Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ COST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 5, 2021

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $442.9700 (1.79%) ($442.9700 - $443.5300) on Thu. Aug. 5, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $442.9700(1.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(60%)    SPY(60%)    IWF(59%)    DIA(58%)    QQQ(58%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    UUP(-16%)    TBT(-6%)    VXX(-4%)    EDOC(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 1.6 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $434.39(1.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $429.41(3.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $421.24(5.16%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19%
Market Cap   $195.581b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 2.39% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.13%(48%) Average negative next day return: -0.92%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.81%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -2.16%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.62%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.57%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2021	384.29	421.24	429.41	434.39	435.54	438.87	442.97(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	342	60	356	298	1.41	68%	0.3	86.2	0.92%	1.6	2.2	88	1.1
2	Aug_4_2021	383.13	419.38	426.82	430.88	431.97	434.79	435.2(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	233	50	233	233	1.24	63%	0.29	90	0.9%	0.8	1.7	81	0.9
3	Aug_3_2021	382.03	417.81	424.79	428.28	429.68	432.21	434.95(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	269	50	280	235	1.21	65%	0.28	85.5	0.92%	1.4	1.9	82	0.9
4	Aug_2_2021	380.95	416	422.91	426.13	426.5	429.16	428.96(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	163	50	156	182	1.09	63%	0.26	88.2	0.93%	0.5	1.5	81	-0.3
5	Jul_30_2021	379.95	414.51	421.39	424.96	425.19	427.16	429.86(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	227	30	231	213	2.25	63%	0.27	86.5	0.93%	1.5	1.8	81	0.5

6	Jul_29_2021	378.92	412.75	419.44	423.69	423.76	423.84	425.41(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	76	0	57	132	1.18	63%	0.27	82.5	0.93%	2.1	1.4	67	0.7
7	Jul_28_2021	377.9	411.27	418.09	422.12	423.27	423.23	422.21(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	44	10	21	114	1.09	63%	0.28	78.8	0.93%	-1.1	1.2	70	0.5
8	Jul_27_2021	376.85	410.1	416.89	420.66	422.11	423.68	424.23(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	114	40	104	145	1.13	63%	0.31	78.8	0.93%	0.7	1.6	76	0.3
9	Jul_26_2021	375.69	408.7	415.19	419.13	419.76	423.31	423.11(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	206	60	211	189	0.91	63%	0.29	82.5	0.93%	1	1.7	79	0.4
10	Jul_23_2021	374.62	407.23	413.63	417.23	418.13	420.54	423.5(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	297	50	319	229	1.05	63%	0.28	86	0.95%	1.8	1.9	79	-0.2

11	Jul_22_2021	373.56	405.63	412.41	414.6	415.66	416.22	417.57(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	105	20	92	145	0.94	61%	0.26	85	0.93%	1.3	1.5	79	-0
12	Jul_21_2021	372.6	404.35	411.32	413.48	413.82	415.73	414.87(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	89	30	70	144	1.02	61%	0.24	89.9	0.94%	0.1	1.3	75	0.7
13	Jul_20_2021	371.72	403.21	410.29	412.51	412.84	415.1	416.58(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	231	40	237	213	1.39	61%	0.23	92.5	0.94%	1.6	1.7	71	-0.5
14	Jul_19_2021	370.85	401.73	408.55	410.63	411.03	411.91	413.62(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	140	20	133	161	1.71	61%	0.23	88.1	0.94%	0.6	1.5	71	-2.8
15	Jul_16_2021	370.01	400.11	407.11	409.48	409.26	410.58	410.35(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	20	26	118	1.41	61%	0.21	78	0.94%	0.6	1.2	71	0.3

16	Jul_15_2021	369.24	398.85	405.6	409.9	409.09	410.15	411.99(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	126	10	113	164	1.89	63%	0.2	79	0.93%	1.8	1.5	76	1
17	Jul_14_2021	368.51	397.25	403.98	408.85	409.46	407.93	410.03(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	-20	21	124	1.26	63%	0.19	74.1	0.95%	1.7	1.4	75	1.6
18	Jul_13_2021	367.82	395.94	402.83	407.71	408.82	408.03	407.15(-0.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-80	-10	-129	66	1.52	63%	0.16	74.7	0.95%	-1	1.2	72	1.2
19	Jul_12_2021	367.24	394.75	401.77	406.05	408.26	410.98	407.88(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	170	60	165	185	2.03	63%	0.15	72.4	0.95%	-0.4	1.5	78	1.2
20	Jul_9_2021	366.7	393.43	400.39	404.27	405.6	409.61	412.44(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	324	80	344	265	1.9	66%	0.16	66.1	0.94%	1.4	2.2	88	1.1

21	Jul_8_2021	366.13	391.9	398.27	400.66	402.22	405.54	406.77(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	307	70	329	242	1.74	64%	0.14	61.5	0.92%	1.1	1.9	77	-0.1
22	Jul_7_2021	365.63	390.53	396.73	398.43	399.1	401.59	404.3(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	215	50	220	198	1.69	64%	0.14	57.1	0.93%	1.5	1.9	79	1
23	Jul_6_2021	365.12	389.27	395.48	397.33	396.94	398.91	398.87(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	143	30	134	170	1.24	62%	0.13	58.1	0.92%	0.4	1.4	67	0.9
24	Jul_2_2021	364.65	388.34	394.31	396.88	396.71	396.62	398.95(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	126	-0	113	163	1.23	64%	0.13	61.8	0.93%	1.1	1.6	68	1.5
25	Jul_1_2021	364.18	387.69	392.56	395.9	396.12	394.97	394.39(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-53	-20	-95	72	1.16	63%		62.5	0.93%	-1.6	1.1	67	1.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.