Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 19, 2018

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $189.7807 (0.41%) ($188.6655 - $190.1262) on Fri. Jan. 19, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $189.7807(0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(63%)    IWF(63%)    QQQ(62%)    SPY(62%)    XLP(60%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    XHB(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $189.39(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $187.33(1.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $186.21(1.92%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   21.7%
Market Cap   $83.793b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.24% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.52%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.81%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.38%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_19_2018	170.05	186.21	187.33	189.39	189.5	189.47	189.78(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	0	7	62	2.35	83%	0.22	29.8	1.08%	0	1.5	64	1
2	Jan_18_2018	169.68	185.99	186.98	188.81	189.27	189.58	189.01(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	20	43	76	1.91	83%	0.23	24.6	1.08%	0	1.4	63	-INF
3	Jan_17_2018	169.29	186	186.86	187.61	188.2	189.54	189.78(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	85	60	85	84	2.59	83%	0.24	17.1	1.08%	0	1.8	64	INF
4	Jan_16_2018	168.89	185.97	186.44	186.43	186.5	188.97	189.03(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	122	90	133	89	2.01	83%	0.36	13.3	1.08%	0	1.7	63	INF
5	Jan_12_2018	168.29	185.72	185.9	185.83	185.46	186.86	189.34(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	140	50	158	87	3.5	84%	0.24	4.3	1.09%	0	1.7	63	INF

6	Jan_11_2018	167.88	185.52	185.36	185.02	184.72	184.04	186.91(2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-3	-30	-6	6	4.68	83%	0.18	-4.7	1.09%	0	0.7	55	INF
7	Jan_10_2018	167.57	185.46	185.05	184.96	184.91	184.07	183(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-90	-30	-107	-40	2.61	83%	0.17	-4.7	1.06%	0	-1.3	40	INF
8	Jan_9_2018	167.29	185.64	185.2	185.98	186.12	185.4	183.86(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-20	-36	-10	2.24	78%	0.18	8.9	1.07%	0	-1	31	INF
9	Jan_8_2018	166.99	185.74	185.25	186.38	186.68	185.75	186.02(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-30	-48	-24	1.96	81%	0.2	22.2	1.08%	0	0.2	34	INF
10	Jan_5_2018	166.66	185.63	185.09	185.92	186.74	186.85	185.3(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	20	-17	-17	2.82	67%	0.18	20.2	1.33%	0	-0.2	54	INF

11	Jan_4_2018	166.36	185.61	185.06	185.69	186.28	187.62	186.63(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	60	62	10	3.53	67%	0.18	39.6	1.33%	0	0.5	52	INF
12	Jan_3_2018	166.06	185.54	184.96	185.14	185.38	186.64	188.09(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	71	50	90	13	3.36	67%	0.21	65.3	1.33%	0	1.4	55	INF
13	Jan_2_2018	165.71	185.47	185.04	184.34	184.53	184.94	185.86(1.18%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	30	20	43	-9	2.51	67%	0.27	99	1.33%	0	0.2	48	INF
14	Dec_29_2017	165.27	185.33	185.41	184.01	184.11	184.13	183.69(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	0	-3	-23	2.03	67%	0.19	123.8	1.32%	0	-0.9	46	INF
15	Dec_28_2017	164.96	185.27	185.49	184.15	184.19	184.12	184.18(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-0	-5	-22	1.02	67%	0.19	147.7	1.32%	0	-0.6	53	INF

16	Dec_27_2017	164.65	184.88	185.67	184.32	184.4	184.09	183.87(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10	-17	-22	1.18	67%	0.18	108.1	1.32%	0	-0.3	49	INF
17	Dec_26_2017	164.35	184.33	185.89	184.72	184.72	184.26	184.12(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-20	-47	-28	1.12	67%	0.25	81.9	1.32%	0	-0.1	48	INF
18	Dec_22_2017	163.94	183.72	186.13	185.86	185.64	184.7	184.19(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-40	-61	-19	1.08	67%	0.18	66	1.32%	0	0.1	43	INF
19	Dec_21_2017	163.64	183.05	186.31	187.06	187.11	185.18	184.36(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-66	-70	-86	-6	1.91	67%	0.16	71.6	1.32%	0	0.2	55	INF
20	Dec_20_2017	163.38	182.4	186.31	187.01	188.58	186.59	185.06(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-72	-50	-94	-6	3.89	67%	0.2	68.6	1.32%	0	0.4	58	INF

21	Dec_19_2017	163.06	181.74	186.3	187.01	188.57	189.05	185.87(-2.07%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-27	40	-48	37	3.96	67%	0.18	68.2	1.32%	0	0.6	71	INF
22	Dec_18_2017	162.76	180.98	186.26	187.16	188.16	190.57	189.8(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	134	110	131	144	3.49	71%	0.25	66.6	1.29%	0	1.2	82	INF
23	Dec_15_2017	162.35	179.94	185.93	186.47	186.93	188.08	190.22(3.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	138	50	126	172	8.45	71%	0.25	63.7	1.3%	0	1.4	83	INF
24	Dec_14_2017	161.94	178.86	185.16	185.55	185.67	185.76	184.1(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	39	10	2	151	3.74	68%	0.22	63	1.24%	0	0.7	81	INF
25	Dec_13_2017	161.59	178	185	185.49	185.56	185.78	185.82(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	66	10	23	194	3.06	70%		60.4	1.23%	0	1	82	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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