Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 8, 2017

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $158.3249 (0.81%) ($157.4600 - $158.4659) on Wed. Feb. 8, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $158.3249(0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(61%)    IWF(60%)    SPY(60%)    QQQ(59%)    XLP(59%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $157.49(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $155.29(1.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $154.19(2.68%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.6%
Market Cap   $69.904b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 0.55%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.42%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 0.91%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.61%(33%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 0.85%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.84%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2017	145.64	154.19	155.29	157.49	157.36	157.44	158.32(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	63	0	48	108	2.09	85%	0.12	73.4	0.94%	0	1.9	63	0
2	Feb_7_2017	145.47	153.85	154.82	156.17	157.14	157.01	157.06(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	10	28	69	2.73	85%	0.11	65.6	0.96%	0	1.6	58	0
3	Feb_6_2017	145.31	153.53	154.45	155.5	156.08	157.29	156.6(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	70	42	60	2.17	85%	0.1	60.5	0.96%	0	1.6	59	0
4	Feb_3_2017	145.17	153.32	154.06	154.79	155.06	157.28	157.81(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	160	110	179	103	3.23	77%	0.11	59.1	0.98%	0	2.5	67	0
5	Feb_2_2017	145.01	153.05	153.63	153.62	153.72	154.87	157.65(3.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	126	50	144	71	5.82	77%	0.12	55.9	0.99%	0	3.2	67	0

6	Feb_1_2017	144.84	152.64	153.17	152.85	152.66	152.85	151.75(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	0	-1	4	2.22	73%	0.08	43.4	0.88%	0	-0.8	54	0
7	Jan_31_2017	144.73	152.56	153.4	153.28	152.94	152.58	153.71(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	5	-20	-2	25	1.8	73%	0.09	40	0.87%	0	0.9	62	0
8	Jan_30_2017	144.6	152.39	153.38	153.23	153.19	152.48	153.05(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-38	-30	-55	13	2.15	73%	0.08	32.6	0.89%	0	0.5	63	0
9	Jan_27_2017	144.48	152.29	153.27	153.18	153.45	153.31	151.94(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-29	-0	-43	14	2.34	73%	0.06	25	0.89%	0	-0.2	47	0
10	Jan_26_2017	144.39	152.25	153.29	153.59	153.55	153.9	153.82(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	20	18	47	1.18	77%	0.06	23.7	0.87%	0	1.1	55	0

11	Jan_25_2017	144.3	152.15	153.06	153.52	153.57	153.6	153.89(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	0	24	54	1.3	77%	0.04	18.5	0.87%	0	1.2	69	0
12	Jan_24_2017	144.24	152.04	152.83	153.55	153.53	153.2	153.45(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-6	-20	-23	45	1.35	79%	0.07	26.4	0.88%	0	1.1	68	0
13	Jan_23_2017	144.14	151.96	152.59	153.57	153.6	153.55	152.83(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-0	-10	53	1.42	79%	0.03	33.3	0.91%	0	0.7	64	0
14	Jan_20_2017	144.09	151.95	152.57	153.36	153.48	153.86	153.98(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	20	36	74	1.9	79%	0.06	41.9	0.91%	0	1.6	63	0
15	Jan_19_2017	144.01	151.91	152.42	152.91	152.94	153.65	153.47(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	61	30	55	79	1.98	79%	0.01	50.6	0.91%	0	1.3	62	0

16	Jan_18_2017	143.99	151.88	152.07	152.51	152.33	153.11	154.01(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	73	30	74	69	1.83	79%	0.02	55.3	0.91%	0	1.8	58	0
17	Jan_17_2017	143.96	151.7	151.64	152.02	151.79	152.22	153.58(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	54	20	57	43	2.43	76%	-0.06	47.3	0.91%	0	1.7	56	0
18	Jan_13_2017	144.05	151.52	151.28	151.49	151.42	151.55	151.75(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	0	9	4	1.25	75%	-0.02	45.2	0.91%	0	0.2	48	0
19	Jan_12_2017	144.08	151.4	151.21	151.67	151.37	151.36	151.76(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	-10	-6	-5	1.3	75%	-0.03	68	0.91%	0	0.3	43	0
20	Jan_11_2017	144.13	151.31	151.12	151.86	151.59	151.28	151.45(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-20	-4	-10	1.38	75%	-0.03	95.2	0.91%	0	0.1	37	0

21	Jan_10_2017	144.18	151.25	151.16	151.53	151.71	151.37	151.56(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10	-11	-27	1.48	75%	-0.03	113.8	0.91%	0	0.2	40	0
22	Jan_9_2017	144.23	151.17	151.19	151.17	151.35	151.89	150.92(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	30	6	-23	2.32	75%	-0.05	130.7	0.91%	0	-0.2	54	0
23	Jan_6_2017	144.3	151.03	151.28	151.01	150.96	152.05	152.66(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	71	50	90	13	2.17	78%	-0.03	142.9	0.89%	0	1.2	62	0
24	Jan_5_2017	144.34	150.63	151.27	150.69	150.5	150.81	152.73(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	52	10	66	10	2.88	78%	-0.03	134.7	0.9%	0	1.4	67	0
25	Jan_4_2017	144.38	150.11	151.32	150.33	150.26	149.87	149.78(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-20	-40	-26	2.16	76%		94.9	0.87%	0	-0.2	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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