Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $151.1656 (-1.9%) ($151.1460 - $154.5399) on Fri. Jul. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $151.1656(-1.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(62%)    IWF(61%)    SPY(61%)    QQQ(60%)    XLP(59%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $148.3(-1.9%)
Resistance Level   $161.49
5 Day Moving Average   $154.58(-2.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $155.25(-2.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $161.49(-6.39%)
To recent high   -15.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $66.743b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 5.62% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 1.34%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.93%(33%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 3.31%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -5.74%(38%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 5.31%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.95%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170807

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_7_2017	163.76	161.49	155.25	154.58	155.24	154.46	151.17(-1.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-95	-20	-87	-120	7.69	38%	-0.09	-61.9	1.25%	0	-1.1	23	0
2	Jul_6_2017	163.91	162.8	155.85	155.48	156.21	155.83	154.09(-0.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-45	-0	-15	-133	6.96	45%	-0.06	-58	1.22%	0	-0.9	16	0
3	Jul_5_2017	164.01	164.01	156.42	156.08	156.24	156.03	155(-0.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-70	-10	-33	-179	3.77	45%	-0.04	-54.3	1.24%	0	-0.9	15	0
4	Jul_3_2017	164.07	165.14	156.89	156.33	156.58	156.59	155.79(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-54	10	-1	-211	2	45%	-0.04	-51.5	1.23%	0	-0.9	19	0
5	Jun_30_2017	164.13	166.27	157.4	156.6	156.73	156.45	156.87(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-60	-10	3	-250	4.76	45%	-0.02	-49.7	1.22%	0	-0.9	21	0

6	Jun_29_2017	164.17	167.31	158.05	156.05	156.64	156.57	155.65(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-86	10	-14	-302	3.66	45%	-0.02	-49.5	1.22%	0	-1.2	18	0
7	Jun_28_2017	164.2	168.41	159.99	156.27	156.38	157	157.11(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-77	30	-2	-300	3.23	45%	0	-47.5	1.22%	0	-1.2	18	0
8	Jun_27_2017	164.2	169.43	161.96	156.85	156.71	156.71	156.22(-0.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-63	-0	13	-292	5.53	45%	0	-44.3	1.21%	0	-1.4	16	0
9	Jun_26_2017	164.2	170.44	163.98	157.56	157.48	155.76	157.14(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-138	-80	-77	-322	6.47	45%	-0.01	-41.3	1.21%	0	-1.5	18	0
10	Jun_23_2017	164.21	171.37	165.86	158.38	158.64	156.72	154.13(-1.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-216	-80	-168	-359	9.51	41%	-0.02	-38.7	1.19%	0	-2	10	0

11	Jun_22_2017	164.25	172.34	168.18	160.33	160.37	159.2	156.74(-2.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-189	-50	-143	-328	8.04	43%	0.04	-35	1.17%	0	-2.1	15	0
12	Jun_21_2017	164.19	173.09	170.35	164.31	162.08	160.56	160.03(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-212	-110	-187	-288	3.42	47%	0.04	-20.9	1.15%	0	-2	18	0
13	Jun_20_2017	164.13	173.65	172.27	167.94	166.19	161.54	159.79(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-237	-230	-234	-247	7.34	47%	0.04	-5.1	1.15%	0	-2.4	18	0
14	Jun_19_2017	164.06	174.22	174.2	171.4	170.38	163.6	161.2(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-400	-300	-443	-271	13.81	47%	0.05	14	1.14%	0	-2.6	25	0
15	Jun_16_2017	163.97	174.68	176.06	174.4	174	170.83	163.92(-7.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-335	-130	-383	-189	24.23	51%	0.07	37.8	1.12%	0	-2.6	32	0

16	Jun_15_2017	163.86	174.96	177.55	177	176.8	177.15	176.62(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	10	-16	36	1.75	77%	0.14	61	0.65%	0	0.4	71	0
17	Jun_14_2017	163.63	174.46	177.62	177.27	177.04	177.16	178.2(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	63	0	48	107	1.44	82%	0.15	54.9	0.64%	0	0.9	81	0
18	Jun_13_2017	163.38	173.95	177.5	177.37	177.16	176.45	177.06(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-17	-30	-59	108	1.75	82%	0.15	53.8	0.64%	0	0.7	81	0
19	Jun_12_2017	163.13	173.52	177.37	177.56	177.57	176.91	176.21(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-47	-30	-106	129	2.4	82%	0.14	53.9	0.64%	0	0.6	80	0
20	Jun_9_2017	162.9	173.1	177.24	178.04	178.06	177.86	176.93(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10	-38	206	2.17	82%	0.14	54.4	0.64%	0	0.8	85	0

21	Jun_8_2017	162.67	172.65	176.74	178.15	178.19	178.24	177.94(-0.43%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0	74	0	13	256	1.82	82%	0.15	52.1	0.64%	0	1.2	91	0
22	Jun_7_2017	162.42	172.15	175.97	178	177.94	178.26	178.72(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	93	10	29	283	1.25	82%	0.16	51.5	0.64%	0	1.5	96	0
23	Jun_6_2017	162.16	171.64	175.05	177.65	177.66	178.14	177.98(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	130	20	72	304	2.25	70%	0.1	54.1	0.64%	0	1.5	83	0
24	Jun_5_2017	162	171.15	174.18	177.16	177.17	177.62	178.6(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	130	20	79	284	1.56	70%	0.17	56.2	0.69%	0	1.9	82	0
25	Jun_2_2017	161.72	170.66	173.16	176.33	176.41	177.18	177.51(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	93	30	55	207	2.24	54%		59.5	0.89%	0	1.9	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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