Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 8, 2017

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $154.7360 (0.51%) ($154.0298 - $156.3938) on Tue. Aug. 8, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $154.7360(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(62%)    IWF(62%)    SPY(61%)    QQQ(60%)    XLP(60%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $155.05(-0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $153.45(0.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $151.34(2.24%)
To recent high   -13.4%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $68.32b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.97% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 0.82%(31%) Average negative next day return: -0.41%(69%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 1.13%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -2.76%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 1.3%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.57%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170908

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_8_2017	161.5	151.34	153.45	155.05	154.84	154.21	154.74(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-30	-1	95	2.57	42%	-0.02	36	1.37%	0	1.1	65	0
2	Aug_7_2017	161.53	151.01	153.02	154.89	154.84	153.93	153.95(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-25	-60	-59	76	2.63	42%	-0.02	24.2	1.37%	0	1	63	0
3	Aug_4_2017	161.57	150.71	152.47	155.2	155.4	155.47	153.45(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	10	-36	87	3.12	43%	-0.02	14.4	1.38%	0	1	58	0
4	Aug_3_2017	161.6	150.58	151.91	154.5	155.04	156.86	154.89(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	108	90	102	126	5.56	43%	-0.01	0.5	1.39%	0	1.5	61	0
5	Aug_2_2017	161.62	150.49	151.23	153.44	153.33	155.32	158.2(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	132	90	136	118	5.49	46%	0.02	-14.7	1.37%	0	2.7	67	0

6	Aug_1_2017	161.59	150.26	150.19	151.64	151.4	153.22	153.95(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	95	80	101	76	2.61	41%	-0.01	-40.9	1.32%	0	1.5	65	0
7	Jul_31_2017	161.6	150.3	149.62	150.9	150.43	151.33	155.48(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	90	30	99	64	6.94	41%	0	-49.4	1.33%	0	2	72	0
8	Jul_28_2017	161.6	150.31	148.99	149.42	149.6	149.58	149.97(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	0	19	12	2.78	34%	-0.04	-57.8	1.24%	0	-0.1	59	0
9	Jul_27_2017	161.66	150.57	148.97	148.94	149.11	149.53	149.61(0.28%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	6	20	9	-3	3.64	34%	-0.04	-60	1.24%	0	-0.3	43	0
10	Jul_26_2017	161.73	150.92	149.06	148.64	148.72	149.61	149.18(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	34	40	46	-4	3.02	39%	-0.05	-60.9	1.24%	0	-0.5	32	0

11	Jul_25_2017	161.81	151.25	149.02	148.48	148.41	148.69	150.24(1.44%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	25	10	42	-25	4.61	39%	-0.04	-65.2	1.28%	0	-0.3	32	0
12	Jul_24_2017	161.87	151.57	148.82	148.15	148.19	147.83	148.12(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-37	-20	-23	-80	3.66	36%	-0.07	-69.3	1.26%	0	-1	22	0
13	Jul_21_2017	161.99	151.88	148.83	148.51	148.49	148.13	147.57(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-53	-20	-36	-104	4.08	36%	-0.13	-81	1.27%	0	-1.2	17	0
14	Jul_20_2017	162.2	152.34	149.18	149.01	149.05	148.56	148.11(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-20	-30	-107	3.21	36%	-0.12	-102.6	1.27%	0	-1.2	25	0
15	Jul_19_2017	162.39	152.93	149.75	149.52	149.6	148.85	148.35(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-57	-30	-39	-112	4.1	36%	-0.12	-115.2	1.27%	0	-1.2	23	0

16	Jul_18_2017	162.58	153.49	150.38	149.62	150.05	149.55	148.61(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-10	-30	-112	3.26	36%	-0.11	-131.9	1.27%	0	-1.3	28	0
17	Jul_17_2017	162.76	154.11	151.07	149.55	150.02	150.35	149.92(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	20	4	-105	3.1	36%	-0.11	-145.3	1.27%	0	-1.1	28	0
18	Jul_14_2017	162.94	154.79	151.72	149.19	149.7	150.54	150.08(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	50	38	-92	4.37	36%	-0.09	-148.2	1.27%	0	-1.1	41	0
19	Jul_13_2017	163.09	156.03	152.26	149.4	149.38	149.7	150.67(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	10	12	-103	5.67	36%	-0.1	-103.7	1.28%	0	-0.9	36	0
20	Jul_12_2017	163.25	157.32	152.88	150.09	149.97	148.86	148.85(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-80	-50	-62	-132	5.11	36%	-0.11	-83.2	1.27%	0	-1.1	26	0

21	Jul_11_2017	163.43	158.68	153.64	151.32	151.75	149.05	148.22(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-140	-120	-136	-152	6.28	36%	-0.09	-73.1	1.27%	0	-1.2	26	0
22	Jul_10_2017	163.58	160.06	154.57	152.83	153.45	151.08	148.12(-2.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-185	-100	-193	-162	9	36%	-0.11	-67.5	1.27%	0	-1.3	24	0
23	Jul_7_2017	163.76	161.49	155.25	154.58	155.24	154.46	151.17(-1.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-95	-20	-87	-120	7.69	38%	-0.09	-61.9	1.25%	0	-1.1	23	0
24	Jul_6_2017	163.91	162.8	155.85	155.48	156.21	155.83	154.09(-0.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-45	-0	-15	-133	6.96	45%	-0.06	-58	1.22%	0	-0.9	16	0
25	Jul_5_2017	164.01	164.01	156.42	156.08	156.24	156.03	155(-0.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-70	-10	-33	-179	3.77	45%		-54.3	1.24%	0	-0.9	15	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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