Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $140.7334 (-0.9%) ($140.6959 - $142.0694) on Wed. Nov. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $140.7334(-0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(60%)    IWF(60%)    QQQ(59%)    SPY(59%)    XLP(59%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $141.82(-0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $141.92(-0.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $139.96(0.55%)
To recent high   -7.1%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $62.137b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.23%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.08%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.82%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161230

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_30_2016	146.28	139.96	141.92	141.82	142.04	141.74	140.73(-0.9%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-19	-10	-33	22	2.75	46%	-0.1	22.3	1.04%	0	0.3	64	0
2	Nov_29_2016	146.42	139.79	142.03	142.3	142.4	142.08	142.02(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10	-16	59	1.5	46%	-0.1	20.5	1.04%	0	0.7	71	0
3	Nov_28_2016	146.56	139.59	142.08	142.24	142.53	142.35	141.8(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-0	-10	91	1.73	46%	-0.08	14.2	1.04%	0	0.7	76	0
4	Nov_25_2016	146.68	139.48	141.92	142.07	142.37	142.35	142.39(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	20	13	123	0.89	43%	-0.06	14.4	1.05%	0	1	80	0
5	Nov_23_2016	146.77	139.38	141.47	141.94	141.97	142.71	142.13(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	66	40	40	142	2.17	43%	-0.02	14.9	1.05%	0	1	69	0

6	Nov_22_2016	146.8	139.31	141.05	142.04	141.64	142.04	143.13(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	70	10	43	151	1.95	43%	-0.02	18.5	1.05%	0	1.4	65	0
7	Nov_21_2016	146.83	139.31	140.45	141.76	141.63	141.22	141.73(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	26	-20	-8	128	1.18	43%	-0.03	19	1.04%	0	0.9	63	0
8	Nov_18_2016	146.87	139.17	139.77	141.91	141.77	141.25	140.97(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-30	-40	109	2.02	43%	-0.04	26.6	1.04%	0	0.7	57	0
9	Nov_17_2016	146.93	139.07	139.06	141.73	141.92	142.04	141.76(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	10	21	106	2.1	43%	-0.03	23	1.04%	0	1	53	0
10	Nov_16_2016	146.97	138.97	138.42	140.88	141.19	142.28	142.64(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	72	60	68	85	2.15	43%	-0.02	14.5	1.04%	0	1.4	51	0

11	Nov_15_2016	147	138.8	137.83	139.88	140.12	141.8	141.71(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	121	90	136	75	2.8	43%	-0.01	2.3	1.03%	0	1.2	49	0
12	Nov_14_2016	147.02	138.66	137.33	138.93	138.71	140.11	142.51(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	119	70	145	41	3.89	43%	-0.02	-12.3	1.03%	0	1.6	51	0
13	Nov_11_2016	147.05	138.66	136.82	137.35	137.29	138.44	140.03(1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	72	60	106	-29	3.22	40%	-0.04	-35.6	1.01%	0	0.7	40	0
14	Nov_10_2016	147.11	138.46	136.75	136.01	136.26	137.31	137.54(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	57	60	98	-66	3.94	36%	-0.07	-51.5	0.98%	0	-0.4	45	0
15	Nov_9_2016	147.21	138.6	137.04	135.59	135.2	136.14	137.62(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	12	40	48	-95	3.17	36%	-0.06	-55.2	0.98%	0	-0.4	42	0

16	Nov_8_2016	147.3	138.75	137.35	135.49	135.24	135.21	136.96(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10	38	-98	3.51	36%	-0.06	-55.7	0.98%	0	-0.8	42	0
17	Nov_7_2016	147.39	138.95	137.73	135.51	135.58	134.26	134.57(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-107	-70	-93	-149	3.01	31%	-0.07	-55.4	0.95%	0	-1.9	36	0
18	Nov_4_2016	147.5	139.27	138.49	136.24	136.46	135.28	133.36(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-142	-60	-142	-140	2.7	31%	-0.08	-53.7	0.94%	0	-2.9	33	0
19	Nov_3_2016	147.62	139.64	139.14	137.56	137.58	136.9	135.43(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-89	-30	-88	-92	2.17	33%	-0.06	-55.4	0.93%	0	-2.7	34	0
20	Nov_2_2016	147.71	139.88	139.66	138.68	138.55	137.64	137.13(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-71	-50	-74	-60	2.26	35%	-0.06	-39.3	0.92%	0	-2.2	38	0

21	Nov_1_2016	147.8	140.04	139.94	139.48	139.43	138.25	137.08(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-91	-60	-103	-55	2.11	35%	-0.05	-23.1	0.92%	0	-2.7	37	0
22	Oct_31_2016	147.87	140.24	140.21	140.28	140.18	139.46	138.21(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-79	-40	-93	-37	3.24	35%	-0.04	-3.2	0.92%	0	-2.3	38	0
23	Oct_28_2016	147.93	140.39	140.33	141.08	140.74	140.6	139.97(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-13	-10	-19	7	1.84	37%	-0.03	22.6	0.92%	0	-0.5	48	0
24	Oct_27_2016	147.97	140.51	140.37	140.93	140.89	140.9	141(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-0	15	17	1.99	37%	-0.01	15.1	0.91%	0	0.5	54	0
25	Oct_26_2016	147.99	140.36	140.3	140.78	140.56	140.87	141.11(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	10	9	14	2.25	37%		-12.2	0.92%	0	0.7	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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