8	Nov_3_2021	440.83	473.39	490.1	494.56	495.24	498.82	502.32(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	300	50	293	319	1.86	68%	0.27	65.6	1.05%	1.5	1.5	94	1.3
9	Nov_2_2021	439.63	470.7	486.89	492.02	492.62	494.44	496.98(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	220	30	194	296	1.46	67%	0.26	63.9	1.05%	1.5	1.4	95	1.3
10	Nov_1_2021	438.47	468.14	483.96	489.79	490.78	491.67	491.89(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	131	20	86	266	1.31	67%	0.26	61.6	1.05%	0.2	1.3	91	1.2

11	Oct_29_2021	437.35	465.52	481.08	489.3	489.27	490.81	491.44(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	118	20	65	275	1.64	68%	0.25	58.2	1.05%	1.1	1.5	85	1.2
12	Oct_28_2021	436.24	463.32	477.29	487.53	488.77	489.89	490.18(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	202	20	166	308	1.09	68%	0.26	53.6	1.06%	0.3	1.6	82	1.2
13	Oct_27_2021	435.11	461.18	473.36	484.84	486.87	487.73	489.59(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	150	20	110	270	1.4	68%	0.26	52.2	1.06%	1	1.8	80	1.1
14	Oct_26_2021	433.99	459.16	468.99	480.89	483.65	487.66	485.87(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	229	80	210	284	1.88	68%	0.25	48.9	1.06%	0.1	1.9	80	1.2
15	Oct_25_2021	432.92	457.14	465.09	477.11	479.52	486	489.44(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	458	110	485	375	1.47	68%	0.24	45.2	1.05%	1.3	2.5	85	1.4

16	Oct_22_2021	431.87	455.48	460.98	471.63	473.9	479.65	482.56(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	454	100	487	353	1.35	68%	0.23	39.7	1.05%	1.2	2.5	86	1.5
17	Oct_21_2021	430.86	454.51	457.72	465.51	468.77	473.03	476.74(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	397	80	431	294	1.1	67%	0.23	30.4	1.05%	1.7	2.4	70	1.8
18	Oct_20_2021	429.88	453.18	455.13	460.16	462.59	468.16	469.83(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	308	100	335	225	1.35	66%	0.22	13.2	1.04%	1	2.1	66	1.7
19	Oct_19_2021	428.94	452.23	452.98	455.25	457.75	464.51	466.96(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	468	120	534	268	1.14	66%	0.09	-8.5	1.04%	1.4	2.1	61	1.9
20	Oct_18_2021	428.55	451.36	450.84	451.24	452.33	457.02	462.04(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	351	80	405	188	1.54	64%	0.2	-34.6	1.03%	2.2	1.8	62	2.1

21	Oct_15_2021	427.69	451.16	448.55	448.83	448.84	450.98	452(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	150	30	181	57	0.96	62%	0.16	-50.8	1.01%	0.8	0.1	41	2
22	Oct_14_2021	427.01	451.66	448.2	448.8	448.34	447.63	449.96(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	18	-10	32	-26	1.02	62%	0.16	-49.3	1.01%	0.9	-0.3	34	1.9
23	Oct_13_2021	426.34	452.16	448.1	449.36	448.7	446.71	445.31(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-160	-40	-176	-110	1.26	61%	0.14	-48.6	1%	-1.4	-1	46	1.5
24	Oct_12_2021	425.73	452.81	448.73	450.23	450.53	449.05	446.88(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-89	-20	-94	-73	1.31	59%	0.15	-46.9	1%	-3	-0.9	47	1.4
25	Oct_11_2021	425.08	453.45	448.83	450.18	450.92	450.69	450(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	0	-30	-52	0.83	59%		-49.7	1.01%	-1	-0.5	50	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.