Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 5, 2017

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $185.3691 (-0.92%) ($184.4117 - $188.7247) on Tue. Dec. 5, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $185.3691(-0.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(63%)    IWF(63%)    SPY(62%)    QQQ(61%)    XLP(60%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $182.48(1.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $176.88(4.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $172.42(7.51%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   21.8%
Market Cap   $81.845b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 3.82% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 45 Average positive next day return: 1.96%(51%) Average negative next day return: -1.43%(49%) Sample size 45 Average positive next three day return: 3.32%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -5.98%(44%) Sample size 45 Average positive next weekly return: 4.46%(49%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.92%(51%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2017	159.36	172.42	176.88	182.48	183.42	186.14	185.37(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	226	120	205	287	3.18	71%	0.23	84.8	1.26%	0	2	78	INF
2	Dec_4_2017	159	171.25	175.3	179.68	180.16	183.56	187.09(2.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	239	140	231	261	5.77	71%	0.24	81.9	1.26%	0	2.6	82	INF
3	Dec_1_2017	158.62	170.03	173.38	176.34	176.49	180.7	182.71(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	245	170	252	223	4.03	69%	0.2	84.3	1.24%	0	2.5	79	INF
4	Nov_30_2017	158.3	168.97	171.91	173.67	173.67	176.76	182.02(3.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	247	120	264	194	7.72	69%	0.21	83.8	1.24%	0	3	81	INF
5	Nov_29_2017	157.97	167.84	170.27	171.31	171.13	172.29	175.21(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	100	40	101	97	4.68	64%	0.18	85.1	1.15%	0	2	75	INF

6	Nov_28_2017	157.69	167.01	169.57	170.5	170.42	170.59	171.38(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	10	31	71	2.73	61%	0.15	76.5	1.13%	0	1.2	75	INF
7	Nov_27_2017	157.46	166.35	169.29	170.23	170.39	169.97	170.36(0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-10	-6	71	2.35	61%	0.13	66.9	1.13%	0	1	76	INF
8	Nov_24_2017	157.26	165.83	169.11	169.91	170.25	170.26	169.38(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	10	-17	77	0.79	50%	0.11	65.5	1.13%	0	0.9	68	INF
9	Nov_22_2017	157.09	165.36	168.83	169.78	170.01	170.81	170.23(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	40	43	101	1.95	50%	0.08	67.2	1.29%	0	1.1	74	INF
10	Nov_21_2017	156.96	164.83	168.45	169	169.41	170.24	171.16(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	84	40	72	118	2.36	50%	0.1	68.1	1.29%	0	1.5	80	INF

11	Nov_20_2017	156.8	164.24	167.71	168.51	168.24	169.21	170.03(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	53	40	34	111	1.96	50%	0.08	72.6	1.29%	0	1.4	81	INF
12	Nov_17_2017	156.67	163.7	166.97	168.24	167.93	168.59	168.75(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	71	20	52	128	2.1	50%	0.08	77	1.3%	0	1.3	81	INF
13	Nov_16_2017	156.54	163.17	166.48	168.22	167.89	167.26	168.75(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-30	10	124	2.34	54%	0.08	77.1	1.3%	0	1.4	72	INF
14	Nov_15_2017	156.42	162.53	165.85	167.75	167.62	167.28	166.3(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-20	-43	104	2.44	51%	0.06	74.8	1.31%	0	0.9	68	INF
15	Nov_14_2017	156.32	161.98	165.28	167.76	167.42	168.52	168.7(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	74	40	49	147	1.77	54%	0.08	73.8	1.3%	0	1.6	77	INF

16	Nov_13_2017	156.2	161.33	164.28	166.75	166.63	167.96	168.72(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	118	50	107	152	4.09	54%	0.1	72.7	1.31%	0	1.8	76	INF
17	Nov_10_2017	156.05	160.69	163.19	165.48	165.17	166.33	168.62(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	83	40	72	116	2.67	54%	0.08	75.9	1.31%	0	2.2	76	INF
18	Nov_9_2017	155.93	160.09	162.27	164.52	164.14	165.3	166.41(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	82	40	73	108	2.09	51%	0.04	79	1.3%	0	1.9	76	INF
19	Nov_8_2017	155.87	159.5	161.58	163.7	163.43	164.02	166.35(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	81	20	72	106	3.49	51%	0.04	64.3	1.3%	0	2.2	80	INF
20	Nov_7_2017	155.8	158.93	160.86	162.45	162.57	162.98	163.62(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	47	20	34	85	1.94	48%	0.01	47.2	1.29%	0	1.7	78	INF

21	Nov_6_2017	155.78	158.46	160.45	161.42	161.75	162.84	162.41(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	73	50	66	93	1.92	48%	-0.01	24	1.28%	0	1.4	72	INF
22	Nov_3_2017	155.79	157.95	160.14	160.47	160.49	162.15	163.78(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	93	70	91	97	3.11	44%	-0.08	-2.2	1.29%	0	2.1	75	INF
23	Nov_2_2017	155.92	157.48	159.55	159.67	159.39	160.65	162.32(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	88	50	89	86	3.26	50%	-0.1	-20.8	1.31%	0	1.7	66	INF
24	Nov_1_2017	156.08	157.52	158.91	159.18	159.39	158.82	160.09(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10	27	57	2.13	47%	-0.11	-20.7	1.34%	0	0.9	69	INF
25	Oct_31_2017	156.25	157.6	158.43	159.08	158.76	158.13	158.51(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-15	-30	-31	32	2.51	53%		-19.7	1.34%	0	0.3	63	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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