Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $394.0700 (0.55%) ($394.0700 - $394.0700) on Fri. Jun. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $394.0700(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(60%)    SPY(60%)    IWF(59%)    QQQ(58%)    DIA(57%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    UUP(-16%)    TBT(-6%)    VXX(-5%)    IGOV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0.4 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $391.38(0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $387.21(1.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $384.32(2.54%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.6%
Market Cap   $173.991b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 25 Average positive next day return: 0.81%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.78%(56%) Sample size 25 Average positive next three day return: 1.06%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -1.98%(36%) Sample size 25 Average positive next weekly return: 1.35%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.33%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210725

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_25_2021	362.59	384.32	387.21	391.38	392.45	393	394.07(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	136	20	134	141	1.17	64%	0.11	40.6	0.98%	0.4	2	69	2
2	Jun_24_2021	362.2	383.86	385.95	388.69	390.64	391.73	391.92(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	84	30	83	88	1.15	64%	0.1	32.5	1.01%	-0	1.8	54	1.7
3	Jun_23_2021	361.84	383.48	385.01	387.25	387.79	391.91	391.88(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	173	80	191	119	1.54	66%	0.1	32.7	1.01%	1.1	2.1	58	1.7
4	Jun_22_2021	361.47	383.1	383.78	384.8	385.74	389.54	392.22(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	333	80	385	175	1.4	68%	0.12	21.7	1.03%	1.5	2.6	62	1.4
5	Jun_21_2021	361.05	382.61	382.46	383.18	382.58	383.68	386.81(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	93	20	106	53	1.23	66%	0.1	10.8	1.04%	1.2	1.5	61	0.6

6	Jun_18_2021	360.7	382.32	381.79	382.5	381.91	381.94	380.64(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-0	-1	8	3.41	63%	0.06	-1.4	1.04%	-0.1	-0.6	55	-0.2
7	Jun_17_2021	360.47	382.46	382.41	382.74	382.66	381.48	384.69(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-1	-20	-4	10	1.67	65%	0.08	4.3	1.05%	1.1	0.8	47	1
8	Jun_16_2021	360.18	382.19	382.26	382.41	382.2	381.88	379.65(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-98	-10	-117	-41	1.48	63%	0.04	12.9	1.05%	-1.6	-0.9	43	0.9
9	Jun_15_2021	360.03	382.35	382.39	382.46	383.05	383.83	384.11(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	83	20	98	39	0.86	66%	0.06	21.7	1.04%	1.4	0.7	47	1
10	Jun_14_2021	359.8	382.32	381.79	381.59	382	382.52	383.43(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	10	43	2	0.97	66%	0.06	15.9	1.04%	1.2	0.4	49	1.4

11	Jun_11_2021	359.59	382.37	381.27	380.99	381.05	382.26	381.83(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	28	20	40	-9	1.39	66%	0.05	10	1.04%	0.1	-0.2	52	1.4
12	Jun_10_2021	359.4	382.33	381.66	382.07	380.78	381.47	383.03(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	0	47	6	1.18	68%	0.06	20	1.05%	1.3	0.3	49	1.2
13	Jun_9_2021	359.18	381.84	381.85	382.18	381.83	379.84	379.91(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-40	-38	-19	1.12	70%	0.07	15.4	1.07%	-0.1	-0.6	53	1
14	Jun_8_2021	358.92	381.78	382.39	382.29	382.75	380.09	379.76(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-149	-50	-176	-69	1.08	66%	0.06	21.7	1.1%	-0.7	-0.6	47	1.2
15	Jun_7_2021	358.71	381.9	382.8	381.92	383.02	383.83	380.41(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	20	-50	-22	1.95	66%	0.05	21.7	1.14%	-1.4	-0.4	46	1.4

16	Jun_4_2021	358.52	382.09	382.93	381.44	382.39	385.41	387.24(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	172	60	205	72	1.39	67%	0.07	32.6	1.12%	1.4	1.5	52	1.5
17	Jun_3_2021	358.27	381.78	382.49	381.27	380.09	382.21	383.59(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	92	30	110	36	1.4	65%	0.05	44.8	1.13%	1.5	0.5	54	1.2
18	Jun_2_2021	358.09	381.29	382.07	381.64	380.63	379.37	380.48(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	-30	27	13	1.46	65%	0.04	46	1.15%	0.2	-0.2	63	1.5
19	Jun_1_2021	357.93	381.04	382.29	382.62	381.78	377.96	377.9(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-186	-80	-223	-73	1.68	65%	0.01	55.7	1.16%	-0.8	-0.8	51	1.1
20	May_28_2021	357.91	381.14	382.95	383.78	383.65	381.89	378.02(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-163	-30	-200	-52	4.21	65%	0.03	72.3	1.16%	-1.7	-0.7	47	1.5

21	May_27_2021	357.81	380.95	383.66	384.42	385.07	385.6	386.36(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	10	41	51	1.91	68%	0.05	72.9	1.13%	-0	1.2	51	1.9
22	May_26_2021	357.64	380.31	383.1	383.83	383.93	385.42	385.43(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	64	30	66	56	1.13	68%	0.03	66.4	1.13%	0.3	1.1	54	1.5
23	May_25_2021	357.55	379.54	381.86	382.57	383.1	384.55	385.4(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	121	30	136	74	0.99	65%	0.02	53.4	1.14%	1.2	1.2	63	1.1
24	May_24_2021	357.49	378.8	381.12	382.01	381.54	382.45	383.7(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	10	41	36	1.16	65%	0.08	48.6	1.17%	0.8	0.9	59	0.9
25	May_21_2021	357.22	378.09	380.91	382.08	381.26	381.65	381.19(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	0	16	29	1.25	59%		50.4	1.21%	-0	0.6	52	0.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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