Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $153.2495 (1.9%) ($151.5525 - $154.2526) on Mon. Dec. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $153.2495(1.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(60%)    IWF(60%)    QQQ(59%)    SPY(59%)    XLP(59%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $150.52(1.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $148.79(3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $145.59(5.26%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $67.663b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 2.73% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.98%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.8%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.53%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -1.29%(56%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.04%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.76%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2016	145.14	145.59	148.79	150.52	150.67	151.61	153.25(1.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	126	50	95	219	3.23	76%	-0.01	57.9	0.98%	0	1.9	79	0
2	Dec_16_2016	145.16	144.95	147.7	149.93	150.1	150.24	150.39(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	73	10	34	190	3.77	74%	-0.03	60.1	0.96%	0	1.5	77	0
3	Dec_15_2016	145.21	144.5	146.94	149.8	149.91	149.74	150.11(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	-10	6	182	1.81	75%	-0.03	68.8	0.96%	0	1.6	73	0
4	Dec_14_2016	145.26	144.1	146.16	149.33	149.56	149.95	149.06(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	58	20	18	178	2.12	75%	-0.05	77.6	0.97%	0	1.5	72	0
5	Dec_13_2016	145.33	143.72	145.34	148.36	149.21	150.07	149.79(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	147	60	131	196	3.58	75%	-0.05	81.5	0.96%	0	2	69	0

6	Dec_12_2016	145.4	143.32	144.54	146.72	147.28	149.17	150.32(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	134	100	126	156	2.3	75%	-0.04	89.3	0.97%	0	2.6	74	0
7	Dec_9_2016	145.46	142.78	143.64	145.12	145.32	148.34	149.72(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	208	150	223	162	2.62	70%	-0.04	101.9	0.97%	0	3.1	75	0
8	Dec_8_2016	145.52	142.16	142.84	143.69	143.72	145.38	147.75(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	193	80	215	127	5.5	65%	-0.06	107.8	0.98%	0	3	68	0
9	Dec_7_2016	145.61	141.65	142.22	142.59	142.36	142.29	144.24(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	-10	30	26	2.81	58%	-0.09	107.1	0.95%	0	1.6	55	0
10	Dec_6_2016	145.74	141.29	142.08	141.89	142.12	142.06	141.58(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	0	-16	-4	2.25	55%	-0.1	86.4	0.94%	0	0.2	50	0

11	Dec_5_2016	145.88	140.97	142.1	141.98	141.97	142.42	142.29(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	20	15	7	2.43	55%	-0.09	61.5	0.94%	0	0.6	49	0
12	Dec_2_2016	146.01	140.56	141.98	141.88	141.96	142.18	142.59(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	10	40	19	1.83	57%	-0.09	39.1	0.95%	0	0.7	61	0
13	Dec_1_2016	146.14	140.21	141.89	141.84	141.81	141.53	142.26(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-11	-10	-18	12	2.31	50%	-0.1	28.2	0.96%	0	0.7	67	0
14	Nov_30_2016	146.28	139.96	141.92	141.82	142.04	141.74	140.73(-0.9%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-19	-10	-33	22	2.75	46%	-0.1	22.3	1.04%	0	0.3	64	0
15	Nov_29_2016	146.42	139.79	142.03	142.3	142.4	142.08	142.02(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10	-16	59	1.5	46%	-0.1	20.5	1.04%	0	0.7	71	0

16	Nov_28_2016	146.56	139.59	142.08	142.24	142.53	142.35	141.8(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-0	-10	91	1.73	46%	-0.08	14.2	1.04%	0	0.7	76	0
17	Nov_25_2016	146.68	139.48	141.92	142.07	142.37	142.35	142.39(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	20	13	123	0.89	43%	-0.06	14.4	1.05%	0	1	80	0
18	Nov_23_2016	146.77	139.38	141.47	141.94	141.97	142.71	142.13(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	66	40	40	142	2.17	43%	-0.02	14.9	1.05%	0	1	69	0
19	Nov_22_2016	146.8	139.31	141.05	142.04	141.64	142.04	143.13(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	70	10	43	151	1.95	43%	-0.02	18.5	1.05%	0	1.4	65	0
20	Nov_21_2016	146.83	139.31	140.45	141.76	141.63	141.22	141.73(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	26	-20	-8	128	1.18	43%	-0.03	19	1.04%	0	0.9	63	0

21	Nov_18_2016	146.87	139.17	139.77	141.91	141.77	141.25	140.97(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-30	-40	109	2.02	43%	-0.04	26.6	1.04%	0	0.7	57	0
22	Nov_17_2016	146.93	139.07	139.06	141.73	141.92	142.04	141.76(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	10	21	106	2.1	43%	-0.03	23	1.04%	0	1	53	0
23	Nov_16_2016	146.97	138.97	138.42	140.88	141.19	142.28	142.64(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	72	60	68	85	2.15	43%	-0.02	14.5	1.04%	0	1.4	51	0
24	Nov_15_2016	147	138.8	137.83	139.88	140.12	141.8	141.71(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	121	90	136	75	2.8	43%	-0.01	2.3	1.03%	0	1.2	49	0
25	Nov_14_2016	147.02	138.66	137.33	138.93	138.71	140.11	142.51(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	119	70	145	41	3.89	43%		-12.3	1.03%	0	1.6	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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