Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $140.8140 (1.06%) ($138.9180 - $140.9720) on Mon. Apr. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $140.8140(1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(60%)    IWF(59%)    SPY(59%)    QQQ(58%)    XLP(58%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    IPO(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

Resistance Level   $142.61
5 Day Moving Average   $141.13(-0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $141.22(-0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $142.61(-1.26%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $62.173b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2016	142.73	142.61	141.22	141.13	140.87	139.97	140.81(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-50	-43	-37	1.25	38%	-0.1	-11.2	1.18%	0	-0.7	38	0
2	Apr_22_2016	142.87	142.68	141.02	141.47	141.52	140.51	139.34(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-73	-50	-74	-68	2.23	42%	-0.09	-8.3	1.2%	0	-1.3	30	0
3	Apr_21_2016	143	142.78	141.21	141.47	142.09	141.77	140.73(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-20	-36	-60	2.1	42%	-0.06	-5.7	1.22%	0	-0.8	31	0
4	Apr_20_2016	143.09	142.89	141.27	142.07	142.29	142.52	141.96(-0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-5	20	13	-58	1.31	42%	-0.06	-7	1.22%	0	-0.4	36	0
5	Apr_19_2016	143.17	142.88	141.59	141.91	142.01	142.42	142.83(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	10	20	32	-56	1.58	42%	-0.05	-12.2	1.23%	0	-0	37	0

6	Apr_18_2016	143.24	142.9	141.75	141.32	141.56	142.06	142.48(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	19	30	46	-61	1.34	42%	-0.06	-16.9	1.23%	0	-0.2	45	0
7	Apr_15_2016	143.33	142.89	142.11	140.53	140.82	141.6	142.36(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	40	38	-66	2.68	40%	-0.01	-25	1.24%	0	-0.2	53	0
8	Apr_14_2016	143.34	142.93	142.53	140.25	140.27	141.06	140.71(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	16	40	39	-53	2.42	40%	-0.08	-26.7	1.25%	0	-0.9	53	0
9	Apr_13_2016	143.45	143.06	143.09	140.36	140.3	140.04	141.16(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10	3	-55	2.08	37%	-0.06	-24.4	1.25%	0	-0.8	48	0
10	Apr_12_2016	143.54	143.18	143.62	141.27	140.67	139.48	139.89(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-81	-70	-88	-60	2.27	37%	-0.09	-9.1	1.29%	0	-1.4	49	0

11	Apr_11_2016	143.67	143.31	144.1	142.29	142.17	140.55	138.53(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-88	-80	-103	-44	2.28	40%	-0.09	11.4	1.29%	0	-2.1	42	0
12	Apr_8_2016	143.8	143.51	144.53	143.9	143.7	141.85	140.94(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-96	-90	-120	-23	2.01	40%	-0.07	39.3	1.29%	0	-1.3	49	0
13	Apr_7_2016	143.9	143.59	144.59	145.13	145.06	143.79	141.3(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-78	-60	-104	-1	4.05	38%	-0.06	61.8	1.31%	0	-1.2	48	0
14	Apr_6_2016	143.99	143.66	144.79	146.16	146.2	145.55	145.7(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-21	-30	-42	44	1.57	41%	-0.01	79.7	1.28%	0	1.1	58	0
15	Apr_5_2016	144.01	143.39	144.38	146.32	146.64	146.32	144.98(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10	-19	51	1.86	41%	0	81.8	1.29%	0	0.8	56	0

16	Apr_4_2016	144.01	143.05	144.2	146.18	146.63	146.85	146.59(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	20	27	72	1.46	41%	0.03	66	1.28%	0	1.6	66	0
17	Apr_1_2016	143.96	142.72	143.76	145.24	145.71	146.97	147.08(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	67	70	65	72	1.53	41%	0.01	59.5	1.29%	0	2	67	0
18	Mar_31_2016	143.94	142.4	143.31	143.97	144.43	146.41	146.46(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	104	110	115	72	2.69	41%	0.01	42	1.3%	0	2.1	65	0
19	Mar_30_2016	143.92	142.15	142.95	143.22	143.08	144.45	146.47(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	97	60	109	60	2.64	41%	0.01	33.3	1.3%	0	2.5	64	0
20	Mar_29_2016	143.91	141.81	142.58	142.22	142.14	142.45	144.3(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	34	10	38	22	1.66	38%	0.01	21.6	1.29%	0	1.7	66	0

21	Mar_28_2016	143.9	141.56	142.33	141.97	141.87	141.71	141.89(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-10	-10	11	1.77	36%	-0.03	17	1.27%	0	0.2	68	0
22	Mar_24_2016	143.94	141.44	142.34	142.06	142.06	141.83	140.74(-1.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-12	-10	-21	14	2.51	36%	-0.03	20	1.27%	0	-0.5	53	0
23	Mar_23_2016	143.99	141.44	142.5	142.51	142.39	142.03	142.67(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-7	-20	-18	28	2.13	37%	-0.03	44.1	1.26%	0	0.7	56	0
24	Mar_22_2016	144.03	141.58	142.46	142.61	142.66	142.29	141.48(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-14	-20	-28	28	1.94	37%	-0.04	53.1	1.25%	0	-0.1	48	0
25	Mar_21_2016	144.09	141.5	142.37	142.97	142.91	142.75	143.07(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10	-6	46	1.37	37%		61.5	1.25%	0	0.9	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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