Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 30, 2018

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $195.3274 (-0.21%) ($193.5213 - $196.1959) on Tue. Jan. 30, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $195.3274(-0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(63%)    IWF(63%)    QQQ(62%)    SPY(62%)    XLP(60%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    XHB(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $194.89(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $192.73(1.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $189.71(2.96%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   23.9%
Market Cap   $86.242b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 2.05% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.45%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.04%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -1.69%(42%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 1.34%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.03%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_30_2018	172.65	189.71	192.73	194.89	195.06	195.48	195.33(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	20	27	136	2.29	84%	0.24	73.2	1.08%	0	1.4	80	-1.9
2	Jan_29_2018	172.23	189.12	192.1	194	194.13	195.63	195.73(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	105	60	88	155	2.03	84%	0.24	69.5	1.09%	0	1.8	72	-2.1
3	Jan_26_2018	171.81	188.53	191.44	193.23	192.84	194.64	196.31(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	144	60	134	175	2.76	84%	0.24	65.8	1.09%	0	2.2	75	136.8
4	Jan_25_2018	171.4	187.89	190.49	191.92	191.74	192.64	195.37(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	125	30	117	150	3.56	84%	0.23	59.6	1.09%	0	2.3	68	137.4
5	Jan_24_2018	171	187.3	189.26	190.65	190.61	191.04	191.71(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	20	26	82	2.8	83%	0.22	47	1.08%	0	1.6	58	-1.4

6	Jan_23_2018	170.63	186.91	188.5	190.26	190.15	190.84	190.9(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	20	42	78	2.32	83%	0.12	35	1.08%	0	1.5	62	0.1
7	Jan_22_2018	170.42	186.57	188	189.89	189.88	190.17	191.84(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	57	10	48	83	3.01	83%	0.22	33.3	1.07%	0	2	68	0.9
8	Jan_19_2018	170.05	186.21	187.33	189.39	189.5	189.47	189.78(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	0	7	62	2.35	83%	0.22	29.8	1.08%	0	1.5	64	1
9	Jan_18_2018	169.68	185.99	186.98	188.81	189.27	189.58	189.01(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	20	43	76	1.91	83%	0.23	24.6	1.08%	0	1.4	63	0
10	Jan_17_2018	169.29	186	186.86	187.61	188.2	189.54	189.78(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	85	60	85	84	2.59	83%	0.24	17.1	1.08%	0	1.8	64	0

11	Jan_16_2018	168.89	185.97	186.44	186.43	186.5	188.97	189.03(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	122	90	133	89	2.01	83%	0.36	13.3	1.08%	0	1.7	63	0
12	Jan_12_2018	168.29	185.72	185.9	185.83	185.46	186.86	189.34(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	140	50	158	87	3.5	84%	0.24	4.3	1.09%	0	1.7	63	0
13	Jan_11_2018	167.88	185.52	185.36	185.02	184.72	184.04	186.91(2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-3	-30	-6	6	4.68	83%	0.18	-4.7	1.09%	0	0.7	55	0
14	Jan_10_2018	167.57	185.46	185.05	184.96	184.91	184.07	183(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-90	-30	-107	-40	2.61	83%	0.17	-4.7	1.06%	0	-1.3	40	0
15	Jan_9_2018	167.29	185.64	185.2	185.98	186.12	185.4	183.86(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-20	-36	-10	2.24	78%	0.18	8.9	1.07%	0	-1	31	0

16	Jan_8_2018	166.99	185.74	185.25	186.38	186.68	185.75	186.02(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-30	-48	-24	1.96	81%	0.2	22.2	1.08%	0	0.2	34	0
17	Jan_5_2018	166.66	185.63	185.09	185.92	186.74	186.85	185.3(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	20	-17	-17	2.82	67%	0.18	20.2	1.33%	0	-0.2	54	0
18	Jan_4_2018	166.36	185.61	185.06	185.69	186.28	187.62	186.63(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	60	62	10	3.53	67%	0.18	39.6	1.33%	0	0.5	52	0
19	Jan_3_2018	166.06	185.54	184.96	185.14	185.38	186.64	188.09(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	71	50	90	13	3.36	67%	0.21	65.3	1.33%	0	1.4	55	0
20	Jan_2_2018	165.71	185.47	185.04	184.34	184.53	184.94	185.86(1.18%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	30	20	43	-9	2.51	67%	0.27	99	1.33%	0	0.2	48	0

21	Dec_29_2017	165.27	185.33	185.41	184.01	184.11	184.13	183.69(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	0	-3	-23	2.03	67%	0.19	123.8	1.32%	0	-0.9	46	0
22	Dec_28_2017	164.96	185.27	185.49	184.15	184.19	184.12	184.18(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-0	-5	-22	1.02	67%	0.19	147.7	1.32%	0	-0.6	53	0
23	Dec_27_2017	164.65	184.88	185.67	184.32	184.4	184.09	183.87(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10	-17	-22	1.18	67%	0.18	108.1	1.32%	0	-0.3	49	0
24	Dec_26_2017	164.35	184.33	185.89	184.72	184.72	184.26	184.12(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-20	-47	-28	1.12	67%	0.25	81.9	1.32%	0	-0.1	48	0
25	Dec_22_2017	163.94	183.72	186.13	185.86	185.64	184.7	184.19(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-40	-61	-19	1.08	67%		66	1.32%	0	0.1	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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