Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ COST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 15, 2017

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $168.2920 (0.4%) ($167.0463 - $168.6942) on Mon. May. 15, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $168.2920(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(61%)    IWF(61%)    SPY(60%)    QQQ(59%)    XLP(59%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $168.17(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $168.72(-0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $166.16(1.28%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $74.305b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 2.27% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.06%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.36%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.58%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.07%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2017	159.08	166.16	168.72	168.17	167.87	167.79	168.29(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10	-12	36	1.73	46%	0.11	54.2	0.86%	0	0.6	74	0
2	May_12_2017	158.91	165.74	168.64	168.28	168.26	167.74	167.62(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-12	-20	-33	52	1.59	50%	0.11	53.7	0.86%	0	0.5	74	0
3	May_11_2017	158.74	165.32	168.59	168.64	168.71	167.96	167.99(-0.05%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-46	-30	-83	66	2.11	50%	0.09	52.4	0.86%	0	0.7	79	0
4	May_10_2017	158.59	164.93	168.5	169.35	169.43	168.79	168.08(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-16	-30	-61	119	2.55	50%	0.09	59.9	0.87%	0	0.8	80	0
5	May_9_2017	158.44	164.54	168.34	169.54	170	169.46	168.89(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-10	-27	165	2.66	54%	0.11	65.4	0.87%	0	1	84	0

6	May_8_2017	158.27	164.14	167.73	169.34	169.84	170.07	168.85(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	39	20	-7	178	3.54	54%	0.12	70.4	0.89%	0	1.1	84	0
7	May_5_2017	158.08	163.71	167.09	169.01	169.4	170.54	169.4(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	121	50	87	224	3.71	54%	0.13	74.2	0.88%	0	1.4	87	0
8	May_4_2017	157.88	163.21	166.24	168.5	168.61	169.61	171.51(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	151	40	121	240	3.76	59%	0.15	76.6	0.87%	0	2.2	99	0
9	May_3_2017	157.65	162.47	165.07	167.56	167.72	168.26	169.04(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	98	30	63	202	2.9	54%	0.13	76.4	0.86%	0	1.9	87	0
10	May_2_2017	157.45	161.86	164.16	167	167.21	167.61	167.89(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	85	20	52	185	2.51	64%	0.12	77.9	0.86%	0	1.8	82	0

11	May_1_2017	157.26	161.3	163.35	165.88	166.88	167.19	167.2(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	89	30	70	147	3.33	60%	0.11	72.4	0.99%	0	1.9	76	0
12	Apr_28_2017	157.08	160.8	162.57	164.85	165.63	166.81	166.88(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	82	60	68	124	2.36	60%	0.13	71.4	0.99%	0	2.1	77	0
13	Apr_27_2017	156.88	160.33	161.74	163.58	164.32	166.57	166.81(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	158	110	166	134	2.15	56%	0.15	69.1	1%	0	2.5	78	0
14	Apr_26_2017	156.65	159.83	161.01	162.2	162.9	164.45	166.2(2.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	165	80	180	121	4.59	56%	0.17	65.4	1.01%	0	2.9	82	0
15	Apr_25_2017	156.39	159.34	160.37	160.94	161.32	162.07	162.33(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	60	40	60	60	1.5	51%	0.13	63.8	0.97%	0	1.8	75	0

16	Apr_24_2017	156.18	159.03	160.2	160.46	160.77	161.35	162(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	62	30	61	66	1.91	51%	0.13	53.8	0.97%	0	1.8	76	0
17	Apr_21_2017	155.98	158.73	160.02	159.96	160.29	160.57	160.53(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	20	39	57	2.26	51%	0.12	42.6	0.96%	0	1.1	65	0
18	Apr_20_2017	155.79	158.55	159.94	159.96	159.82	160.2	159.95(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	20	16	48	1.93	51%	0.13	37	0.97%	0	0.9	62	0
19	Apr_19_2017	155.59	158.43	159.68	159.6	159.63	160.01	159.87(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	20	26	52	1.44	51%	0.12	41.8	0.97%	0	0.9	63	0
20	Apr_18_2017	155.4	158.27	159.43	159.71	159.69	159.45	159.93(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10	3	48	1.54	51%	0.12	47.5	0.97%	0	1.1	66	0

21	Apr_17_2017	155.21	158.14	159.13	159.92	159.84	159.25	159.53(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-27	-30	-48	35	1.5	54%	0.11	62.1	0.97%	0	0.9	67	0
22	Apr_13_2017	155.04	158.04	158.95	160.09	160.19	159.93	158.72(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-11	-10	-32	51	1.42	54%	0.12	76.1	0.98%	0	0.5	66	0
23	Apr_12_2017	154.86	157.96	158.87	160.31	160.33	160.42	159.97(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	0	10	78	1.42	54%	0.11	83.9	0.97%	0	1.4	66	0
24	Apr_11_2017	154.69	157.78	158.62	159.71	160.23	160.44	160.4(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	20	43	79	1.19	54%	0.13	73.4	0.97%	0	1.8	62	0
25	Apr_10_2017	154.49	157.53	158.25	159.08	159.46	160.23	160.96(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	55	40	50	69	2	54%		58.1	0.97%	0	2.3	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.