Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 30, 2021

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $455.8100 (1.21%) ($450.3450 - $455.8100) on Mon. Aug. 30, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $455.8100(1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   COST advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(60%)    SPY(60%)    IWF(59%)    DIA(58%)    QQQ(58%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    UUP(-16%)    TBT(-6%)    VXX(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 1.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $451.66(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $452.52(0.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $447.89(1.77%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   20.6%
Market Cap   $201.251b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.7% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 38 Average positive next day return: 1.02%(66%) Average negative next day return: -1.1%(34%) Sample size 38 Average positive next three day return: 2.41%(61%) Average negative next three day return: -1.94%(39%) Sample size 38 Average positive next weekly return: 3.23%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.92%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210930

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_30_2021	401.17	447.89	452.52	451.66	451.55	452.4	455.81(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	139	10	152	99	1.21	72%	0.23	81.2	0.81%	1.7	1	65	1.5
2	Aug_27_2021	400.23	446.6	452.19	451.49	451.07	450.24	450.36(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-51	-20	-75	23	1.05	65%	0.22	79.1	0.86%	0	0.5	63	1.4
3	Aug_26_2021	399.34	445.64	451.97	453.32	452.2	450.7	449.32(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-114	-30	-158	18	1.24	65%	0.23	80.9	0.86%	-0.8	0.4	63	0.9
4	Aug_25_2021	398.43	444.52	451.66	454.22	454.61	451.9	451.29(-0.05%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-79	-40	-121	46	1.29	65%	0.23	79.4	0.86%	-0.4	0.7	60	1.6
5	Aug_24_2021	397.51	443.14	451.04	453.18	455.25	453.69	451.52(-0.76%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-108	-10	-156	38	1.32	65%	0.23	76.8	0.86%	-1.2	0.8	67	1.5

6	Aug_23_2021	396.59	441.82	450.2	453.36	453.63	457.33	454.96(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	76	60	55	139	1.81	65%	0.15	78.2	0.85%	-0.1	1.2	72	1.5
7	Aug_20_2021	396	440.24	448.79	452.95	453.02	456.8	459.5(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	444	60	482	328	1.4	68%	0.27	81.5	0.84%	1.4	1.7	81	1.1
8	Aug_19_2021	394.93	438.41	446.76	450.54	451.31	449.94	453.82(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	125	-20	108	174	1.73	66%	0.26	82.5	0.84%	1.4	1.4	77	-0.2
9	Aug_18_2021	393.91	436.61	445.62	448.84	449.72	449.24	446.09(-1.4%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-132	-0	-198	67	1.92	64%	0.25	79.5	0.83%	-2.2	0.8	77	0.5
10	Aug_17_2021	392.93	435.1	444.62	448.49	449.53	452.68	452.42(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	251	60	245	268	1.62	68%	0.25	79.1	0.81%	1	1.5	88	1.1

11	Aug_16_2021	391.95	433.3	442.87	446.48	447.35	450.2	452.93(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	339	50	348	311	1.29	68%	0.27	79.1	0.81%	1.8	1.7	84	1.5
12	Aug_13_2021	390.9	431.31	440.48	444	444.7	446.38	447.46(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	206	30	194	242	1.06	69%	0.26	77.4	0.8%	1.4	1.4	83	1.6
13	Aug_12_2021	389.87	429.47	438.74	442.43	442.89	444.51	445.31(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	159	30	141	211	1	65%	0.28	74.1	0.84%	0.8	1.4	81	1.8
14	Aug_11_2021	388.79	427.79	436.79	441.97	441.48	443.03	444.35(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	138	20	115	207	2.21	65%	0.27	76.7	0.87%	0.6	1.5	84	1.9
15	Aug_10_2021	387.73	426.07	434.62	440.14	441.33	441.28	442.34(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	166	10	149	215	1.6	65%	0.29	75.6	0.89%	0.8	1.5	84	1.7

16	Aug_9_2021	386.62	424.3	432.81	438.66	439.4	439.93	440.53(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	18	10	-25	148	1.47	65%	0.3	77.5	0.89%	-1.1	1.5	80	1.7
17	Aug_6_2021	385.48	422.66	431.06	436.35	438.08	441.38	439.65(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	240	60	237	250	1.36	68%	0.31	79.4	0.89%	0.3	1.6	81	1.6
18	Aug_5_2021	384.29	421.24	429.41	434.39	435.54	438.87	442.97(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	342	60	356	298	1.41	68%	0.3	86.2	0.92%	1.6	2.2	88	1.1
19	Aug_4_2021	383.13	419.38	426.82	430.88	431.97	434.79	435.2(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	233	50	233	233	1.24	63%	0.29	90	0.9%	0.8	1.7	81	0.9
20	Aug_3_2021	382.03	417.81	424.79	428.28	429.68	432.21	434.95(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	269	50	280	235	1.21	65%	0.28	85.5	0.92%	1.4	1.9	82	0.9

21	Aug_2_2021	380.95	416	422.91	426.13	426.5	429.16	428.96(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	163	50	156	182	1.09	63%	0.26	88.2	0.93%	0.5	1.5	81	-0.3
22	Jul_30_2021	379.95	414.51	421.39	424.96	425.19	427.16	429.86(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	227	30	231	213	2.25	63%	0.27	86.5	0.93%	1.5	1.8	81	0.5
23	Jul_29_2021	378.92	412.75	419.44	423.69	423.76	423.84	425.41(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	76	0	57	132	1.18	63%	0.27	82.5	0.93%	2.1	1.4	67	0.7
24	Jul_28_2021	377.9	411.27	418.09	422.12	423.27	423.23	422.21(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	44	10	21	114	1.09	63%	0.28	78.8	0.93%	-1.1	1.2	70	0.5
25	Jul_27_2021	376.85	410.1	416.89	420.66	422.11	423.68	424.23(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	114	40	104	145	1.13	63%		78.8	0.93%	0.7	1.6	76	0.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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