Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $151.5619 (0.43%) ($150.4837 - $152.2651) on Tue. Jan. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $151.5619(0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(60%)    IWF(60%)    QQQ(59%)    SPY(59%)    XLP(59%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $151.53(0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $151.16(0.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $151.25(0.21%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $66.918b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 0.87% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_10_2017	144.18	151.25	151.16	151.53	151.71	151.37	151.56(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10	-11	-27	1.48	75%	-0.03	113.8	0.91%	0	0.2	40	0
2	Jan_9_2017	144.23	151.17	151.19	151.17	151.35	151.89	150.92(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	30	6	-23	2.32	75%	-0.05	130.7	0.91%	0	-0.2	54	0
3	Jan_6_2017	144.3	151.03	151.28	151.01	150.96	152.05	152.66(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	71	50	90	13	2.17	78%	-0.03	142.9	0.89%	0	1.2	62	0
4	Jan_5_2017	144.34	150.63	151.27	150.69	150.5	150.81	152.73(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	52	10	66	10	2.88	78%	-0.03	134.7	0.9%	0	1.4	67	0
5	Jan_4_2017	144.38	150.11	151.32	150.33	150.26	149.87	149.78(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-20	-40	-26	2.16	76%	-0.06	94.9	0.87%	0	-0.2	53	0

6	Jan_3_2017	144.46	149.78	151.67	150.76	150.7	150.19	149.75(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-20	-51	-8	2.1	76%	-0.15	74.3	0.87%	0	-0	49	0
7	Dec_30_2016	144.68	149.45	151.77	151.2	151.21	150.65	150.11(-0.63%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-37	-30	-51	6	1.47	80%	-0.05	63.5	0.88%	0	0.2	54	0
8	Dec_29_2016	144.75	149.09	151.81	151.57	151.61	151.21	151.07(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-30	-20	-48	23	0.86	76%	-0.04	62.2	0.97%	0	0.5	67	0
9	Dec_28_2016	144.81	148.61	151.64	151.93	152.05	151.78	150.95(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-10	-32	56	1.28	76%	-0.04	57.3	0.98%	0	0.6	76	0
10	Dec_27_2016	144.87	148.18	151.55	152.46	152.47	152.01	151.93(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-20	-34	100	1.3	76%	-0.11	59.7	0.98%	0	0.8	84	0

11	Dec_23_2016	145.03	147.68	151.4	152.73	152.94	152.32	151.96(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-20	-33	138	1.25	76%	-0.02	61.6	0.99%	0	0.9	80	0
12	Dec_22_2016	145.06	147.2	151.18	152.41	153.13	152.94	151.95(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	35	10	-10	171	1.97	76%	-0.02	61.1	0.99%	0	1.1	78	0
13	Dec_21_2016	145.09	146.71	150.79	152.05	152.58	153.56	152.86(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	89	60	47	213	1.31	76%	-0.01	59.3	0.98%	0	1.4	82	0
14	Dec_20_2016	145.11	146.2	149.96	151.29	151.78	153.32	153.62(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	161	80	132	247	2.2	76%	-0.02	59	0.98%	0	1.7	87	0
15	Dec_19_2016	145.14	145.59	148.79	150.52	150.67	151.61	153.25(1.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	126	50	95	219	3.23	76%	-0.01	57.9	0.98%	0	1.9	79	0

16	Dec_16_2016	145.16	144.95	147.7	149.93	150.1	150.24	150.39(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	73	10	34	190	3.77	74%	-0.03	60.1	0.96%	0	1.5	77	0
17	Dec_15_2016	145.21	144.5	146.94	149.8	149.91	149.74	150.11(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	-10	6	182	1.81	75%	-0.03	68.8	0.96%	0	1.6	73	0
18	Dec_14_2016	145.26	144.1	146.16	149.33	149.56	149.95	149.06(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	58	20	18	178	2.12	75%	-0.05	77.6	0.97%	0	1.5	72	0
19	Dec_13_2016	145.33	143.72	145.34	148.36	149.21	150.07	149.79(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	147	60	131	196	3.58	75%	-0.05	81.5	0.96%	0	2	69	0
20	Dec_12_2016	145.4	143.32	144.54	146.72	147.28	149.17	150.32(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	134	100	126	156	2.3	75%	-0.04	89.3	0.97%	0	2.6	74	0

21	Dec_9_2016	145.46	142.78	143.64	145.12	145.32	148.34	149.72(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	208	150	223	162	2.62	70%	-0.04	101.9	0.97%	0	3.1	75	0
22	Dec_8_2016	145.52	142.16	142.84	143.69	143.72	145.38	147.75(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	193	80	215	127	5.5	65%	-0.06	107.8	0.98%	0	3	68	0
23	Dec_7_2016	145.61	141.65	142.22	142.59	142.36	142.29	144.24(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	-10	30	26	2.81	58%	-0.09	107.1	0.95%	0	1.6	55	0
24	Dec_6_2016	145.74	141.29	142.08	141.89	142.12	142.06	141.58(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	0	-16	-4	2.25	55%	-0.1	86.4	0.94%	0	0.2	50	0
25	Dec_5_2016	145.88	140.97	142.1	141.98	141.97	142.42	142.29(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	20	15	7	2.43	55%		61.5	0.94%	0	0.6	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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