Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $156.7371 (-2.06%) ($155.9720 - $160.1800) on Thu. Jun. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   15
Latest Price   $156.7371(-2.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST declines -2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(61%)    IWF(61%)    SPY(60%)    QQQ(59%)    XLP(59%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

Resistance Level   $172.34
5 Day Moving Average   $160.33(-2.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $168.18(-6.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $172.34(-9.05%)
To recent high   -12.3%
To recent low   0.4%
Market Cap   $69.203b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 4.28% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 4.27%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.09%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 8.14%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.34%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 8.14%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.14%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170722

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_22_2017	164.25	172.34	168.18	160.33	160.37	159.2	156.74(-2.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-189	-50	-143	-328	8.04	43%	0.04	-35	1.17%	0	-2.1	15	0
2	Jun_21_2017	164.19	173.09	170.35	164.31	162.08	160.56	160.03(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-212	-110	-187	-288	3.42	47%	0.04	-20.9	1.15%	0	-2	18	0
3	Jun_20_2017	164.13	173.65	172.27	167.94	166.19	161.54	159.79(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-237	-230	-234	-247	7.34	47%	0.04	-5.1	1.15%	0	-2.4	18	0
4	Jun_19_2017	164.06	174.22	174.2	171.4	170.38	163.6	161.2(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-400	-300	-443	-271	13.81	47%	0.05	14	1.14%	0	-2.6	25	0
5	Jun_16_2017	163.97	174.68	176.06	174.4	174	170.83	163.92(-7.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-335	-130	-383	-189	24.23	51%	0.07	37.8	1.12%	0	-2.6	32	0

6	Jun_15_2017	163.86	174.96	177.55	177	176.8	177.15	176.62(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	10	-16	36	1.75	77%	0.14	61	0.65%	0	0.4	71	0
7	Jun_14_2017	163.63	174.46	177.62	177.27	177.04	177.16	178.2(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	63	0	48	107	1.44	82%	0.15	54.9	0.64%	0	0.9	81	0
8	Jun_13_2017	163.38	173.95	177.5	177.37	177.16	176.45	177.06(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-17	-30	-59	108	1.75	82%	0.15	53.8	0.64%	0	0.7	81	0
9	Jun_12_2017	163.13	173.52	177.37	177.56	177.57	176.91	176.21(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-47	-30	-106	129	2.4	82%	0.14	53.9	0.64%	0	0.6	80	0
10	Jun_9_2017	162.9	173.1	177.24	178.04	178.06	177.86	176.93(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10	-38	206	2.17	82%	0.14	54.4	0.64%	0	0.8	85	0

11	Jun_8_2017	162.67	172.65	176.74	178.15	178.19	178.24	177.94(-0.43%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0	74	0	13	256	1.82	82%	0.15	52.1	0.64%	0	1.2	91	0
12	Jun_7_2017	162.42	172.15	175.97	178	177.94	178.26	178.72(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	93	10	29	283	1.25	82%	0.16	51.5	0.64%	0	1.5	96	0
13	Jun_6_2017	162.16	171.64	175.05	177.65	177.66	178.14	177.98(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	130	20	72	304	2.25	70%	0.1	54.1	0.64%	0	1.5	83	0
14	Jun_5_2017	162	171.15	174.18	177.16	177.17	177.62	178.6(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	130	20	79	284	1.56	70%	0.17	56.2	0.69%	0	1.9	82	0
15	Jun_2_2017	161.72	170.66	173.16	176.33	176.41	177.18	177.51(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	93	30	55	207	2.24	54%	0.16	59.5	0.89%	0	1.9	82	0

16	Jun_1_2017	161.46	170.31	172.15	175.1	176	176.72	177.18(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	154	40	134	213	2.03	54%	0.17	63.3	0.89%	0	2.1	79	0
17	May_31_2017	161.19	169.87	171.02	173.61	174.41	175.63	176.98(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	144	60	124	202	2.46	54%	0.16	62.8	0.71%	0	2.6	78	0
18	May_30_2017	160.93	169.38	170.05	172.05	172.69	175.27	175.5(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	172	120	178	155	2.09	52%	0.21	69.9	0.9%	0	2.7	71	0
19	May_26_2017	160.6	168.94	169.28	170.77	171.33	173.19	174.46(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	223	90	246	155	4.47	52%	0.14	81.3	0.88%	0	3	69	0
20	May_25_2017	160.37	168.54	168.54	169.55	169.71	170.12	171.39(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	66	20	71	52	2.73	47%	0.14	106.3	0.86%	0	2.1	57	0

21	May_24_2017	160.15	168.31	168.17	168.76	169.08	169.47	169.7(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	20	41	9	1.43	46%	0.13	121.3	0.86%	0	1.1	39	0
22	May_23_2017	159.95	168.13	167.99	168	168.5	169.3	169.17(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	47	40	63	-3	1.79	46%	0.06	94.2	0.87%	0	0.6	50	0
23	May_22_2017	159.86	167.82	167.94	167.72	167.83	168.68	169.11(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	49	40	67	-6	1.59	46%	0.13	80	0.87%	0	0.6	55	0
24	May_19_2017	159.66	167.48	167.89	167.55	167.59	167.7	168.36(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	33	10	48	-11	1.87	46%	0.11	69.1	0.87%	0	0.3	55	0
25	May_18_2017	159.48	167.12	167.97	167.4	167.46	166.98	167.46(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-20	-37	-40	1.59	46%		61.9	0.87%	0	0.1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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