Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 14, 2021

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $410.0300 (0.71%) ($407.2600 - $410.0300) on Wed. Jul. 14, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $410.0300(0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(60%)    SPY(60%)    IWF(59%)    QQQ(58%)    DIA(57%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    UUP(-16%)    TBT(-6%)    VXX(-4%)    IGOV(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 1.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $408.85(0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $403.98(1.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $397.25(3.22%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   12.9%
Market Cap   $181.038b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.09%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.29%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.75%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.07%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2021	368.51	397.25	403.98	408.85	409.46	407.93	410.03(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	-20	21	124	1.26	63%	0.19	74.1	0.95%	1.7	1.4	75	1.6
2	Jul_13_2021	367.82	395.94	402.83	407.71	408.82	408.03	407.15(-0.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-80	-10	-129	66	1.52	63%	0.16	74.7	0.95%	-1	1.2	72	1.2
3	Jul_12_2021	367.24	394.75	401.77	406.05	408.26	410.98	407.88(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	170	60	165	185	2.03	63%	0.15	72.4	0.95%	-0.4	1.5	78	1.2
4	Jul_9_2021	366.7	393.43	400.39	404.27	405.6	409.61	412.44(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	324	80	344	265	1.9	66%	0.16	66.1	0.94%	1.4	2.2	88	1.1
5	Jul_8_2021	366.13	391.9	398.27	400.66	402.22	405.54	406.77(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	307	70	329	242	1.74	64%	0.14	61.5	0.92%	1.1	1.9	77	-0.1

6	Jul_7_2021	365.63	390.53	396.73	398.43	399.1	401.59	404.3(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	215	50	220	198	1.69	64%	0.14	57.1	0.93%	1.5	1.9	79	1
7	Jul_6_2021	365.12	389.27	395.48	397.33	396.94	398.91	398.87(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	143	30	134	170	1.24	62%	0.13	58.1	0.92%	0.4	1.4	67	0.9
8	Jul_2_2021	364.65	388.34	394.31	396.88	396.71	396.62	398.95(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	126	-0	113	163	1.23	64%	0.13	61.8	0.93%	1.1	1.6	68	1.5
9	Jul_1_2021	364.18	387.69	392.56	395.9	396.12	394.97	394.39(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-53	-20	-95	72	1.16	63%	0.11	62.5	0.93%	-1.6	1.1	67	1.7
10	Jun_30_2021	363.79	387.13	391.64	395.41	396.07	396.81	395.65(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	20	9	115	1.47	58%	0.1	60.1	0.93%	-0.9	1.4	66	1.5

11	Jun_29_2021	363.41	386.35	390.1	394.65	395.14	397.28	398.8(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	162	40	160	168	1.52	61%	0.11	54.5	0.95%	1.6	2.1	73	1.4
12	Jun_28_2021	363.01	385.28	388.58	393.34	393.53	395.33	396.59(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	162	30	162	163	1.35	61%	0.12	50	0.98%	1.3	2.1	72	1.7
13	Jun_25_2021	362.59	384.32	387.21	391.38	392.45	393	394.07(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	136	20	134	141	1.17	64%	0.11	40.6	0.98%	0.4	2	69	2
14	Jun_24_2021	362.2	383.86	385.95	388.69	390.64	391.73	391.92(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	84	30	83	88	1.15	64%	0.1	32.5	1.01%	-0	1.8	54	1.7
15	Jun_23_2021	361.84	383.48	385.01	387.25	387.79	391.91	391.88(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	173	80	191	119	1.54	66%	0.1	32.7	1.01%	1.1	2.1	58	1.7

16	Jun_22_2021	361.47	383.1	383.78	384.8	385.74	389.54	392.22(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	333	80	385	175	1.4	68%	0.12	21.7	1.03%	1.5	2.6	62	1.4
17	Jun_21_2021	361.05	382.61	382.46	383.18	382.58	383.68	386.81(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	93	20	106	53	1.23	66%	0.1	10.8	1.04%	1.2	1.5	61	0.6
18	Jun_18_2021	360.7	382.32	381.79	382.5	381.91	381.94	380.64(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-0	-1	8	3.41	63%	0.06	-1.4	1.04%	-0.1	-0.6	55	-0.2
19	Jun_17_2021	360.47	382.46	382.41	382.74	382.66	381.48	384.69(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-1	-20	-4	10	1.67	65%	0.08	4.3	1.05%	1.1	0.8	47	1
20	Jun_16_2021	360.18	382.19	382.26	382.41	382.2	381.88	379.65(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-98	-10	-117	-41	1.48	63%	0.04	12.9	1.05%	-1.6	-0.9	43	0.9

21	Jun_15_2021	360.03	382.35	382.39	382.46	383.05	383.83	384.11(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	83	20	98	39	0.86	66%	0.06	21.7	1.04%	1.4	0.7	47	1
22	Jun_14_2021	359.8	382.32	381.79	381.59	382	382.52	383.43(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	10	43	2	0.97	66%	0.06	15.9	1.04%	1.2	0.4	49	1.4
23	Jun_11_2021	359.59	382.37	381.27	380.99	381.05	382.26	381.83(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	28	20	40	-9	1.39	66%	0.05	10	1.04%	0.1	-0.2	52	1.4
24	Jun_10_2021	359.4	382.33	381.66	382.07	380.78	381.47	383.03(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	0	47	6	1.18	68%	0.06	20	1.05%	1.3	0.3	49	1.2
25	Jun_9_2021	359.18	381.84	381.85	382.18	381.83	379.84	379.91(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-40	-38	-19	1.12	70%		15.4	1.07%	-0.1	-0.6	53	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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