Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $177.1789 (0.11%) ($176.4236 - $177.6399) on Thu. Jun. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $177.1789(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(61%)    IWF(61%)    SPY(60%)    QQQ(59%)    XLP(59%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $175.1(1.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $172.15(2.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $170.31(4.03%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $78.229b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.88% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.88%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.98%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.52%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -1.47%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.21%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.13%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_1_2017	161.46	170.31	172.15	175.1	176	176.72	177.18(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	154	40	134	213	2.03	54%	0.17	63.3	0.89%	0	2.1	79	0
2	May_31_2017	161.19	169.87	171.02	173.61	174.41	175.63	176.98(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	144	60	124	202	2.46	54%	0.16	62.8	0.71%	0	2.6	78	0
3	May_30_2017	160.93	169.38	170.05	172.05	172.69	175.27	175.5(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	172	120	178	155	2.09	52%	0.21	69.9	0.9%	0	2.7	71	0
4	May_26_2017	160.6	168.94	169.28	170.77	171.33	173.19	174.46(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	223	90	246	155	4.47	52%	0.14	81.3	0.88%	0	3	69	0
5	May_25_2017	160.37	168.54	168.54	169.55	169.71	170.12	171.39(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	66	20	71	52	2.73	47%	0.14	106.3	0.86%	0	2.1	57	0

6	May_24_2017	160.15	168.31	168.17	168.76	169.08	169.47	169.7(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	20	41	9	1.43	46%	0.13	121.3	0.86%	0	1.1	39	0
7	May_23_2017	159.95	168.13	167.99	168	168.5	169.3	169.17(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	47	40	63	-3	1.79	46%	0.06	94.2	0.87%	0	0.6	50	0
8	May_22_2017	159.86	167.82	167.94	167.72	167.83	168.68	169.11(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	49	40	67	-6	1.59	46%	0.13	80	0.87%	0	0.6	55	0
9	May_19_2017	159.66	167.48	167.89	167.55	167.59	167.7	168.36(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	33	10	48	-11	1.87	46%	0.11	69.1	0.87%	0	0.3	55	0
10	May_18_2017	159.48	167.12	167.97	167.4	167.46	166.98	167.46(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-20	-37	-40	1.59	46%	0.11	61.9	0.87%	0	0.1	54	0

11	May_17_2017	159.31	166.78	168.35	167.51	167.64	167.48	165.92(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-0	-39	-22	2.2	43%	0.09	57.7	0.87%	0	-0.3	49	0
12	May_16_2017	159.17	166.52	168.69	167.94	167.84	167.94	167.73(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	0	4	16	1.13	46%	0.06	56.3	0.86%	0	0.3	60	0
13	May_15_2017	159.08	166.16	168.72	168.17	167.87	167.79	168.29(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10	-12	36	1.73	46%	0.11	54.2	0.86%	0	0.6	74	0
14	May_12_2017	158.91	165.74	168.64	168.28	168.26	167.74	167.62(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-12	-20	-33	52	1.59	50%	0.11	53.7	0.86%	0	0.5	74	0
15	May_11_2017	158.74	165.32	168.59	168.64	168.71	167.96	167.99(-0.05%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-46	-30	-83	66	2.11	50%	0.09	52.4	0.86%	0	0.7	79	0

16	May_10_2017	158.59	164.93	168.5	169.35	169.43	168.79	168.08(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-16	-30	-61	119	2.55	50%	0.09	59.9	0.87%	0	0.8	80	0
17	May_9_2017	158.44	164.54	168.34	169.54	170	169.46	168.89(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-10	-27	165	2.66	54%	0.11	65.4	0.87%	0	1	84	0
18	May_8_2017	158.27	164.14	167.73	169.34	169.84	170.07	168.85(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	39	20	-7	178	3.54	54%	0.12	70.4	0.89%	0	1.1	84	0
19	May_5_2017	158.08	163.71	167.09	169.01	169.4	170.54	169.4(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	121	50	87	224	3.71	54%	0.13	74.2	0.88%	0	1.4	87	0
20	May_4_2017	157.88	163.21	166.24	168.5	168.61	169.61	171.51(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	151	40	121	240	3.76	59%	0.15	76.6	0.87%	0	2.2	99	0

21	May_3_2017	157.65	162.47	165.07	167.56	167.72	168.26	169.04(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	98	30	63	202	2.9	54%	0.13	76.4	0.86%	0	1.9	87	0
22	May_2_2017	157.45	161.86	164.16	167	167.21	167.61	167.89(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	85	20	52	185	2.51	64%	0.12	77.9	0.86%	0	1.8	82	0
23	May_1_2017	157.26	161.3	163.35	165.88	166.88	167.19	167.2(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	89	30	70	147	3.33	60%	0.11	72.4	0.99%	0	1.9	76	0
24	Apr_28_2017	157.08	160.8	162.57	164.85	165.63	166.81	166.88(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	82	60	68	124	2.36	60%	0.13	71.4	0.99%	0	2.1	77	0
25	Apr_27_2017	156.88	160.33	161.74	163.58	164.32	166.57	166.81(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	158	110	166	134	2.15	56%		69.1	1%	0	2.5	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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